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Toledo vs Western Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 88-63
48-27 40-36
Position#107
Record13-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game76.1
Toledo 🏆
USA
vs
Position#300
Record8-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game74.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Toledo v Western Michigan
30 Dec 2025
TOLE84
WEST79
30 Jan 2024
TOLE88
WEST63
06 Jan 2023
TOLE102
WEST74
29 Dec 2021
TOLE83
WEST56
27 Feb 2021
TOLE91
WEST44
09 Mar 2020
TOLE76
WEST73
11 Jan 2020
TOLE67
WEST59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vermont
#16
L
60-86
60
86
-26
H21/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
81-91
81
91
-10
A23/12
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A03/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H06/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
89-75
89
75
+14
A10/01
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H14/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H17/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A20/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
89-73
89
73
+16
A24/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
W
88-72
88
72
+16
H27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
24-42
36-44
33-45
48-46
38-32
48-45
29-40
39-24
43-29
46-46
40-33
37-39
33-33
44-33
23-30
39-35
38-38
51-35
31-31
57-41
151.8Avg total
77.7Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.276.1155.2+3.165%
Season at home (12)79.876.6156.4+3.267%
Season away (8)78.175.4153.5+2.862%
Last 10 (10)77.774.1151.8+3.670%
Last 5 (5)78.669.6148.2+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.282.8155.0-10.50%
vs Similar (13)80.575.4155.9+5.285%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.474.2161.7+13.283%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland State
#137
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A21/12
NCAA
Aquinas
#670
W
127-71
127
71
+56
H29/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A03/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A06/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
95-90 OT
95
90
+5
H10/01
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H13/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A17/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A20/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H24/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
55-62
55
62
-7
H27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-46
43-44
68-40
59-31
44-41
39-33
34-32
48-45
33-48
46-31
37-36
44-43
29-27
37-50
31-39
48-45
31-20
42-36
16-29
39-33
157.8Avg total
81.8Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)73.574.9148.4-1.440%
Season at home (11)76.071.4147.4+4.655%
Season away (9)70.679.2149.8-8.722%
Last 10 (10)81.876.0157.8+5.860%
Last 5 (5)70.871.6142.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)69.577.2146.7-7.618%
vs Similar (10)68.973.5142.4-4.650%
vs Weaker (2)70.571.5142.0-1.050%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +5.7+5.72nd half: +5.4+5.4
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +5.7+5.72nd half: +5.4+5.4
ToledoWestern Michigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vermont
#16
L
24-42
24
42
-18
H21/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A23/12
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H06/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A10/01
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H14/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H17/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A20/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H27/01
NCAA
68.5Avg total
33.2Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.736.173.8+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.436.174.6+2.344%-
Last 30 away (12)36.636.072.6+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)33.235.368.5-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)33.033.066.0+0.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.040.872.8-8.80%-
vs Similar (13)35.935.171.0+0.846%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.235.276.4+5.958%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland State
#137
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A21/12
NCAA
Aquinas
#670
W
68-40
68
40
+28
H29/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A03/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H10/01
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H13/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A17/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A20/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H24/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
16-29
16
29
-13
H27/01
NCAA
71.5Avg total
35.7Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.236.267.5-5.033%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.135.266.3-4.141%-
Last 30 away (13)31.437.669.0-6.223%-
Last 10 (10)35.735.871.5-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)28.830.259.0-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)30.137.867.9-7.729%-
vs Similar (10)29.534.463.9-4.930%-
vs Weaker (2)31.030.061.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Toledo wins
0
Western Michigan wins
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HBowling Green88-72
24/01/24ANorthern Illinois89-73
20/01/24ACentral Michigan62-65
17/01/24HBuffalo77-66
14/01/24HBall State77-72
10/01/24AKent State89-75
06/01/24HMiami (Ohio)68-64
03/01/24AOhio86-77
23/12/23AWest Virginia81-91
21/12/23HVermont60-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HCentral Michigan55-62
24/01/24HEastern Michigan73-56
20/01/24ABowling Green79-84
17/01/24AAkron66-77
13/01/24HOhio81-79
10/01/24HNorthern Illinois95-90 OT
06/01/24ABuffalo82-77
03/01/24AMiami (Ohio)83-74
29/12/23HAquinas127-71
21/12/23ACleveland State77-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW65%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %65%67%62%
Points / game79.279.878.1
Allowed / game76.176.675.4
Point differential+3.0+3.2+2.8
Avg total155.2156.4153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)80% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Western Michigan
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeWWWWL55%
AwayLWWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %40%55%22%
Points / game73.576.070.6
Allowed / game74.971.479.2
Point differential-1.4+4.6-8.7
Avg total148.4147.4149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %10%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron2015575%76.265.8+10.4
2 Bowling Green2014670%76.571.7+4.8
3 UMass2013765%81.372.0+9.3
4 Toledo2013765%79.276.1+3.0
5 Ball State2011955%75.370.0+5.2
6 Central Michigan2011955%66.871.2-4.5
7 Miami (Ohio)1910953%74.471.3+3.2
8 Ohio20101050%77.571.0+6.6
9 Kent State20101050%77.874.5+3.3
10 Eastern Michigan2091145%67.374.4-7.1
11 Western Michigan2081240%73.574.9-1.4
12 Northern Illinois1961332%76.780.2-3.4
13 Buffalo1921711%67.179.3-12.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo484088
Western Michigan273663
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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