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Central Michigan vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 65-62
30-23 35-39
Position#168
Record8-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game66.9
Allowed / game73.7
Central Michigan 🏆
USA
vs
Toledo
USA
Position#107
Record11-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game77.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Central Michigan v Toledo
02 Jan 2027
CENT v TOLE
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
CENT75
TOLE78
19 Jan 2024
CENT65
TOLE62
28 Feb 2023
CENT65
TOLE99
04 Jan 2022
CENT54
TOLE82
02 Mar 2021
CENT81
TOLE79
25 Feb 2020
CENT81
TOLE93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Central Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Central MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#355
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H07/12
NCAA
Creighton
#43
L
64-109
64
109
-45
A09/12
NCAA
Davenport Univ.
#450
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H20/12
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H22/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#41
L
35-73
35
73
-38
A30/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
L
64-76
64
76
-12
H03/01
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A06/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
80-64
80
64
+16
A10/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
77-62
77
62
+15
H13/01
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
61-73
61
73
-12
A17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-22
34-45
36-56
28-53
46-39
44-27
44-31
31-32
14-37
21-36
18-36
46-40
31-29
40-36
33-31
47-33
32-36
45-26
28-40
33-33
140.6Avg total
68.8Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)66.973.7140.6-6.847%
Season at home (6)73.568.0141.5+5.567%
Season away (11)63.476.8140.2-13.536%
Last 10 (10)68.871.8140.6-3.060%
Last 5 (5)70.668.0138.6+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)62.477.9140.2-15.625%
vs Similar (5)69.276.4145.6-7.240%
vs Weaker (4)70.065.5135.5+4.575%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland
#76
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A07/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H09/12
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
88-87
88
87
+1
H14/12
NCAA
Vermont
#16
L
60-86
60
86
-26
H21/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
81-91
81
91
-10
A23/12
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A03/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H06/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
89-75
89
75
+14
A10/01
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H14/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-36
37-32
36-40
48-40
48-39
40-48
24-42
36-44
33-45
48-46
38-32
48-45
29-40
39-24
43-29
46-46
40-33
37-39
33-33
44-33
154.5Avg total
77.9Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.177.2156.2+1.965%
Season at home (11)79.177.0156.1+2.164%
Season away (6)79.077.5156.5+1.567%
Last 10 (10)77.976.6154.5+1.380%
Last 5 (5)79.470.8150.2+8.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.282.8155.0-10.50%
vs Similar (13)80.275.5155.8+4.785%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.772.9160.6+14.892%
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.8-3.81st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +2.6+2.6
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.8-3.81st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +2.6+2.6
Central MichiganToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Central MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#355
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H07/12
NCAA
Creighton
#43
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A09/12
NCAA
Davenport Univ.
#450
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H20/12
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H22/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#41
L
14-37
14
37
-23
A30/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
L
18-36
18
36
-18
H03/01
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A10/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H13/01
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A17/01
NCAA
67.6Avg total
31.9Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.537.767.2-8.230%-
Last 30 at home (12)31.737.869.5-6.225%-
Last 30 away (18)28.037.665.6-9.633%-
Last 10 (10)31.935.767.6-3.850%-
Last 5 (5)28.434.462.8-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)28.140.068.1-12.020%-
vs Similar (5)29.636.666.2-7.020%-
vs Weaker (4)32.227.059.2+5.275%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland
#76
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A07/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H09/12
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H14/12
NCAA
Vermont
#16
L
24-42
24
42
-18
H21/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A23/12
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H06/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A10/01
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H14/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H17/01
NCAA
72.5Avg total
35.6Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.635.474.1+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.435.675.0+3.950%-
Last 30 away (12)37.435.272.7+2.267%-
Last 10 (10)35.636.972.5-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.633.470.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.040.872.8-8.80%-
vs Similar (13)36.434.871.2+1.554%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.033.976.9+9.175%-
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Central Michigan wins
7
Toledo wins
DateGameScore
01/03/23Central Michigan v Toledo65-99
05/02/23Toledo v Central Michigan84-59
10/03/22Toledo v Central Michigan72-71
20/02/22Toledo v Central Michigan68-66
05/01/22Central Michigan v Toledo54-82
02/03/21Central Michigan v Toledo81-79
20/01/21Toledo v Central Michigan89-72
26/02/20Central Michigan v Toledo81-93
15/01/20Toledo v Central Michigan67-74
Central Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24AOhio61-73
13/01/24HKent State77-62
10/01/24AEastern Michigan80-64
06/01/24ABall State71-65
03/01/24HBuffalo64-76
30/12/23ALoyola Chicago35-73
22/12/23HDetroit75-63
20/12/23HDavenport Univ.90-66
09/12/23ACreighton64-109
07/12/23HValparaiso71-67
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24HBuffalo77-66
14/01/24HBall State77-72
10/01/24AKent State89-75
06/01/24HMiami (Ohio)68-64
03/01/24AOhio86-77
23/12/23AWest Virginia81-91
21/12/23HVermont60-86
14/12/23HMarshall88-87
09/12/23HNorthern Iowa84-80
07/12/23AOakland69-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Central Michigan
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL47%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLLWWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17611
Win %47%67%36%
Points / game66.973.563.4
Allowed / game73.768.076.8
Point differential-6.8+5.5-13.5
Avg total140.6141.5140.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toledo
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW65%
HomeWLWWW64%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %65%64%67%
Points / game79.179.179.0
Allowed / game77.277.077.5
Point differential+1.9+2.1+1.5
Avg total156.2156.1156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%18%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)80% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron1713476%77.165.6+11.5
2 Bowling Green1713476%75.969.2+6.7
3 UMass1711665%81.571.9+9.5
4 Toledo1711665%79.177.2+1.9
5 Ball State179853%74.069.6+4.4
6 Kent State179853%78.273.9+4.3
7 Miami (Ohio)168850%75.170.9+4.2
8 Ohio178947%78.671.8+6.8
9 Central Michigan178947%66.973.7-6.8
10 Eastern Michigan178947%67.574.4-6.9
11 Western Michigan1771041%74.476.2-1.9
12 Northern Illinois1761135%77.379.6-2.3
13 Buffalo1721512%67.679.1-11.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Central Michigan303565
Toledo233962
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