PythiaBasketballBETA
The Toronto Raptors host the Washington Wizards on 18 November 2026 in the NBA, and the Pythia model names Toronto the favourite with a 78% chance of winning, a projection of 120-110 and a total of 229.3 points. Toronto's season record is 5-7, with 114.2 points scored and 112.8 allowed per game, and they sit 19th in the league; at home they are 2-3, averaging 114.6 points and allowing 105.6, and their last five games were 1-4, including losses to Philadelphia, Boston and Memphis. Washington is 4-9 overall, scoring 110.0 and allowing 115.8, and on the road they are 2-6, with 107.5 points scored and 116.8 allowed; their last five games were 0-5, with defeats to Detroit, Indiana and Detroit again. In their last ten meetings Toronto has won seven times, most recently beating Washington 112-102 on 23 October. The model gives Toronto a 78% probability to cover the spread, and a 22% chance for Washington to win, with a 5% chance of overtime. The projected score of 120-110 reflects Toronto's higher offensive output and Washington's recent struggles.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (12) | 114.2 | 112.8 | 227.1 | +1.4 | 42% |
| Season at home (5) | 114.6 | 105.6 | 220.2 | +9.0 | 40% |
| Season away (7) | 114.0 | 118.0 | 232.0 | -4.0 | 43% |
| Last 10 (10) | 112.4 | 116.0 | 228.4 | -3.6 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 107.4 | 114.8 | 222.2 | -7.4 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 103.7 | 116.9 | 220.6 | -13.1 | 0% |
| vs Similar (13) | 113.4 | 111.5 | 224.8 | +1.9 | 46% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 123.4 | 106.5 | 229.9 | +16.9 | 80% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (13) | 110.0 | 115.8 | 225.8 | -5.8 | 31% |
| Season at home (5) | 114.0 | 114.2 | 228.2 | -0.2 | 40% |
| Season away (8) | 107.5 | 116.8 | 224.2 | -9.2 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 107.6 | 115.7 | 223.3 | -8.1 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 111.8 | 126.6 | 238.4 | -14.8 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (22) | 111.4 | 128.6 | 240.0 | -17.2 | 0% |
| vs Similar (4) | 113.0 | 109.8 | 222.8 | +3.2 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 112.5 | 106.2 | 218.8 | +6.2 | 75% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 56.8 | 54.7 | 111.5 | +2.1 | 47% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 60.6 | 51.8 | 112.4 | +8.8 | 71% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 53.5 | 57.2 | 110.7 | -3.7 | 25% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 56.9 | 59.8 | 116.7 | -2.9 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 58.4 | 59.4 | 117.8 | -1.0 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 50.1 | 56.9 | 107.0 | -6.7 | 14% | - |
| vs Similar (13) | 57.9 | 53.8 | 111.7 | +4.2 | 54% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 60.0 | 54.3 | 114.3 | +5.7 | 60% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 54.4 | 62.2 | 116.6 | -7.8 | 13% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 55.2 | 62.5 | 117.7 | -7.4 | 8% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 53.8 | 61.9 | 115.8 | -8.1 | 18% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 54.9 | 59.6 | 114.5 | -4.7 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 52.8 | 62.0 | 114.8 | -9.2 | 0% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (22) | 54.2 | 65.0 | 119.2 | -10.8 | 5% | - |
| vs Similar (4) | 59.0 | 54.5 | 113.5 | +4.5 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker (4) | 50.8 | 54.5 | 105.2 | -3.8 | 25% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 54.5 | 26.9 | 54.0% | 53.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 35.3 | 11.5 | 35.1% | 34.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 25.8 | 18.9 | 77.2% | 18.9 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 56.8 | 31.9 | 54.0% | 63.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 32.2 | 11.0 | 35.1% | 33.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.5 | 19.6 | 77.2% | 19.6 |
Toronto Raptors
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23/10/26 | Washington Wizards v Toronto Raptors | 102-112 |
| 01/03/26 | Washington Wizards v Toronto Raptors | 125-134 |
| 27/12/25 | Washington Wizards v Toronto Raptors | 138-117 |
| 22/11/25 | Toronto Raptors v Washington Wizards | 140-110 |
| 24/03/25 | Washington Wizards v Toronto Raptors | 104-112 |
| 10/03/25 | Toronto Raptors v Washington Wizards | 119-104 |
| 09/03/25 | Toronto Raptors v Washington Wizards | 117-118 |
| 30/01/25 | Washington Wizards v Toronto Raptors | 82-106 |
| 07/04/24 | Toronto Raptors v Washington Wizards | 130-122 |
| 24/03/24 | Washington Wizards v Toronto Raptors | 112-109 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | A | Philadelphia 76ers | 112-123 |
