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Western Michigan vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 70-76
33-35 37-41
Position#305
Record3-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game74.1
Western Michigan
USA
vs
Toledo 🏆
USA
Position#167
Record6-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game77.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Western Michigan v Toledo
12 Dec 2026
WEST v TOLE
upcoming
11 Feb 2026
WEST79
TOLE90
04 Jan 2025
WEST70
TOLE76
22 Feb 2022
WEST50
TOLE92
02 Jan 2021
WEST59
TOLE70
22 Feb 2020
WEST59
TOLE68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#266
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A12/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
60-79
60
79
-19
H15/11
NCAA
Canisius
#369
W
92-69
92
69
+23
H17/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#146
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H21/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#117
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A27/11
NCAA
Dayton
#62
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A04/12
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A14/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
L
62-98
62
98
-36
A15/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H20/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-39
28-46
29-43
31-36
41-24
51-45
34-33
42-47
36-30
37-32
35-32
34-45
34-36
37-41
28-49
34-49
42-26
31-50
24-37
38-43
148.6Avg total
70.3Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)70.474.1144.5-3.725%
Season at home (5)77.470.0147.4+7.440%
Season away (7)65.477.0142.4-11.614%
Last 10 (10)70.378.3148.6-8.020%
Last 5 (5)67.481.6149.0-14.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)69.977.4147.3-7.526%
vs Similar ◀ (8)63.472.2135.6-8.925%
vs Weaker (2)91.570.5162.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wright State
#239
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H14/11
NCAA
Detroit
#340
W
82-67
82
67
+15
A16/11
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
103-78
103
78
+25
H21/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H22/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
45-80
45
80
-35
H23/11
NCAA
Oakland
#220
L
52-85
52
85
-33
H01/12
NCAA
Defiance College
#642
W
111-49
111
49
+62
H07/12
NCAA
Youngstown State
#117
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A14/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
49-78
49
78
-29
A19/12
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
41-33
45-44
36-35
46-32
51-35
52-43
34-41
48-39
25-34
20-46
23-34
29-51
55-23
56-26
39-44
48-49
22-39
27-39
28-39
36-44
153.1Avg total
76.1Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.177.8154.9-0.850%
Season at home (6)79.874.8154.7+5.067%
Season away (6)74.380.8155.2-6.533%
Last 10 (10)76.177.0153.1-0.950%
Last 5 (5)72.677.6150.2-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.485.9160.2-11.525%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.473.5150.9+3.967%
vs Weaker (10)86.070.2156.2+15.880%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: -7.1-7.12nd half: -0.6-0.6
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: -7.1-7.12nd half: -0.6-0.6
Western MichiganToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#266
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A12/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H15/11
NCAA
Canisius
#369
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H17/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#146
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H21/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#117
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A27/11
NCAA
Dayton
#62
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A04/12
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A14/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A15/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H20/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A30/12
NCAA
68.9Avg total
34.0Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.534.465.9-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.732.666.3+1.157%-
Last 30 away (16)29.536.065.5-6.525%-
Last 10 (10)34.034.968.9-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)32.636.068.6-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)30.835.466.2-4.642%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)28.635.964.5-7.212%-
vs Weaker (2)44.028.072.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wright State
#239
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H14/11
NCAA
Detroit
#340
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A16/11
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H21/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H22/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H23/11
NCAA
Oakland
#220
L
23-34
23
34
-11
H01/12
NCAA
Defiance College
#642
W
55-23
55
23
+32
H07/12
NCAA
Youngstown State
#117
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A14/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A19/12
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A29/12
NCAA
71.1Avg total
35.4Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.934.571.5+2.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.631.568.1+5.153%-
Last 30 away (15)37.337.674.9-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)35.435.771.1-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)33.435.869.2-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.940.974.8-7.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.432.568.9+3.950%-
vs Weaker (10)40.031.971.9+8.170%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Western Michigan wins
9
Toledo wins
DateGameScore
31/01/24Toledo v Western Michigan88-63
06/01/23Toledo v Western Michigan102-74
23/02/22Western Michigan v Toledo50-92
30/12/21Toledo v Western Michigan83-56
27/02/21Toledo v Western Michigan91-44
02/01/21Western Michigan v Toledo59-70
09/03/20Toledo v Western Michigan76-73
22/02/20Western Michigan v Toledo59-68
12/01/20Toledo v Western Michigan67-59
Western Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/24AMichigan State62-80
20/12/24HValparaiso73-76
15/12/24ANorth Dakota St62-98
14/12/24ASt. Thomas (Minn.)71-77
04/12/24ADayton69-77
27/11/24AYoungstown State73-62
21/11/24HSouth Dakota Coyotes76-80
17/11/24HCanisius92-69
15/11/24HSiu Edwardsville60-79
12/11/24AButler65-85
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24APurdue64-83
19/12/24AHouston49-78
14/12/24AYoungstown State87-93
07/12/24HDefiance College111-49
01/12/24HOakland52-85
23/11/24HUC San Diego45-80
22/11/24HJacksonville State82-80
21/11/24HStetson103-78
16/11/24ADetroit82-67
14/11/24HWright State86-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Michigan
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %25%40%14%
Points / game70.477.465.4
Allowed / game74.170.077.0
Point differential-3.7+7.4-11.6
Avg total144.5147.4142.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toledo
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL50%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game77.179.874.3
Allowed / game77.874.880.8
Point differential-0.8+5.0-6.5
Avg total154.9154.7155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State129375%69.663.6+6.0
2 Miami (Ohio)128467%82.471.1+11.3
3 Akron138562%79.972.8+7.1
4 Ball State126650%75.570.5+5.0
5 Ohio126650%79.975.5+4.4
6 Central Michigan126650%74.970.8+4.2
7 Toledo126650%77.177.8-0.8
8 Eastern Michigan126650%70.675.8-5.2
9 Buffalo125742%73.481.1-7.7
10 Bowling Green135838%77.674.6+3.0
11 UMass145936%74.275.2-1.0
12 Northern Illinois124833%72.874.4-1.7
13 Western Michigan123925%70.474.1-3.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Western Michigan333770
Toledo354176
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