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Tofas vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 102-93
30-25 23-21 27-20 22-27
Position#4
Record10-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game83.3
Tofas 🏆
vs
Position#2
Record14-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game67.9
EuropeFIBA Europe CupFIBA Europe Cup - Quarter-finals· Tofas Spor Salonu
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#13
W
93-81
93
81
+12
89avg 84
A19/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
70-95
70
95
-25
56avg 84
A25/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
FC Porto
#7
L
82-90
82
90
-8
84avg 84
H29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#8
W
88-83
88
83
+5
83avg 84
H01/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
80-79
80
79
+1
72avg 84
A05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
83-88
83
88
-5
77avg 84
A09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#4
L
95-101
95
101
-6
92avg 84
A12/02
Turkish Cup
Yalovaspor
#16
W
105-90
105
90
+15
106avg 84
H28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bilbao
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
64avg 84
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Bursaspor
#9
L
93-98
93
98
-5
90avg 84
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
16-27
25-17
28-20
18-24
15-25
17-25
20-21
20-25
29-20
11-25
22-20
31-25
22-16
14-17
21-25
17-25
22-24
16-14
25-16
23-13
25-26
22-25
13-24
23-24
20-21
27-29
25-27
19-23
32-13
27-35
27-19
14-26
21-21
15-18
22-19
28-20
20-29
26-23
19-26
175.0Avg total
86.1Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)90.183.3173.4+6.877%
Season at home (6)92.583.7176.2+8.867%
Season away (7)88.083.0171.0+5.086%
Last 10 (10)86.188.9175.0-2.840%
Last 5 (5)89.692.2181.8-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)76.884.8161.5-8.025%
vs Similar (15)90.988.1178.9+2.873%
vs Weaker (10)89.079.9168.9+9.180%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Sassari
#11
W
77-60
77
60
+17
71avg 75
H15/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#5
L
84-97
84
97
-13
74avg 75
A19/01
ACB
Breogan
#13
L
71-76
71
76
-5
59avg 75
A25/01
ACB
Cholet
#1
L
75-82
75
82
-7
65avg 75
A29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#16
W
91-75
91
75
+16
84avg 75
H02/02
ACB
Le Portel
#24
W
78-74
78
74
+4
82avg 75
A04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#9
L
74-89
74
89
-15
68avg 75
A08/02
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
96-83
96
83
+13
88avg 75
H02/03
ACB
Tofas
#4
W
84-72
84
72
+12
79avg 75
H05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#2
L
70-89
70
89
-19
55avg 75
A08/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
21-19
18-14
18-13
25-17
17-25
19-32
23-23
15-12
22-14
16-26
18-24
18-20
19-20
21-18
17-24
28-20
20-21
20-17
23-17
18-19
20-14
15-17
25-24
23-28
11-16
24-25
16-20
26-22
19-24
28-19
23-18
26-14
21-21
18-15
19-22
14-19
23-23
17-21
16-26
159.7Avg total
80.0Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)85.467.9153.3+17.593%
Season at home (8)87.266.0153.2+21.2100%
Season away (7)83.370.1153.4+13.186%
Last 10 (10)80.079.7159.7+0.350%
Last 5 (5)80.481.4161.8-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.489.0170.4-7.614%
vs Similar (12)80.682.0162.6-1.442%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)84.569.7154.3+14.891%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.3-1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.3-1.3
TofasBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#13
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A19/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A25/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
FC Porto
#7
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#8
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H01/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A12/02
Turkish Cup
Yalovaspor
#16
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bilbao
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Bursaspor
#9
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
88.3Avg total
43.9Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.543.087.5+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.341.688.9+5.777%-
Last 30 away (17)42.444.086.4-1.629%-
Last 10 (10)43.944.488.3-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.288.2+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)36.846.583.2-9.80%-
vs Similar (15)47.443.290.6+4.260%-
vs Weaker (10)43.541.084.5+2.560%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H15/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A19/01
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A25/01
ACB
Cholet
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#16
