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Toledo vs Central Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 69-67
34-30 35-37
Position#167
Record8-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game77.9
Toledo 🏆
USA
vs
Central Michigan
USA
Position#242
Record6-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game70.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Toledo v Central Michigan
26 Jan 2027
TOLE v CENT
upcoming
10 Jan 2025
TOLE69
CENT67
04 Feb 2023
TOLE84
CENT59
10 Mar 2022
TOLE72
CENT71
19 Feb 2022
TOLE68
CENT66
19 Jan 2021
TOLE89
CENT72
14 Jan 2020
TOLE67
CENT74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Central Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stetson
#341
W
103-78
103
78
+25
H21/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H22/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
45-80
45
80
-35
H23/11
NCAA
Oakland
#220
L
52-85
52
85
-33
H01/12
NCAA
Defiance College
#642
W
111-49
111
49
+62
H07/12
NCAA
Youngstown State
#117
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A14/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
49-78
49
78
-29
A19/12
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A29/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A04/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
90-87
90
87
+3
H08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
51-35
52-43
34-41
48-39
25-34
20-46
23-34
29-51
55-23
56-26
39-44
48-49
22-39
27-39
28-39
36-44
35-33
41-37
46-33
44-54
154.2Avg total
75.9Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.977.9155.9+0.057%
Season at home (7)81.376.6157.9+4.771%
Season away (7)74.679.3153.9-4.743%
Last 10 (10)75.978.3154.2-2.450%
Last 5 (5)73.282.2155.4-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)74.485.9160.2-11.525%
vs Similar (12)77.474.3151.8+3.167%
vs Weaker (10)86.070.2156.2+15.880%
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central State (OH)
#506
W
86-52
86
52
+34
H21/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A26/11
NCAA
Purdue Northwest
#593
W
115-69
115
69
+46
H01/12
NCAA
Aquinas
#428
W
93-69
93
69
+24
A06/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
77-93
77
93
-16
A14/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
L
59-83
59
83
-24
A18/12
NCAA
Arizona
#88
L
41-94
41
94
-53
A21/12
NCAA
Cleary University
#579
W
85-39
85
39
+46
H30/12
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
55-57
55
57
-2
H05/01
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-25
45-27
34-34
31-34
62-37
53-32
52-32
41-37
31-36
46-57
25-32
34-51
23-44
18-50
40-16
45-23
28-35
27-22
38-41
33-46
145.8Avg total
74.7Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)73.270.9144.1+2.343%
Season at home (5)82.658.0140.6+24.660%
Season away (9)68.078.1146.1-10.133%
Last 10 (10)74.771.1145.8+3.640%
Last 5 (5)62.272.0134.2-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)64.173.1137.1-9.040%
vs Similar (9)66.465.4131.9+1.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)80.260.2140.4+20.060%
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: -0.6-0.6
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: -0.6-0.6
ToledoCentral Michigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stetson
#341
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H21/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H22/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H23/11
NCAA
Oakland
#220
L
23-34
23
34
-11
H01/12
NCAA
Defiance College
#642
W
55-23
55
23
+32
H07/12
NCAA
Youngstown State
#117
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A14/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A19/12
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A29/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A04/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H08/01
NCAA
71.3Avg total
35.8Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.934.771.5+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.031.568.5+5.553%-
Last 30 away (15)36.737.974.6-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)35.835.571.3+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)34.037.671.6-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.940.974.8-7.025%-
vs Similar (12)36.232.869.1+3.450%-
vs Weaker (10)40.031.971.9+8.170%-
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central State (OH)
#506
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H21/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A26/11
NCAA
Purdue Northwest
#593
W
62-37
62
37
+25
H01/12
NCAA
Aquinas
#428
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A06/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A14/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A18/12
NCAA
Arizona
#88
L
23-44
23
44
-21
A21/12
NCAA
Cleary University
#579
W
40-16
40
16
+24
H30/12
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H05/01
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A08/01
NCAA
70.6Avg total
37.4Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.030.563.5+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.526.762.2+8.877%-
Last 30 away (17)31.133.464.5-2.341%-
Last 10 (10)37.433.270.6+4.240%-
Last 5 (5)30.833.664.4-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)30.132.362.5-2.253%-
vs Similar (9)30.328.458.8+1.944%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)40.627.468.0+13.280%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Toledo wins
3
Central Michigan wins
DateGameScore
20/01/24Central Michigan v Toledo65-62
01/03/23Central Michigan v Toledo65-99
05/02/23Toledo v Central Michigan84-59
10/03/22Toledo v Central Michigan72-71
20/02/22Toledo v Central Michigan68-66
05/01/22Central Michigan v Toledo54-82
02/03/21Central Michigan v Toledo81-79
20/01/21Toledo v Central Michigan89-72
26/02/20Central Michigan v Toledo81-93
15/01/20Toledo v Central Michigan67-74
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/25HEastern Michigan90-87
04/01/25AWestern Michigan76-70
29/12/24APurdue64-83
19/12/24AHouston49-78
14/12/24AYoungstown State87-93
07/12/24HDefiance College111-49
01/12/24HOakland52-85
23/11/24HUC San Diego45-80
22/11/24HJacksonville State82-80
21/11/24HStetson103-78
Central Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/25AAkron71-87
05/01/25HOhio55-57
30/12/24HCleary University85-39
21/12/24AArizona41-94
18/12/24AMississippi St.59-83
14/12/24AValparaiso77-93
06/12/24AAquinas93-69
01/12/24HPurdue Northwest115-69
26/11/24AMinnesota65-68
21/11/24HCentral State (OH)86-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW57%
HomeWLLWW71%
AwayWLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%71%43%
Points / game77.981.374.6
Allowed / game77.976.679.3
Point differential+0.0+4.7-4.7
Avg total155.9157.9153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Central Michigan
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL43%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1459
Win %43%60%33%
Points / game73.282.668.0
Allowed / game70.958.078.1
Point differential+2.3+24.6-10.1
Avg total144.1140.6146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%60%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State1511473%69.262.5+6.7
2 Miami (Ohio)1410471%83.071.7+11.3
3 Akron149564%80.472.7+7.7
4 Ohio148657%78.974.3+4.6
5 Toledo148657%77.977.9+0.0
6 Ball State147750%75.270.9+4.3
7 Eastern Michigan147750%72.176.5-4.4
8 Bowling Green146843%78.074.9+3.1
9 Central Michigan146843%73.270.9+2.3
10 UMass1661038%73.774.8-1.1
11 Buffalo1551033%72.581.5-8.9
12 Northern Illinois1441029%71.074.0-3.0
13 Western Michigan1431121%71.074.9-3.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo343569
Central Michigan303767
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