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Tortona vs Promitheas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 97-77
30-26 21-13 29-16 17-22
Position#5
Record7-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game75.3
Tortona 🏆
vs
Position#31
Record4-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game82.4
EuropeChampions League· PalaFerraris
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Promitheas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Scafati
#15
W
99-94
99
94
+5
98avg 75
H11/01
Lega A
Peristeri
#36
W
73-65
73
65
+8
69avg 75
A14/01
Champions League
Brescia
#2
W
106-98 OT
106
98
+8
92avg 75
A19/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
67-69
67
69
-2
60avg 75
H25/01
Lega A
Wurzburg
#19
L
79-80
79
80
-1
75avg 75
A28/01
Champions League
Trieste
#6
L
72-86
72
86
-14
60avg 75
A01/02
Lega A
AEK Athens
#4
L
86-93
86
93
-7
81avg 75
A04/02
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
66-98
66
98
-32
51avg 75
H09/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
79-86
79
86
-7
72avg 75
A12/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#4
W
89-85
89
85
+4
82avg 75
A01/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
23-23
23-30
29-14
22-5
13-18
11-18
27-24
19-23
24-29
17-18
28-18
26-11
6-26
25-20
10-12
16-18
20-21
20-14
23-27
23-26
12-18
17-17
20-25
20-27
24-15
19-23
23-28
19-20
19-34
14-20
14-24
21-24
12-18
27-20
19-24
18-24
20-16
25-26
26-19
167.0Avg total
81.6Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.475.3155.7+5.170%
Season at home (4)83.874.0157.8+9.8100%
Season away (6)78.276.2154.3+2.050%
Last 10 (10)81.685.4167.0-3.840%
Last 5 (5)78.489.6168.0-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)86.687.5174.1-0.962%
vs Similar (10)82.384.9167.2-2.630%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)83.176.8159.9+6.382%
This opponent (Promitheas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PromitheasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPromitheas
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#16
W
84-68
84
68
+16
84avg 73
H15/01
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#4
L
64-70
64
70
-6
50avg 73
A19/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
78-84
78
84
-6
74avg 73
H25/01
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
76-97
76
97
-21
70avg 73
A29/01
Champions League
Olympiacos
#2
L
74-77
74
77
-3
67avg 73
H02/02
Basket League
Wurzburg
#19
L
77-79
77
79
-2
72avg 73
H05/02
Champions League
AEK Athens
#3
L
71-91
71
91
-20
68avg 73
A08/02
Basket League
NE Megaridas
#2
W
86-77
86
77
+9
85avg 73
H12/02
Greek Cup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
73-91
73
91
-18
65avg 73
H14/02
Greek Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
85-89
85
89
-4
78avg 73
A01/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
23-14
13-19
23-8
21-18
9-22
18-11
16-19
23-17
23-24
16-28
16-15
25-23
19-24
12-25
20-25
25-24
12-11
17-18
20-24
29-21
21-13
15-21
12-24
23-17
12-25
17-24
19-25
19-15
22-13
24-25
21-24
17-22
14-19
19-22
23-28
20-23
21-26
23-20
21-20
159.1Avg total
76.8Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.682.4162.0-2.840%
Season at home (5)78.479.6158.0-1.220%
Season away (5)80.885.2166.0-4.460%
Last 10 (10)76.882.3159.1-5.520%
Last 5 (5)78.485.4163.8-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)76.784.0160.7-7.333%
vs Similar (11)81.080.7161.7+0.345%
vs Weaker (4)87.883.5171.2+4.275%
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.1-2.1
TortonaPromitheas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#15
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H11/01
Lega A
Peristeri
#36
W
35-23
35
23
+12
A14/01
Champions League
Brescia
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A19/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H25/01
Lega A
Wurzburg
#19
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A28/01
Champions League
Trieste
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A01/02
Lega A
AEK Athens
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A04/02
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H09/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A12/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A01/03
Lega A
80.4Avg total
38.1Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.142.583.6-1.433%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.843.484.2-2.531%-
Last 30 away (17)41.341.983.2-0.635%-
Last 10 (10)38.142.380.4-4.220%-
Last 5 (5)37.644.482.0-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)43.645.188.8-1.525%-
vs Similar (10)40.043.183.1-3.130%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.040.281.2+0.845%-
This opponent (Promitheas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PromitheasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#16
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H15/01
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#4
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A19/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H25/01
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A29/01
Champions League
Olympiacos
#2
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H02/02
Basket League
Wurzburg
#19
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H05/02
Champions League
AEK Athens
#3
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A08/02
Basket League
NE Megaridas
#2
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H12/02
Greek Cup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H14/02
Greek Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A01/03
Basket League
80.1Avg total
40.3Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.380.0-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.938.178.0+1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)39.342.681.9-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)40.339.880.1+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.638.878.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.239.879.0-0.647%-
vs Similar (11)39.540.980.4-1.536%-
vs Weaker (4)41.840.882.5+1.050%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.3
50.6%
52.1%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.910.0
32.4%
35.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.215.8
82.3%
74.0%15.8
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Promitheastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Promitheas: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.1
55.2%
52.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.0
34.1%
35.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws14.810.8
73.0%
74.0%10.8
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
WLLLLLLWWW
Promitheas
LLWLLLLLLW
#5
League position
#31
-6.0
Net rating
-7.2
110.2
Offensive rating
107.0
116.2
Defensive rating
114.1
49.6%
Effective FG%
53.4%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.4%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.4%
3-point %
34.1%
62.6%
Assist %
67.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 107.0Defence116.2 · 114.1Shooting49.6% · 53.4%3-point %32.4% · 34.1%Ball care16.8% · 16.4%Off. rebounds34.8% · 25.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Tortona   ■ Promitheas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tortona wins
0
Promitheas wins
No previous meetings.
