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Toledo vs Bowling Green Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 79-85
33-37 46-48
Position#198
Record8-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#73
Record11-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game71.4
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Toledo v Bowling Green
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BOWL76
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28 Jan 2023
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BOWL77
04 Mar 2022
TOLE96
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TOLE81
BOWL88
25 Jan 2020
TOLE79
BOWL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bowling Green winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit
#314
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A14/12
NCAA
UMKC
#139
L
57-72
57
72
-15
A18/12
NCAA
Wright State
#21
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H21/12
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A28/12
NCAA
Ball State
#125
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A04/01
NCAA
Kent State
#142
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A08/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#292
W
67-59
67
59
+8
H12/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#282
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H15/01
NCAA
Akron
#24
W
99-89
99
89
+10
A18/01
NCAA
Ohio
#182
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-36
47-36
20-32
37-40
29-32
43-47
33-38
33-40
27-34
30-27
33-33
44-51
32-32
35-27
41-38
26-36
46-36
53-53
35-28
48-46
146.7Avg total
72.5Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.369.8144.1+4.553%
Season at home (6)75.564.7140.2+10.867%
Season away (9)73.473.2146.7+0.244%
Last 10 (10)72.574.2146.7-1.740%
Last 5 (5)78.676.0154.6+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.079.0153.0-5.033%
vs Similar ◀ (7)69.172.1141.3-3.029%
vs Weaker (5)71.866.6138.4+5.280%
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bowling GreenUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland State
#277
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H15/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#197
L
67-72 OT
67
72
-5
A21/12
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#170
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H21/12
NCAA
Hartford
#189
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H31/12
NCAA
Kent State
#142
L
61-79
61
79
-18
H04/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#280
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H08/01
NCAA
Ohio
#182
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A11/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#292
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A15/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#140
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H18/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#246
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-24
32-34
26-26
29-29
39-33
25-36
40-28
41-40
34-37
27-42
36-45
42-31
33-43
50-31
39-34
46-48
36-27
30-37
27-27
35-32
142.0Avg total
71.9Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)72.971.4144.3+1.573%
Season at home (11)71.069.8140.8+1.273%
Season away (4)78.075.8153.8+2.275%
Last 10 (10)71.970.1142.0+1.870%
Last 5 (5)74.871.0145.8+3.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.280.5148.8-12.225%
vs Similar ◀ (10)72.269.1141.3+3.180%
vs Weaker (2)78.570.0148.5+8.5100%
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: -0.3-0.3
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: -0.3-0.3
ToledoBowling Green
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit
#314
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A14/12
NCAA
UMKC
#139
L
20-32
20
32
-12
A18/12
NCAA
Wright State
#21
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H21/12
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A28/12
NCAA
Ball State
#125
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A04/01
NCAA
Kent State
#142
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A08/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#292
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H12/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#282
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H15/01
NCAA
Akron
#24
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A18/01
NCAA
Ohio
#182
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A22/01
NCAA
66.8Avg total
32.9Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)31.932.063.9-0.145%-
Last 30 at home (8)34.032.066.0+2.062%-
Last 30 away (12)30.532.162.6-1.633%-
Last 10 (10)32.933.966.8-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.433.470.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.332.763.0-2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)29.731.160.9-1.443%-
vs Weaker (5)35.833.469.2+2.460%-
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bowling GreenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland State
#277
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H15/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#197
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A21/12
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#170
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H21/12
NCAA
Hartford
#189
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H31/12
NCAA
Kent State
#142
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H04/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#280
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H08/01
NCAA
Ohio
#182
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A11/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#292
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A15/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#140
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H18/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#246
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H22/01
NCAA
67.4Avg total
35.0Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)34.334.068.3+0.341%-
Last 30 at home (11)35.033.368.3+1.755%-
Last 30 away (6)33.035.368.3-2.317%-
Last 10 (10)35.032.467.4+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)34.235.269.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.040.069.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.633.168.7+2.550%-
vs Weaker (2)39.529.068.5+10.5100%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toledo wins
0
Bowling Green wins
No previous meetings.
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/20AOhio83-74
18/01/20AAkron99-89
15/01/20HCentral Michigan67-74
12/01/20HWestern Michigan67-59
08/01/20AKent State77-84
04/01/20ABall State57-61
28/12/19ABradley66-78
21/12/19HWright State72-79
18/12/19AUMKC57-72
14/12/19ADetroit80-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/20HEastern Michigan62-59
18/01/20HNorthern Illinois66-64
15/01/20AWestern Michigan85-82
11/01/20AOhio83-74
08/01/20HMiami (Ohio)78-76
04/01/20HKent State61-79
31/12/19HHartford81-68
21/12/19HQuinnipiac64-69
21/12/19ANorfolk State67-72 OT
15/12/19HCleveland State72-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW53%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLLLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %53%67%44%
Points / game74.375.573.4
Allowed / game69.864.773.2
Point differential+4.5+10.8+0.2
Avg total144.1140.2146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %7%0%11%
Bowling Green
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15114
Win %73%73%75%
Points / game72.971.078.0
Allowed / game71.469.875.8
Point differential+1.5+1.2+2.2
Avg total144.3140.8153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)80% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %13%9%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron1613381%78.266.1+12.1
2 Bowling Green1511473%72.971.4+1.5
3 Buffalo1711665%78.476.6+1.7
4 Kent State159660%76.369.5+6.8
5 Ball State148657%71.264.0+7.2
6 Toledo158753%74.369.8+4.5
7 Northern Illinois147750%65.865.9-0.1
8 Ohio157847%73.171.3+1.8
9 Central Michigan157847%75.277.9-2.7
10 Miami (Ohio)1661038%73.073.8-0.8
11 Eastern Michigan1661038%61.266.1-4.9
12 Western Michigan1551033%66.571.3-4.9
13 UMass1531220%66.675.9-9.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo334679
Bowling Green374885
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