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H02/02
ACB
Le Portel
#24
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#9
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A08/02
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H02/03
ACB
Tofas
#4
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A08/03
ACB
78.8Avg total
40.6Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.037.478.4+3.667%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.438.682.1+4.871%-
Last 30 away (16)38.936.275.1+2.662%-
Last 10 (10)40.638.278.8+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.080.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.442.984.3-1.443%-
vs Similar (12)38.838.877.6+0.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.132.475.5+10.7100%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.124.9
62.1%
52.6%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.3
30.0%
34.0%18.9
🏀 Free throws23.417.5
74.8%
72.6%17.5
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.816.6
47.7%
52.6%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.9
34.5%
34.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.716.3
78.7%
72.6%16.3
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LLWLLWWLLW
Bilbao
LWWLWWLLLW
#4
League position
#2
+3.6
Net rating
+0.1
113.8
Offensive rating
108.8
110.2
Defensive rating
108.7
56.2%
Effective FG%
49.5%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
18.3%
Turnover %
14.5%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.0%
3-point %
34.5%
67.3%
Assist %
66.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.8 · 108.8Defence110.2 · 108.7Shooting56.2% · 49.5%3-point %30.0% · 34.5%Ball care18.3% · 14.5%Off. rebounds31.5% · 28.5%Free throws0.38 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Tofas   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tofas wins
1
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
05/03/25Bilbao v Tofas84-72
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25ABursaspor93-98
05/03/25ABilbao72-84
28/02/25HYalovaspor105-90
12/02/25AMersin SK95-101
09/02/25ABuyukcekmece83-88
05/02/25ABasket Zaragoza80-79
01/02/25HGalatasaray88-83
29/01/25HFC Porto82-90
25/01/25ABesiktas70-95
19/01/25AKarsiyaka93-81
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25AValencia70-89
05/03/25HTofas84-72
02/03/25HBasquet Girona96-83
08/02/25AManresa74-89
04/02/25ALe Portel78-74
02/02/25HForca Lleida91-75
29/01/25ACholet75-82
25/01/25ABreogan71-76
19/01/25ABarcelona84-97
15/01/25HSassari77-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL77%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %77%67%86%
Points / game90.192.588.0
Allowed / game83.383.783.0
Point differential+6.8+8.8+5.0
Avg total173.4176.2171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%67%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)-100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bilbao
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %93%100%86%
Points / game85.487.283.3
Allowed / game67.966.070.1
Point differential+17.5+21.2+13.1
Avg total153.3153.2153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao1514193%85.467.9+17.5
2 Cholet1311285%89.275.8+13.4
3 Ludwigsburg1311285%82.570.2+12.4
4 Tofas1310377%90.183.3+6.8
5 Dijon1511473%90.679.8+10.8
6 PAOK139469%81.476.7+4.7
7 CSM Oradea128467%82.074.4+7.6
8 FC Porto128467%82.677.1+5.5
9 Levice64267%85.781.2+4.5
10 BC Prievidza85362%83.882.8+1.0
11 Basket Zaragoza138562%87.581.9+5.5
12 Sassari127558%81.273.9+7.3
13 Maroussi148657%84.479.2+5.1
14 Fribourg Olympic137654%85.679.2+6.5
15 Basketball Braunschweig63350%85.881.2+4.7
16 Spojnia Stargard63350%73.370.7+2.7
17 BC Kalev/Cramo126650%80.978.7+2.2
18 Bursaspor63350%85.584.0+1.5
19 Arges Pitesti63350%71.770.3+1.3
20 Alba Fehervar84450%89.693.8-4.1
21 Spirou Charleroi147750%77.982.1-4.1
22 Caledonia Gladiators63350%58.570.8-12.3
23 Anwil Wloclawek125742%88.580.8+7.7
24 Le Portel125742%76.175.8+0.3
25 Norrkoping62433%79.085.5-6.5
26 Limburg62433%76.783.3-6.7
27 Antwerp Giants62433%80.287.7-7.5
28 Kutaisi62433%78.789.0-10.3
29 AEK Larnaca62433%71.085.7-14.7
30 Sporting CP82625%71.579.5-8.0
31 Anorthosis82625%75.884.2-8.5
32 BC Dnipro82625%66.087.1-21.1
33 Sabah Baku61517%73.878.8-5.0
34 Keravnos61517%84.590.7-6.2
35 Parnu61517%68.079.7-11.7
36 CSM Constanta81712%73.591.4-17.9
37 Starlites2020%74.584.0-9.5
38 Szolnoki Olaj6060%73.886.0-12.2
39 Rilski Sportist6060%71.387.0-15.7
40 Trepca6060%57.377.3-20.0
41 Balkan6060%69.389.8-20.5
42 Neptunas2020%62.584.5-22.0
43 Peja2020%78.0102.0-24.0
44 Dinamo Zagreb2020%70.5100.0-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas30232722102
Bilbao2521202793
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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