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Toledo vs Western Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 102-74
42-23 60-51
Position#18
Record9-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game80.2
Toledo 🏆
USA
vs
Position#345
Record4-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game68.6
Allowed / game69.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Toledo v Western Michigan
30 Dec 2025
TOLE84
WEST79
30 Jan 2024
TOLE88
WEST63
06 Jan 2023
TOLE102
WEST74
29 Dec 2021
TOLE83
WEST56
27 Feb 2021
TOLE91
WEST44
09 Mar 2020
TOLE76
WEST73
11 Jan 2020
TOLE67
WEST59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Carolina
#220
L
75-86
75
86
-11
H22/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#98
W
82-69
82
69
+13
A23/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
W
90-67
90
67
+23
H01/12
NCAA
George Mason
#120
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A03/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A07/12
NCAA
Canisius
#310
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H10/12
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
85-100
85
100
-15
A17/12
NCAA
Vermont
#68
W
84-72
84
72
+12
A20/12
NCAA
Lourdes
#397
W
103-88
103
88
+15
H29/12
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
83-90
83
90
-7
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-32
42-54
45-33
37-36
40-33
50-34
32-35
41-45
40-31
43-44
32-29
37-39
44-45
41-55
42-28
42-44
48-35
55-53
37-40
46-50
162.2Avg total
82.7Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)84.980.2165.1+4.664%
Season at home (8)88.880.5169.2+8.275%
Season away (6)79.779.8159.5-0.250%
Last 10 (10)82.779.5162.2+3.260%
Last 5 (5)84.883.6168.4+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)87.385.7173.0+1.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)82.273.0155.2+9.272%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rice
#164
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A19/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H20/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#107
L
49-71
49
71
-22
H26/11
NCAA
Dayton
#85
L
47-67
47
67
-20
A01/12
NCAA
Concordia
#588
W
94-50
94
50
+44
H06/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
56-62
56
62
-6
H10/12
NCAA
Iowa State
#136
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A18/12
NCAA
Siena Heights
#418
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A31/12
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-41
47-55
27-37
30-26
19-38
30-33
24-37
23-30
39-23
55-27
18-30
38-32
23-37
34-36
27-8
34-33
27-29
39-47
26-38
46-42
132.6Avg total
64.7Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)68.669.1137.7-0.429%
Season at home (6)69.358.2127.5+11.250%
Season away (8)68.177.2145.4-9.112%
Last 10 (10)64.767.9132.6-3.220%
Last 5 (5)62.466.4128.8-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)64.674.5139.2-9.911%
vs Similar (7)67.170.0137.1-2.943%
vs Weaker (2)79.561.5141.0+18.050%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: -4.7-4.72nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: -4.7-4.72nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: +1.5+1.5
ToledoWestern Michigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Carolina
#220
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H22/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#98
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A23/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H01/12
NCAA
George Mason
#120
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A03/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A07/12
NCAA
Canisius
#310
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H10/12
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A17/12
NCAA
Vermont
#68
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A20/12
NCAA
Lourdes
#397
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H29/12
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H04/01
NCAA
73.4Avg total
39.3Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.934.874.7+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.834.572.3+3.356%-
Last 30 away (12)43.035.278.2+7.875%-
Last 10 (10)39.334.173.4+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)40.635.476.0+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)41.739.781.3+2.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)40.034.274.2+5.868%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rice
#164
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A19/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H20/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#107
L
19-38
19
38
-19
H26/11
NCAA
Dayton
#85
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A01/12
NCAA
Concordia
#588
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H06/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
18-30
18
30
-12
H10/12
NCAA
Iowa State
#136
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A18/12
NCAA
Siena Heights
#418
W
27-8
27
8
+19
H21/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A31/12
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A04/01
NCAA
58.9Avg total
27.1Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.233.866.0-1.533%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.230.863.0+1.538%-
Last 30 away (17)32.236.168.3-3.829%-
Last 10 (10)27.131.858.9-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)24.228.452.6-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)32.036.968.9-4.921%-
vs Similar (7)32.031.663.6+0.443%-
vs Weaker (2)34.530.064.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Toledo wins
0
Western Michigan wins
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/23HBall State83-90
29/12/22HLourdes103-88
20/12/22AVermont84-72
17/12/22AMarshall85-100
10/12/22HCanisius69-68
07/12/22ANorthern Iowa83-75
03/12/22AGeorge Mason73-80
01/12/22HRichmond Spiders90-67
23/11/22ANorthern Kentucky82-69
22/11/22HEast Carolina75-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/23AKent State72-80
31/12/22AWisconsin66-76
21/12/22HSiena Heights61-41
18/12/22AIowa State57-73
10/12/22HIllinois (Chi.)56-62
06/12/22HConcordia94-50
01/12/22ADayton47-67
26/11/22HCleveland State49-71
20/11/22HGeorgia Southern57-63
19/11/22ARice88-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL64%
HomeLWWWL75%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %64%75%50%
Points / game84.988.879.7
Allowed / game80.280.579.8
Point differential+4.6+8.2-0.2
Avg total165.1169.2159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Western Michigan
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %29%50%12%
Points / game68.669.368.1
Allowed / game69.158.277.2
Point differential-0.4+11.2-9.1
Avg total137.7127.5145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State1411379%75.161.6+13.5
2 Akron1410471%71.260.4+10.8
3 Ball State1410471%77.467.1+10.4
4 UMass1410471%71.068.0+3.0
5 Toledo149564%84.980.2+4.6
6 Ohio148657%77.170.5+6.6
7 Bowling Green147750%76.973.7+3.2
8 Buffalo147750%78.676.9+1.6
9 Central Michigan146843%68.969.0-0.1
10 Western Michigan1441029%68.669.1-0.4
11 Northern Illinois1441029%67.976.2-8.3
12 Eastern Michigan1431121%73.481.5-8.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo4260102
Western Michigan235174
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