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25ATrento89-85
12/02/25ABrescia79-86
09/02/25HVirtus Bologna66-98
04/02/25AAEK Athens86-93
01/02/25ATrieste72-86
28/01/25AWurzburg79-80
25/01/25HReggiana67-69
19/01/25ABrescia106-98 OT
14/01/25APeristeri73-65
11/01/25HScafati99-94
Promitheaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25AKolossos Rhodes85-89
14/02/25HPanathinaikos73-91
12/02/25HNE Megaridas86-77
08/02/25AAEK Athens71-91
05/02/25HWurzburg77-79
02/02/25HOlympiacos74-77
29/01/25AAEK Athens76-97
25/01/25HPanathinaikos78-84
19/01/25AAS Karditsas64-70
15/01/25HKarsiyaka84-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Champions League 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL70%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %70%100%50%
Points / game80.483.878.2
Allowed / game75.374.076.2
Point differential+5.1+9.8+2.0
Avg total155.7157.8154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Promitheas
Champions League 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL40%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%20%60%
Points / game79.678.480.8
Allowed / game82.479.685.2
Point differential-2.8-1.2-4.4
Avg total162.0158.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja880100%95.972.4+23.5
2 Tenerife880100%84.667.2+17.4
3 Nymburk119282%87.076.5+10.5
4 AEK Athens97278%84.677.3+7.2
5 Manresa86275%91.479.5+11.9
6 Rytas86275%87.879.6+8.1
7 Murcia86275%84.178.0+6.1
8 Tortona107370%80.475.3+5.1
9 Wurzburg96367%82.680.2+2.3
10 Petkim Spor149564%80.980.9+0.1
11 Galatasaray117464%81.178.9+2.2
12 Bonn106460%81.281.4-0.2
13 Manisa106460%86.888.0-1.2
14 Reggiana106460%78.580.1-1.6
15 Nanterre127558%82.280.8+1.4
16 CSM Oradea21150%85.070.0+15.0
17 Levice21150%93.585.5+8.0
18 MoraBanc Andorra21150%91.086.0+5.0
19 Karsiyaka84450%80.877.0+3.8
20 Rilski Sportist21150%79.576.5+3.0
21 Norrkoping21150%77.075.5+1.5
22 Juventus21150%80.080.5-0.5
23 Sassari21150%74.075.5-1.5
24 Trepca21150%80.081.5-1.5
25 Fribourg Olympic21150%82.585.0-2.5
26 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%75.078.0-3.0
27 PAOK21150%75.079.5-4.5
28 Szombathely115645%81.184.5-3.5
29 Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan94544%83.284.1-0.9
30 Hapoel Holon94544%78.179.4-1.3
31 Promitheas104640%79.682.4-2.8
32 Benfica83538%75.984.5-8.6
33 Oostende93633%77.178.9-1.8
34 Igokea62433%82.286.5-4.3
35 Saint Quentin93633%72.879.0-6.2
36 Peristeri82625%71.674.9-3.2
37 VEF Riga61517%77.380.3-3.0
38 Slask Wroclaw61517%74.582.3-7.8
39 FMP Beograd61517%74.283.8-9.7
40 Vechta61517%78.588.5-10.0
41 Chemnitz81712%77.585.8-8.2
42 Keravnos1010%79.082.0-3.0
43 Spartak Subotica1010%84.087.0-3.0
44 Sabah Baku1010%71.075.0-4.0
45 Cholet1010%70.076.0-6.0
46 BC Nokia1010%64.071.0-7.0
47 Antwerp Giants1010%73.091.0-18.0
48 Kolossos Rhodes6060%64.583.2-18.7
49 Szczecin6060%64.783.3-18.7
50 Den Bosch1010%72.092.0-20.0
51 Kutaisi1010%87.0111.0-24.0
52 Caledonia Gladiators1010%59.090.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona3021291797
Promitheas2613162277
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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