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Brescia vs Torino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 96-89
35-17 19-26 19-19 23-27
Position#11
Record12-16
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game81.4
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Torino
Italy
Position#12
Record12-16
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game85.0
ItalyLega ARound 29
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Brescia v Torino
25 Nov 2018
BRE83
TOR76
06 May 2018
BRE98
TOR95
30 Apr 2017
BRE96
TOR89
19 May 2015
BRE74
TOR85
17 May 2015
BRE78
TOR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Torino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Sassari
#2
L
70-77
70
77
-7
no box
A18/02
Italian Cup
Avellino
#3
W
91-87
91
87
+4
118avg 107
H26/02
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
67-71
67
71
-4
93avg 107
A05/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
81-91
81
91
-10
108avg 107
H11/03
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
78-87
78
87
-9
107avg 107
H19/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
70-103
70
103
-33
96avg 107
A27/03
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
64-62
64
62
+2
88avg 107
H02/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
86-80
86
80
+6
116avg 107
A09/04
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
104avg 107
H15/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
59-99
59
99
-40
84avg 107
A23/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
24-11
16-27
15-17
24-20
21-27
25-21
21-19
24-17
11-18
14-19
18-17
21-23
19-19
24-24
17-25
23-21
11-21
20-25
24-20
17-36
18-16
16-30
19-21
6-15
17-13
19-16
22-18
24-21
17-17
16-18
29-24
21-10
16-23
15-32
27-19
20-21
15-23
10-34
14-21
158.6Avg total
74.5Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.681.4160.0-2.743%
Season at home (14)82.377.4159.6+4.957%
Season away (14)75.085.4160.4-10.429%
Last 10 (10)74.584.1158.6-9.630%
Last 5 (5)71.685.6157.2-14.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.085.7161.7-9.725%
vs Similar ◀ (17)80.078.1158.1+1.953%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Torino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTorino
Date
Competition
Cremona
#16
L
82-117
82
117
-35
104avg 107
A12/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
90-88
90
88
+2
122avg 107
H26/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
74-81
74
81
-7
100avg 107
A05/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
76-67
76
67
+9
108avg 107
H13/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
70-89
70
89
-19
93avg 107
A19/03
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
87-76
87
76
+11
120avg 107
H26/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
no box
H02/04
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
76-83
76
83
-7
100avg 107
A09/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
80-91
80
91
-11
102avg 107
A15/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
79-87
79
87
-8
104avg 107
H23/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-30
15-32
17-27
31-28
20-23
23-21
21-24
26-20
20-18
15-25
14-13
25-25
22-16
19-21
15-13
20-17
9-25
26-11
12-35
23-18
25-11
23-21
19-19
20-25
20-13
23-19
9-18
26-28
14-24
24-21
25-9
13-29
29-17
19-25
19-23
13-26
19-14
30-18
14-27
16-28
167.9Avg total
80.5Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.385.0166.3-3.643%
Season at home (14)86.084.2170.2+1.857%
Season away (14)76.685.7162.4-9.129%
Last 10 (10)80.587.4167.9-6.930%
Last 5 (5)82.686.4169.0-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)80.085.2165.2-5.233%
vs Similar ◀ (18)80.883.1163.8-2.350%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -7.1-7.1Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -3.1-3.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -7.1-7.1Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -3.1-3.1
BresciaTorino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#2
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A18/02
Italian Cup
Avellino
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/02
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A05/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H11/03
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H19/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A27/03
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H02/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A09/04
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H15/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A23/04
Lega A
75.8Avg total
36.4Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.540.378.8-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.138.678.6+1.557%-
Last 30 away (16)37.141.978.9-4.825%-
Last 10 (10)36.439.475.8-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)34.239.073.2-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.842.179.9-4.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.739.378.0-0.647%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Torino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#16
L
34-62
34
62
-28
A12/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H26/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A05/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H13/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A19/03
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H26/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H02/04
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A09/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A15/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H23/04
Lega A
81.9Avg total
41.4Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.381.2+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.838.382.1+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)38.142.380.3-4.233%-
Last 10 (10)41.440.581.9+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)45.236.681.8+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.241.482.6-0.242%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)40.839.580.3+1.356%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.4
51.5%
51.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.1
34.5%
35.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.613.7
73.7%
74.0%13.7
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Torinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torino: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.0
50.1%
51.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.3
34.3%
35.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws24.219.4
80.2%
74.0%19.4
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LLWWLLLLWL
Torino
LLLLWLWLWL
#11
League position
#12
-14.8
Net rating
-9.2
103.2
Offensive rating
107.5
117.9
Defensive rating
116.7
51.6%
Effective FG%
50.7%
59.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
19.3%
Turnover %
17.9%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.40
34.5%
3-point %
34.3%
60.8%
Assist %
54.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 107.5Defence117.9 · 116.7Shooting51.6% · 50.7%3-point %34.5% · 34.3%Ball care19.3% · 17.9%Off. rebounds25.3% · 27.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Brescia   ■ Torino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Brescia wins
3
Torino wins
DateGameScore
02/01/17Torino v Brescia86-91
24/05/15Torino v Brescia91-86 OT
22/05/15Torino v Brescia89-68
19/05/15Brescia v Torino74-85
17/05/15Brescia v Torino78-73
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/17ATrento59-99
15/04/17HVenezia79-84
09/04/17ACremona86-80
02/04/17HCaserta64-62
27/03/17AReggiana70-103
19/03/17HVarese78-87
11/03/17HBrindisi81-91
05/03/17ACapo d'Orlando67-71
26/02/17HAvellino91-87
18/02/17ASassari70-77
Torinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/17HSassari79-87
15/04/17AReggiana80-91
09/04/17ACaserta76-83
02/04/17HPistoia91-95 OT
26/03/17HCantu87-76
19/03/17AVenezia70-89
13/03/17HTrento76-67
05/03/17AOlimpia Milano74-81
26/02/17HBrindisi90-88
12/02/17ACremona82-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL43%
HomeWLLWL57%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game78.682.375.0
Allowed / game81.477.485.4
Point differential-2.7+4.9-10.4
Avg total160.0159.6160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Torino
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL43%
HomeWWWLL57%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game81.386.076.6
Allowed / game85.084.285.7
Point differential-3.6+1.8-9.1
Avg total166.3170.2162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%14%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)50% (10)67% (3)
Overtime %11%21%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2822679%86.379.4+6.9
2 Venezia2819968%81.177.9+3.3
3 Avellino28181064%79.976.2+3.8
4 Sassari28171161%76.673.3+3.4
5 Trento28161257%78.073.2+4.8
6 Reggiana28161257%81.881.2+0.6
7 Pistoia28141450%76.977.1-0.2
8 Capo d'Orlando28141450%75.676.4-0.8
9 Brindisi28131546%83.782.3+1.4
10 Varese28121643%77.379.9-2.6
11 Brescia28121643%78.681.4-2.7
12 Torino28121643%81.385.0-3.6
13 Caserta28111739%78.081.5-3.4
14 Cantu28111739%78.182.0-3.9
15 Pesaro2891932%75.280.1-4.9
16 Cremona2882029%78.480.2-1.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia3519192396
Torino1726192789
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