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Torino vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 95-86
32-16 24-24 20-23 19-23
Position#12
Record8-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game77.8
Torino 🏆
Italy
vs
Brescia
Italy
Position#3
Record10-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game70.8
ItalyLega ARound 14
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Torino v Brescia
24 Mar 2019
TOR89
BRE91
18 Feb 2018
TOR69
BRE67
07 Jan 2018
TOR95
BRE86
02 Jan 2017
TOR86
BRE91
24 May 2015
TOR91
BRE86
22 May 2015
TOR89
BRE68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TorinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTorino
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#13
L
65-80
65
80
-15
89avg 108
A03/12
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#19
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A06/12
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
71-59
71
59
+12
101avg 108
H10/12
Lega A
Levallois
#21
W
92-86
92
86
+6
no box
H13/12
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
76-84
76
84
-8
102avg 108
A17/12
Lega A
Darussafaka
#2
W
77-75
77
75
+2
no box
A20/12
Eurocup
Reggiana
#11
W
87-64
87
64
+23
123avg 108
H23/12
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#4
L
72-79
72
79
-7
no box
H26/12
Eurocup
Trento
#5
L
67-79
67
79
-12
93avg 108
A30/12
Lega A
Bayern
#3
W
90-76
90
76
+14
no box
H02/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
16-20
15-26
16-18
14-15
17-27
28-20
18-21
16-14
16-13
20-8
19-24
31-14
20-24
21-23
20-25
23-15
22-23
15-22
16-24
20-16
19-20
19-18
19-21
25-19
21-9
27-17
14-19
16-16
16-23
18-22
22-18
10-15
15-27
20-26
22-11
25-17
21-15
23-25
21-19
153.9Avg total
77.4Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.477.8157.2+1.662%
Season at home (6)86.778.0164.7+8.783%
Season away (7)73.177.6150.7-4.443%
Last 10 (10)77.476.5153.9+0.950%
Last 5 (5)78.674.6153.2+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)78.882.7161.5-3.944%
vs Similar (12)83.182.1165.2+1.050%
vs Weaker (2)80.574.5155.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
W
73-67
73
67
+6
101avg 105
H23/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
78-69
78
69
+9
104avg 105
A29/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
79-68
79
68
+11
104avg 105
H05/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
76-74
76
74
+2
106avg 105
A12/11
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
87-53
87
53
+34
119avg 105
H19/11
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
A04/12
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
78-79
78
79
-1
104avg 105
H09/12
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
90-71
90
71
+19
119avg 105
H17/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
71-74
71
74
-3
94avg 105
A26/12
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
67-80
67
80
-13
95avg 105
H02/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
28-14
17-17
11-23
23-20
24-20
16-21
15-8
27-15
16-19
15-15
21-19
22-16
23-25
7-20
24-13
20-11
24-10
20-10
23-22
28-21
22-19
16-22
22-22
18-21
23-22
21-14
16-22
19-25
17-12
25-24
29-10
16-22
19-23
27-15
9-14
18-18
21-19
15-25
13-18
150.6Avg total
78.7Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.670.8149.4+7.877%
Season at home (7)81.470.4151.9+11.071%
Season away (6)75.371.2146.5+4.283%
Last 10 (10)78.771.9150.6+6.870%
Last 5 (5)78.877.6156.4+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.782.3156.0-8.629%
vs Similar (17)76.676.8153.5-0.253%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)81.068.8149.8+12.2100%
This opponent (Torino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
TorinoBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TorinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#13
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A03/12
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#19
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A06/12
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H10/12
Lega A
Levallois
#21
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H13/12
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A17/12
Lega A
Darussafaka
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A20/12
Eurocup
Reggiana
#11
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H23/12
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#4
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H26/12
Eurocup
Trento
#5
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A30/12
Lega A
Bayern
#3
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H02/01
Eurocup
73.9Avg total
38.1Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.880.9-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.838.979.7+1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)39.542.682.1-3.140%-
