PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Toledo vs Vermont Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 60-86
24-42 36-44
Position#107
Record6-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Vermont 🏆
USA
Position#16
Record8-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game64.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vermont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit
#370
W
94-60
94
60
+34
H07/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H12/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A15/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
84-92
84
92
-8
H22/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#37
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A23/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H24/11
NCAA
George Mason
#106
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H03/12
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A07/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H09/12
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
88-87
88
87
+1
H14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
51-35
43-25
34-45
53-33
41-40
37-37
32-42
52-50
32-39
39-38
40-40
34-36
35-40
42-46
32-36
37-32
36-40
48-40
48-39
40-48
158.7Avg total
80.6Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.678.1158.7+2.560%
Season at home (7)84.079.9163.9+4.157%
Season away (3)72.774.0146.7-1.367%
Last 10 (10)80.678.1158.7+2.560%
Last 5 (5)78.479.4157.8-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)76.381.7158.0-5.30%
vs Similar (11)79.676.7156.4+2.973%
vs Weaker (15)88.073.1161.1+14.9100%
This opponent (Vermont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VermontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston
#23
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H16/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A17/11
NCAA
Liberty
#158
L
61-71
61
71
-10
A19/11
NCAA
Northern Vermont - Johnson
#603
W
106-57
106
57
+49
H23/11
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A26/11
NCAA
Dartmouth
#352
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H30/11
NCAA
Yale
#51
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H03/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#298
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A07/12
NCAA
Colgate
#44
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H09/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
51-73
51
73
-22
A16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
27-36
46-28
47-32
31-36
33-35
28-36
56-35
50-22
29-35
41-44
28-31
36-22
28-26
38-39
40-43
33-28
32-31
39-46
17-36
34-37
139.1Avg total
71.3Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)72.764.5137.2+8.267%
Season at home (7)77.058.9135.9+18.186%
Season away (5)66.672.4139.0-5.840%
Last 10 (10)71.367.8139.1+3.560%
Last 5 (5)65.067.8132.8-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.773.3150.0+3.367%
vs Similar (7)67.471.4138.9-4.043%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)76.362.6138.9+13.789%
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: +4.0+4.02nd half: +3.8+3.8
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: +4.0+4.02nd half: +3.8+3.8
ToledoVermont
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit
#370
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H07/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H12/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A15/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H22/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#37
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A23/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H24/11
NCAA
George Mason
#106
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H03/12
NCAA
Oakland
#76
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A07/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H09/12
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H14/12
NCAA
77.7Avg total
38.1Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.334.574.8+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.934.676.6+7.365%-
Last 30 away (13)38.234.372.5+3.977%-
Last 10 (10)38.139.677.7-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.077.2-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)34.740.375.0-5.70%-
vs Similar (11)37.334.772.0+2.555%-
vs Weaker (15)43.632.876.4+10.893%-
This opponent (Vermont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VermontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston
#23
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H16/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A17/11
NCAA
Liberty
#158
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A19/11
NCAA
Northern Vermont - Johnson
#603
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H23/11
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A26/11
NCAA
Dartmouth
#352
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H30/11
NCAA
Yale
#51
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H03/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#298
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A07/12
NCAA
Colgate
#44
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H09/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
17-36
17
36
-19
A16/12
NCAA
67.7Avg total
33.7Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.730.366.9+6.463%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.426.865.2+11.582%-
Last 30 away (13)34.534.869.2-0.338%-
Last 10 (10)33.734.067.7-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)29.033.462.4-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.031.362.3-0.333%-
vs Similar (7)31.134.365.4-3.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)38.829.468.2+9.574%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Toledo wins
0
Vermont wins
DateGameScore
20/12/22Vermont v Toledo72-84
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/23HMarshall88-87
09/12/23HNorthern Iowa84-80
07/12/23AOakland69-68
03/12/23HGeorge Mason77-86
24/11/23HIndiana State74-76
23/11/23AUC Irvine71-77
22/11/23HNew Mexico84-92
15/11/23AWright State78-77
12/11/23HLouisiana Lafayette87-78
07/11/23HDetroit94-60
Vermontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23AVirginia Tech51-73
09/12/23HColgate71-77
07/12/23ANortheastern73-71
03/12/23HYale66-65
30/11/23HDartmouth64-53
26/11/23ABradley70-79
23/11/23HNorthern Vermont - Johnson106-57
19/11/23ALiberty61-71
17/11/23ASt. Louis Billikens78-68
16/11/23HCharleston73-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeLLLWW57%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %60%57%67%
Points / game80.684.072.7
Allowed / game78.179.974.0
Point differential+2.5+4.1-1.3
Avg total158.7163.9146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vermont
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %67%86%40%
Points / game72.777.066.6
Allowed / game64.558.972.4
Point differential+8.2+18.1-5.8
Avg total137.2135.9139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%57%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass86275%84.172.9+11.2
2 Ball State118373%76.166.5+9.5
3 Bowling Green118373%73.565.7+7.8
4 Akron107370%76.764.5+12.2
5 Kent State107370%84.372.5+11.8
6 Ohio106460%81.670.1+11.5
7 Northern Illinois106460%82.276.2+6.0
8 Toledo106460%80.678.1+2.5
9 Eastern Michigan105550%66.874.4-7.6
10 Miami (Ohio)94544%71.772.1-0.4
11 Central Michigan104640%67.577.7-10.2
12 Western Michigan102820%65.373.8-8.5
13 Buffalo101910%67.881.9-14.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vermont128467%72.764.5+8.2
2 UMass Lowell117464%78.566.5+11.9
3 Binghamton117464%73.970.9+3.0
4 New Hampshire85362%80.972.9+8.0
5 Albany74357%76.675.7+0.9
6 Bryant University137654%77.874.5+3.2
7 Maine Black Bears137654%67.865.1+2.8
8 UMBC Retrievers135838%78.482.3-3.9
9 NJIT102820%66.980.5-13.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo243660
Vermont424486
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.