| 12/11/26 | H | Boston Celtics | 93-98 |
| 10/11/26 | H | Memphis Grizzlies | 102-118 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Milwaukee Bucks | 121-107 |
| 05/11/26 | A | Denver Nuggets | 109-128 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Los Angeles Clippers | 125-118 |
| 02/11/26 | A | Los Angeles Lakers | 125-131 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Orlando Magic | 114-121 |
| 28/10/26 | H | Orlando Magic | 129-99 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Minnesota Timberwolves | 94-117 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | H | Detroit Pistons | 140-144 OT |
| 12/11/26 | A | Indiana Pacers | 101-114 |
| 10/11/26 | A | Detroit Pistons | 111-122 |
| 08/11/26 | A | Oklahoma City Thunder | 75-114 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Atlanta Hawks | 132-139 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Atlanta Hawks | 105-120 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Orlando Magic | 103-94 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Charlotte Hornets | 95-79 |
| 28/10/26 | A | Cleveland Cavaliers | 111-121 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Charlotte Hornets | 103-110 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLLL | 42% |
| Home | WWLLL | 40% |
| Away | LWLWL | 43% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 12 | 5 | 7 |
| Win % | 42% | 40% | 43% |
| Points / game | 114.2 | 114.6 | 114.0 |
| Allowed / game | 112.8 | 105.6 | 118.0 |
| Point differential | +1.4 | +9.0 | -4.0 |
| Avg total | 227.1 | 220.2 | 232.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 40% | 29% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 31% |
| Home | WLWLL | 40% |
| Away | WLLLL | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 13 | 5 | 8 |
| Win % | 31% | 40% | 25% |
| Points / game | 110.0 | 114.0 | 107.5 |
| Allowed / game | 115.8 | 114.2 | 116.8 |
| Point differential | -5.8 | -0.2 | -9.2 |
| Avg total | 225.8 | 228.2 | 224.2 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 15% | 40% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 0% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 8% | 20% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  San Antonio Spurs | 13 | 11 | 2 | 85% | 119.5 | 106.2 | +13.2 |
| 2 |  Los Angeles Lakers | 13 | 11 | 2 | 85% | 122.2 | 114.2 | +7.9 |
| 3 |  Boston Celtics | 12 | 10 | 2 | 83% | 114.2 | 103.1 | +11.2 |
| 4 |  Houston Rockets | 13 | 10 | 3 | 77% | 116.2 | 107.4 | +8.8 |
| 5 |  Philadelphia 76ers | 13 | 10 | 3 | 77% | 111.2 | 109.4 | +1.8 |
| 6 |  Minnesota Timberwolves | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 119.3 | 105.9 | +13.4 |
| 7 |  Portland Trail Blazers | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 119.6 | 111.8 | +7.8 |
| 8 |  Detroit Pistons | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 115.5 | 107.8 | +7.7 |
| 9 |  Memphis Grizzlies | 12 | 8 | 4 | 67% | 119.9 | 111.8 | +8.1 |
| 10 |  Golden State Warriors | 13 | 8 | 5 | 62% | 116.7 | 112.4 | +4.3 |
| 11 |  Oklahoma City Thunder | 13 | 8 | 5 | 62% | 111.2 | 107.4 | +3.8 |
| 12 |  Denver Nuggets | 10 | 6 | 4 | 60% | 114.5 | 113.3 | +1.2 |
| 13 |  Dallas Mavericks | 12 | 7 | 5 | 58% | 113.2 | 112.2 | +1.0 |
| 14 |  Atlanta Hawks | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 118.2 | 116.8 | +1.3 |
| 15 |  New York Knicks | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50% | 109.8 | 103.7 | +6.1 |
| 16 |  Miami Heat | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50% | 117.2 | 120.1 | -2.9 |
| 17 |  Cleveland Cavaliers | 13 | 6 | 7 | 46% | 116.8 | 115.8 | +1.0 |
| 18 |  Phoenix Suns | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45% | 111.7 | 116.1 | -4.4 |
| 19 | Toronto Raptors | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42% | 114.2 | 112.8 | +1.4 |
| 20 |  Orlando Magic | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42% | 108.3 | 112.8 | -4.4 |
| 21 |  Indiana Pacers | 13 | 5 | 8 | 38% | 111.2 | 113.2 | -2.1 |
| 22 |  Charlotte Hornets | 12 | 4 | 8 | 33% | 98.6 | 109.6 | -11.0 |
| 23 | Washington Wizards | 13 | 4 | 9 | 31% | 110.0 | 115.8 | -5.8 |
| 24 |  New Orleans Pelicans | 13 | 4 | 9 | 31% | 116.5 | 125.6 | -9.2 |
| 25 |  Brooklyn Nets | 11 | 3 | 8 | 27% | 110.2 | 115.3 | -5.1 |
| 26 |  Los Angeles Clippers | 11 | 3 | 8 | 27% | 112.3 | 117.5 | -5.3 |
| 27 |  Chicago Bulls | 11 | 2 | 9 | 18% | 114.4 | 127.7 | -13.4 |
| 28 |  Sacramento Kings | 12 | 1 | 11 | 8% | 108.2 | 120.9 | -12.8 |
| 29 |  Utah Jazz | 13 | 1 | 12 | 8% | 107.5 | 118.6 | -11.2 |
| 30 |  Milwaukee Bucks | 13 | 1 | 12 | 8% | 106.2 | 120.2 | -14.1 |
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