Last 10 (10)38.135.873.9+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)37.635.473.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.941.480.3-2.638%-
vs Similar (12)42.439.281.6+3.258%-
vs Weaker (2)36.545.081.5-8.50%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H23/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A29/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H05/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A12/11
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H19/11
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A04/12
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H09/12
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H17/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A26/12
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H02/01
Lega A
79.0Avg total
42.5Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.337.877.1+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.935.976.8+5.160%-
Last 30 away (15)37.739.777.3-2.047%-
Last 10 (10)42.536.579.0+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.480.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.140.077.1-2.929%-
vs Similar (17)38.637.776.4+0.953%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)44.035.079.0+9.080%-
This opponent (Torino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Torinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torino: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.923.5
52.3%
51.6%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.16.2
30.8%
34.9%18.6
🏀 Free throws18.013.9
77.2%
73.0%13.9
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.3
52.2%
51.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.2
36.3%
34.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.213.5
70.3%
73.0%13.5
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Torino
WLLWWLWWLL
Brescia
LLWLWWWWWW
#12
League position
#3
+2.6
Net rating
+10.3
104.6
Offensive rating
108.3
102.0
Defensive rating
98.0
50.5%
Effective FG%
53.0%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
17.4%
Turnover %
15.3%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.8%
3-point %
36.3%
57.6%
Assist %
61.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 108.3Defence102.0 · 98.0Shooting50.5% · 53.0%3-point %30.8% · 36.3%Ball care17.4% · 15.3%Off. rebounds29.4% · 26.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Torino   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Torino wins
3
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
30/04/17Brescia v Torino96-89
02/01/17Torino v Brescia86-91
24/05/15Torino v Brescia91-86 OT
22/05/15Torino v Brescia89-68
19/05/15Brescia v Torino74-85
17/05/15Brescia v Torino78-73
Torinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/18HBayern90-76
30/12/17ATrento67-79
26/12/17HUnics Kazan72-79
23/12/17HReggiana87-64
20/12/17ADarussafaka77-75
17/12/17AVirtus Bologna76-84
13/12/17HLevallois92-86
10/12/17HOlimpia Milano71-59
06/12/17AMoraBanc Andorra77-83
03/12/17APistoia65-80
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/18HCremona67-80
26/12/17AOlimpia Milano71-74
17/12/17HVenezia90-71
09/12/17HSassari78-79
04/12/17ACantu88-84
19/11/17HCapo d'Orlando87-53
12/11/17AVirtus Bologna76-74
05/11/17HReggiana79-68
29/10/17ABrindisi78-69
23/10/17HVarese73-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Torino
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL62%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %62%83%43%
Points / game79.486.773.1
Allowed / game77.878.077.6
Point differential+1.6+8.7-4.4
Avg total157.2164.7150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brescia
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL77%
HomeWWLWL71%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %77%71%83%
Points / game78.681.475.3
Allowed / game70.870.471.2
Point differential+7.8+11.0+4.2
Avg total149.4151.9146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%57%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1310377%78.670.8+7.8
2 Olimpia Milano1310377%76.571.2+5.3
3 Avellino1310377%82.177.4+4.7
4 Venezia139469%82.479.5+2.8
5 Torino138562%79.477.8+1.6
6 Virtus Bologna137654%80.576.3+4.2
7 Sassari137654%84.280.7+3.5
8 Trento137654%77.576.6+0.8
9 Cantu147750%85.985.6+0.2
10 Cremona136746%80.880.2+0.7
11 Reggiana135838%73.574.7-1.2
12 Capo d'Orlando145936%67.079.1-12.1
13 Varese134931%75.974.6+1.3
14 Pistoia134931%74.981.3-6.4
15 Brindisi1331023%76.081.7-5.7
16 Pesaro1331023%75.181.9-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Torino3224201995
Brescia1624232386
← all games of the day
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