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Brescia vs Capo d'Orlando Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Nov 2017
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 87-53
20-11 24-10 20-10 23-22
Position#3
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game68.4
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record3-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game72.6
ItalyLega ARound 8
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Brescia v Capo d'Orlando
19 Nov 2017
BRE87
KDO53
05 Nov 2016
BRE89
KDO90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Capo d'Orlando winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
L
59-99
59
99
-40
A23/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
96-89
96
89
+7
H30/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
62-86
62
86
-24
A07/05
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A01/10
Lega A
Avellino
#4
W
96-75
96
75
+21
H08/10
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
66-56
66
56
+10
A14/10
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H23/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A29/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H05/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A12/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
15-23
10-34
14-21
35-17
19-26
19-19
23-27
17-22
18-23
10-17
17-24
17-26
19-14
16-15
21-15
20-26
29-18
21-20
26-11
15-10
13-13
19-19
19-14
17-13
28-14
17-17
11-23
23-20
24-20
16-21
15-8
27-15
16-19
15-15
21-19
22-16
23-25
7-20
24-13
151.1Avg total
75.8Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.368.4145.7+8.9100%
Season at home (3)82.770.0152.7+12.7100%
Season away (4)73.267.2140.5+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.875.3151.1+0.580%
Last 5 (5)74.466.8141.2+7.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.682.5156.1-8.925%
vs Similar (18)79.777.6157.2+2.161%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)76.769.0145.7+7.7100%
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H15/10
Lega A
Chalon/Saone
#33
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A17/10
Champions League
Reggiana
#11
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A22/10
Lega A
PAOK
#24
L
58-63
58
63
-5
H24/10
Champions League
Torino
#12
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H29/10
Lega A
Tenerife
#3
L
47-88
47
88
-41
A01/11
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H05/11
Lega A
Neptunas
#21
L
60-90
60
90
-30
H07/11
Champions League
Sassari
#6
W
88-81
88
81
+7
A12/11
Lega A
Ventspils
#34
W
66-55
66
55
+11
A14/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-16
20-17
15-15
16-20
13-13
15-23
6-12
21-19
16-20
21-21
18-12
20-16
7-18
12-14
19-17
20-14
28-22
16-10
14-23
12-18
12-26
10-17
16-23
9-22
15-18
21-11
16-9
21-18
13-20
15-23
19-19
13-28
19-18
28-20
24-18
17-25
15-18
21-17
20-4
10-16
136.4Avg total
65.4Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)68.172.6140.7-4.443%
Season at home (4)65.567.5133.0-2.025%
Season away (3)71.779.3151.0-7.767%
Last 10 (10)65.471.0136.4-5.640%
Last 5 (5)66.874.0140.8-7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)68.674.8143.5-6.232%
vs Similar (11)74.075.9149.9-1.945%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -3.7-3.7
BresciaCapo d'Orlando
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A23/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H30/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A07/05
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A01/10
Lega A
Avellino
#4
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H08/10
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A14/10
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H23/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A29/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H05/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A12/11
Lega A
79.8Avg total
41.7Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.738.378.1+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.736.878.5+4.971%-
Last 30 away (16)38.039.777.7-1.744%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.179.8+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)41.633.074.6+8.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.639.077.6-0.438%-
vs Similar (18)39.738.277.9+1.661%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)42.038.080.0+4.067%-
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H15/10
Lega A
Chalon/Saone
#33
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A17/10
Champions League
Reggiana
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A22/10
Lega A
PAOK
#24
L
19-32
19
32
-13
H24/10
Champions League
Torino
#12
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H29/10
Lega A
Tenerife
#3
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A01/11
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H05/11
Lega A
Neptunas
#21
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H07/11
Champions League
Sassari
#6
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A12/11
Lega A
Ventspils
#34
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A14/11
Champions League
69.0Avg total
32.8Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.537.573.0-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.135.170.1+0.043%-
Last 30 away (16)35.839.675.4-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)32.836.269.0-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.837.671.4-3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)34.437.671.9-3.242%-
vs Similar (11)37.437.474.7+0.027%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.0
50.4%
51.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.7
35.0%
34.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.814.3
72.2%
73.0%14.3
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Capo d'Orlandotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capo d'Orlando: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.9
52.9%
51.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.7
32.2%
34.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws12.79.7
76.4%
73.0%9.7
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WWWWWWWLWL
Capo d'Orlando
WWLWLLLWLL
#3
League position
#16
+0.8
Net rating
-8.7
102.5
Offensive rating
97.9
101.6
Defensive rating
106.6
51.2%
Effective FG%
51.1%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
17.8%
Turnover %
23.1%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.21
35.0%
3-point %
32.2%
61.0%
Assist %
57.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 97.9Defence101.6 · 106.6Shooting51.2% · 51.1%3-point %35.0% · 32.2%Ball care17.8% · 23.1%Off. rebounds26.1% · 29.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Brescia   ■ Capo d'Orlando
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Brescia wins
2
Capo d'Orlando wins
DateGameScore
05/03/17Capo d'Orlando v Brescia71-67
05/11/16Brescia v Capo d'Orlando89-90 OT
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/17AVirtus Bologna76-74
05/11/17HReggiana79-68
29/10/17ABrindisi78-69
23/10/17HVarese73-67
14/10/17ATrento66-56
08/10/17HAvellino96-75
01/10/17APesaro73-70
07/05/17APistoia62-86
30/04/17HTorino96-89
23/04/17ATrento59-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/17AVentspils66-55
12/11/17ASassari88-81
07/11/17HNeptunas60-90
05/11/17HPesaro73-56
01/11/17ATenerife47-88
29/10/17HTorino70-73
24/10/17HPAOK58-63
22/10/17AReggiana75-69
17/10/17AChalon/Saone55-67
15/10/17HOlimpia Milano62-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game77.382.773.2
Allowed / game68.470.067.2
Point differential+8.9+12.7+6.0
Avg total145.7152.7140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Capo d'Orlando
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW43%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%25%67%
Points / game68.165.571.7
Allowed / game72.667.579.3
Point differential-4.4-2.0-7.7
Avg total140.7133.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia770100%77.368.4+8.9
2 Venezia87188%85.581.2+4.2
3 Olimpia Milano76186%75.168.1+7.0
4 Torino76186%82.478.7+3.7
5 Avellino75271%76.973.7+3.1
6 Virtus Bologna73443%79.673.3+6.3
7 Varese73443%76.070.7+5.3
8 Sassari73443%83.983.7+0.1
9 Cantu73443%83.687.1-3.6
10 Capo d'Orlando73443%68.172.6-4.4
11 Cremona83538%79.581.2-1.8
12 Pesaro72529%75.780.6-4.9
13 Trento72529%72.077.6-5.6
14 Reggiana82625%73.975.0-1.1
15 Pistoia82625%72.682.5-9.9
16 Brindisi71614%75.381.6-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2024202387
Capo d'Orlando1110102253
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