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Toledo vs Western Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 91-44
54-16 37-28
Position#40
Record18-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game72.2
Toledo 🏆
USA
vs
Position#321
Record4-14
FormWWLLL
Points / game63.6
Allowed / game71.8
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Toledo v Western Michigan
30 Dec 2025
TOLE84
WEST79
30 Jan 2024
TOLE88
WEST63
06 Jan 2023
TOLE102
WEST74
29 Dec 2021
TOLE83
WEST56
27 Feb 2021
TOLE91
WEST44
09 Mar 2020
TOLE76
WEST73
11 Jan 2020
TOLE67
WEST59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#88
L
94-95 OT
94
95
-1
A16/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#296
W
89-72
89
72
+17
H20/01
NCAA
Kent State
#89
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H23/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#168
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A27/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#142
W
84-66
84
66
+18
A30/01
NCAA
Akron
#88
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H03/02
NCAA
Ball State
#232
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A06/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#142
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H13/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#168
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H17/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#74
W
80-70
80
70
+10
A20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
44-42
39-41
42-33
47-39
41-33
35-41
45-33
45-48
40-28
44-38
49-35
42-41
36-34
31-47
37-41
44-47
46-37
41-38
40-32
40-38
161.7Avg total
83.9Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.772.2152.9+8.575%
Season at home (11)81.668.7150.4+12.991%
Season away (13)79.975.1155.0+4.862%
Last 10 (10)83.977.8161.7+6.170%
Last 5 (5)81.278.0159.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)79.176.7155.8+2.473%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)79.168.0147.1+11.179%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#89
L
54-80
54
80
-26
A09/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#74
L
69-85
69
85
-16
H12/01
NCAA
Akron
#88
L
68-79
68
79
-11
H23/01
NCAA
Ohio
#67
L
58-81
58
81
-23
A26/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#168
L
56-65
56
65
-9
A30/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#142
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A04/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#296
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A06/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#74
L
54-86
54
86
-32
A13/02
NCAA
Kent State
#89
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H17/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#168
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-27
27-53
32-38
37-47
38-31
30-48
31-43
27-38
21-25
35-40
40-29
36-41
32-28
35-37
21-41
33-45
40-36
29-40
39-40
27-34
139.8Avg total
63.7Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)63.671.8135.4-8.222%
Season at home (10)65.770.1135.8-4.420%
Season away (8)61.074.0135.0-13.025%
Last 10 (10)63.776.1139.8-12.420%
Last 5 (5)66.474.2140.6-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)64.472.9137.3-8.522%
vs Similar (6)65.569.8135.3-4.333%
vs Weaker (1)62.042.0104.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +7.2+7.21st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -10.7-10.7
-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +7.2+7.21st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -10.7-10.7
ToledoWestern Michigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#88
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A16/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#296
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H20/01
NCAA
Kent State
#89
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H23/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#168
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A27/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#142
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A30/01
NCAA
Akron
#88
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H03/02
NCAA
Ball State
#232
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A06/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#142
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H13/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#168
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H17/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#74
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A20/02
NCAA
76.8Avg total
42.0Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.832.770.5+5.177%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.332.370.6+6.079%-
Last 30 away (16)37.333.170.4+4.275%-
Last 10 (10)42.034.876.8+7.290%-
Last 5 (5)41.635.877.4+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)37.435.973.3+1.564%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)38.030.868.8+7.284%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#89
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A09/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#74
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H12/01
NCAA
Akron
#88
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H23/01
NCAA
Ohio
#67
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#168
L
21-25
21
25
-4
A30/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#142
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A04/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#296
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A06/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#74
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A13/02
NCAA
Kent State
#89
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H17/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#168
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H25/02
NCAA
65.9Avg total
32.1Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.033.164.1-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.232.365.6+0.956%-
Last 30 away (14)28.434.062.4-5.614%-
Last 10 (10)32.133.865.9-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)34.434.869.2-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)31.633.865.4-2.239%-
vs Similar (6)28.733.362.0-4.717%-
vs Weaker (1)30.016.046.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Toledo wins
0
Western Michigan wins
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/21ABuffalo80-70
17/02/21HMiami (Ohio)87-75
13/02/21HBowling Green81-88
06/02/21ABall State67-81
03/02/21HAkron91-76
30/01/21ABowling Green84-66
27/01/21AMiami (Ohio)90-81
23/01/21HKent State76-74
20/01/21HCentral Michigan89-72
16/01/21AAkron94-95 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/21HMiami (Ohio)66-74
17/02/21HKent State69-76
13/02/21ABuffalo54-86
06/02/21ACentral Michigan67-65
04/02/21ABowling Green76-70
30/01/21AMiami (Ohio)56-65
26/01/21AOhio58-81
23/01/21HAkron68-79
12/01/21HBuffalo69-85
09/01/21AKent State54-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW75%
HomeWWWLW91%
AwayLWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %75%91%62%
Points / game80.781.679.9
Allowed / game72.268.775.1
Point differential+8.5+12.9+4.8
Avg total152.9150.4155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%64%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %8%0%15%
Western Michigan
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL22%
HomeLLLLL20%
AwayLLWWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %22%20%25%
Points / game63.665.761.0
Allowed / game71.870.174.0
Point differential-8.2-4.4-13.0
Avg total135.4135.8135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toledo2418675%80.772.2+8.5
2 Kent State2115671%77.770.0+7.8
3 Akron2014670%78.671.6+7.0
4 Ohio2013765%80.273.7+6.5
5 Buffalo1912763%82.972.7+10.2
6 Bowling Green2314961%79.075.1+3.9
7 UMass127558%76.872.1+4.8
8 Miami (Ohio)21111052%72.271.1+1.0
9 Ball State2091145%73.074.5-1.6
10 Eastern Michigan1651131%71.174.9-3.8
11 Central Michigan2061430%76.979.2-2.2
12 Western Michigan1841422%63.671.8-8.2
13 Northern Illinois1721512%61.377.9-16.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo543791
Western Michigan162844
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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