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Toledo vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 86-75
41-41 45-34
Position#21
Record15-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game67.5
Toledo 🏆
USA
vs
Buffalo
USA
Position#109
Record10-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game71.6
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Toledo v Buffalo
08 Jan 2027
TOLE v BUFF
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
TOLE98
BUFF78
04 Feb 2025
TOLE87
BUFF74
16 Jan 2024
TOLE77
BUFF66
25 Feb 2023
TOLE101
BUFF71
25 Jan 2022
TOLE86
BUFF75
14 Feb 2020
TOLE67
BUFF83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Richmond Spiders
#92
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A11/12
NCAA
Marshall
#287
W
95-63
95
63
+32
H22/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H30/12
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A01/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
82-54
82
54
+28
A05/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
94-63
94
63
+31
H08/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A12/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
91-78
91
78
+13
A15/01
NCAA
Ball State
#237
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H19/01
NCAA
Ohio
#47
W
87-69
87
69
+18
A21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-24
28-48
54-31
41-32
40-25
43-31
26-33
37-33
44-33
38-21
47-28
47-35
44-33
31-39
48-47
43-31
38-35
45-35
45-29
42-40
148.5Avg total
82.2Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.867.5147.3+12.479%
Season at home (8)86.062.0148.0+24.0100%
Season away (11)75.471.5146.8+3.964%
Last 10 (10)82.266.3148.5+15.980%
Last 5 (5)86.070.4156.4+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)83.777.7161.3+6.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)79.871.0150.8+8.972%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Bonaventure
#70
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A04/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#129
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A09/12
NCAA
St. John Fisher
#557
W
100-58
100
58
+42
H11/12
NCAA
Canisius
#299
L
64-65
64
65
-1
A18/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H29/12
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A01/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
99-88
99
88
+11
H06/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
78-64
78
64
+14
A12/01
NCAA
Ball State
#237
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A14/01
NCAA
Kent State
#68
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-35
36-33
40-35
37-32
48-27
52-31
25-37
39-28
40-33
41-58
38-34
38-54
43-41
56-47
33-34
45-30
34-30
40-38
34-24
30-27
148.6Avg total
77.8Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.571.6152.1+8.962%
Season at home (7)86.168.7154.9+17.471%
Season away (9)76.173.8149.9+2.356%
Last 10 (10)77.870.8148.6+7.060%
Last 5 (5)78.271.8150.0+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (13)74.772.6147.3+2.154%
vs Weaker (15)84.870.3155.1+14.580%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +10.9+10.91st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: +3.6+3.6
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +10.9+10.91st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: +3.6+3.6
ToledoBuffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Richmond Spiders
#92
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A11/12
NCAA
Marshall
#287
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H22/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H30/12
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A01/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A05/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H08/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A12/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A15/01
NCAA
Ball State
#237
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H19/01
NCAA
Ohio
#47
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A21/01
NCAA
74.5Avg total
42.7Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.933.174.0+7.883%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.531.974.4+10.780%-
Last 30 away (15)39.234.373.5+4.987%-
Last 10 (10)42.731.874.5+10.990%-
Last 5 (5)44.434.478.8+10.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)40.036.776.7+3.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)40.733.374.0+7.484%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Bonaventure
#70
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A04/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#129
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A09/12
NCAA
St. John Fisher
#557
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H11/12
NCAA
Canisius
#299
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A18/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H29/12
NCAA
Akron
#57
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A01/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H06/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A12/01
NCAA
Ball State
#237
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A14/01
NCAA
Kent State
#68
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H22/01
NCAA
69.4Avg total
36.4Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.532.770.2+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.631.268.8+6.476%-
Last 30 away (13)37.434.772.1+2.762%-
Last 10 (10)36.433.069.4+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)36.432.669.0+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (13)34.133.367.4+0.854%-
vs Weaker (15)40.032.672.6+7.480%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Toledo wins
1
Buffalo wins
DateGameScore
20/02/21Buffalo v Toledo70-80
14/02/20Toledo v Buffalo67-83
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/22AOhio87-69
19/01/22HBall State83-70
15/01/22ABowling Green91-78
12/01/22AMiami (Ohio)75-72
08/01/22HNorthern Illinois94-63
05/01/22ACentral Michigan82-54
01/01/22AKent State63-66
30/12/21HWestern Michigan83-56
22/12/21HMarshall95-63
11/12/21ARichmond Spiders69-72
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/22HKent State64-51
14/01/22ABall State74-68
12/01/22AWestern Michigan78-64
06/01/22HBowling Green99-88
01/01/22AAkron76-88
29/12/21HMiami (Ohio)81-91
18/12/21ACanisius64-65
11/12/21HSt. John Fisher100-58
09/12/21AWestern Kentucky77-67
04/12/21ASt. Bonaventure65-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %79%100%64%
Points / game79.886.075.4
Allowed / game67.562.071.5
Point differential+12.4+24.0+3.9
Avg total147.3148.0146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%62%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Buffalo
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayWLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %62%71%56%
Points / game80.586.176.1
Allowed / game71.668.773.8
Point differential+8.9+17.4+2.3
Avg total152.1154.9149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%71%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ohio1714382%73.967.2+6.7
2 Toledo1915479%79.867.5+12.4
3 Akron1712571%72.462.5+9.9
4 Buffalo1610662%80.571.6+8.9
5 Miami (Ohio)179853%78.070.8+7.2
6 Bowling Green1910953%82.978.1+4.8
7 Kent State189950%67.562.4+5.1
8 UMass1881044%77.079.3-2.3
9 Eastern Michigan1771041%71.173.5-2.4
10 Ball State1771041%73.877.4-3.6
11 Northern Illinois1551033%62.571.6-9.1
12 Western Michigan1841422%65.977.9-12.0
13 Central Michigan1421214%64.683.9-19.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo414586
Buffalo413475
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