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Toledo vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 67-83
28-52 39-31
Position#198
Record9-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game70.7
vs
Buffalo 🏆
USA
Position#102
Record13-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game75.3
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Toledo v Buffalo
08 Jan 2027
TOLE v BUFF
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
TOLE98
BUFF78
04 Feb 2025
TOLE87
BUFF74
16 Jan 2024
TOLE77
BUFF66
25 Feb 2023
TOLE101
BUFF71
25 Jan 2022
TOLE86
BUFF75
14 Feb 2020
TOLE67
BUFF83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#292
W
67-59
67
59
+8
H12/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#282
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H15/01
NCAA
Akron
#24
W
99-89
99
89
+10
A18/01
NCAA
Ohio
#182
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A22/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#73
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H26/01
NCAA
Kent State
#142
L
70-83
70
83
-13
H29/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#246
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A01/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#140
L
61-66
61
66
-5
H05/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#73
L
83-85
83
85
-2
A08/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#280
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-32
35-27
41-38
26-36
46-36
53-53
35-28
48-46
33-37
46-48
35-32
35-51
25-24
32-37
26-32
35-34
35-43
48-42
28-32
37-25
146.4Avg total
73.1Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)72.870.7143.5+2.143%
Season at home (10)72.867.9140.7+4.950%
Season away (11)72.873.2146.0-0.436%
Last 10 (10)73.173.3146.4-0.240%
Last 5 (5)67.270.4137.6-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.079.0153.0-5.033%
vs Similar ◀ (11)70.674.9145.5-4.318%
vs Weaker (7)68.764.4133.1+4.371%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#125
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A08/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#280
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A11/01
NCAA
Ohio
#182
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H15/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#282
W
86-67
86
67
+19
A18/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#292
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H22/01
NCAA
Kent State
#142
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H24/01
NCAA
Akron
#24
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A29/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#73
L
77-78
77
78
-1
H01/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#246
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A05/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#282
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-48
34-40
36-43
47-35
26-31
50-42
38-30
48-37
43-43
47-36
26-33
40-37
33-25
44-49
45-34
32-44
30-35
32-31
35-19
30-41
148.3Avg total
75.0Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.875.3152.1+1.562%
Season at home (13)78.474.6153.0+3.869%
Season away (8)74.276.4150.6-2.150%
Last 10 (10)75.073.3148.3+1.760%
Last 5 (5)69.469.6139.0-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)64.269.8134.0-5.550%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.978.0154.9-1.150%
vs Weaker (7)77.971.9149.7+6.071%
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +1.2+1.2
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +1.2+1.2
ToledoBuffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#292
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H12/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#282
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H15/01
NCAA
Akron
#24
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A18/01
NCAA
Ohio
#182
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A22/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#73
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H26/01
NCAA
Kent State
#142
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H29/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#246
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A01/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#140
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H05/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#73
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A08/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#280
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H12/02
NCAA
67.0Avg total
33.6Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)31.532.363.9-0.842%-
Last 30 at home (12)32.832.465.2+0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)30.432.362.7-1.936%-
Last 10 (10)33.633.467.0+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)29.832.662.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.332.763.0-2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)30.632.963.5-2.336%-
vs Weaker (7)33.131.965.0+1.357%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#125
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A08/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#280
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A11/01
NCAA
Ohio
#182
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H15/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#282
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A18/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#292
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H22/01
NCAA
Kent State
#142
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H24/01
NCAA
Akron
#24
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A29/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#73
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H01/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#246
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A05/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#282
W
35-19
35
19
+16
H08/02
NCAA
68.7Avg total
34.6Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)35.434.469.8+1.042%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.233.269.5+3.046%-
Last 30 away (13)34.535.570.1-1.038%-
Last 10 (10)34.634.168.7+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)33.829.263.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.531.563.0+0.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.537.072.5-1.533%-
vs Weaker (7)37.733.371.0+4.457%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toledo wins
0
Buffalo wins
No previous meetings.
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/20HMiami (Ohio)65-57
08/02/20ABowling Green83-85
05/02/20HNorthern Illinois61-66
01/02/20AEastern Michigan57-61
29/01/20HKent State70-83
26/01/20HBowling Green79-85
22/01/20AOhio83-74
18/01/20AAkron99-89
15/01/20HCentral Michigan67-74
12/01/20HWestern Michigan67-59
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/20HCentral Michigan65-60
05/02/20AEastern Michigan62-66
01/02/20HBowling Green77-78
29/01/20AAkron77-74
24/01/20HKent State66-70
22/01/20HWestern Michigan90-79
18/01/20ACentral Michigan86-67
15/01/20HOhio76-73
11/01/20AMiami (Ohio)83-78
08/01/20ABall State68-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW43%
HomeLLLLW50%
AwayLWWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%50%36%
Points / game72.872.872.8
Allowed / game70.767.973.2
Point differential+2.1+4.9-0.4
Avg total143.5140.7146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%20%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)50% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Buffalo
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW62%
HomeWWLLW69%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21138
Win %62%69%50%
Points / game76.878.474.2
Allowed / game75.374.676.4
Point differential+1.5+3.8-2.1
Avg total152.1153.0150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%23%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)62% (8)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron2015575%76.266.0+10.3
2 Bowling Green2115671%73.873.2+0.6
3 Buffalo2113862%76.875.3+1.5
4 Ball State1911858%69.163.1+6.0
5 Kent State1911858%73.868.3+5.5
6 Northern Illinois1911858%64.963.9+1.1
7 Ohio1991047%71.668.6+3.0
8 Central Michigan1991047%75.577.2-1.6
9 Eastern Michigan2091145%61.965.2-3.4
10 Toledo2191243%72.870.7+2.1
11 Western Michigan1971237%66.771.2-4.4
12 Miami (Ohio)2061430%69.372.8-3.5
13 UMass1951426%67.275.7-8.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo283967
Buffalo523183
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