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Brescia vs Tortona Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-79
24-21 18-12 20-27 24-19
Position#3
Record-
FormWLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Tortona
Italy
Position#7
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyItalian CupItalian Cup - Quarter-finals· Inalpi Arena
Other2025
Meetings · Brescia v Tortona
11 Jan 2026
BRE92
TOR86
12 Feb 2025
BRE86
TOR79
19 Jan 2025
BRE98
TOR106
06 Apr 2024
BRE72
TOR65
23 Sep 2023
BRE86
TOR63
20 Nov 2022
BRE83
TOR68
03 Oct 2021
BRE77
TOR79
26 May 2016
BRE97
TOR72
18 May 2016
BRE92
TOR86
16 May 2016
BRE108
TOR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tortona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#14
W
97-84
97
84
+13
95avg 82
H15/12
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
90-89
90
89
+1
85avg 82
A22/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
90-83
90
83
+7
84avg 82
H29/12
Lega A
Austin Peay
#275
L
46-93
46
93
-47
no box
A29/12
NCAA
Treviso
#11
L
84-86
84
86
-2
77avg 82
A04/01
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
76avg 82
H11/01
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
98-106 OT
98
106
-8
91avg 82
H19/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
118-77
118
77
+41
127avg 82
A25/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
85-90
85
90
-5
73avg 82
A02/02
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
93-90
93
90
+3
89avg 82
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-21
19-23
29-24
18-16
24-14
19-31
20-12
27-32
29-14
22-27
24-24
15-18
0-0
21-39
0-0
25-54
13-26
21-24
28-21
22-15
11-27
30-16
23-21
19-13
23-19
29-24
18-17
18-28
30-19
28-21
35-18
25-19
23-27
21-17
19-19
22-27
29-23
21-24
17-21
26-22
175.9Avg total
88.4Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.487.5175.9+0.960%
Last 5 (5)95.488.0183.4+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)49.596.5146.0-47.00%
vs Similar (11)83.085.2168.2-2.255%
vs Weaker (15)95.584.3179.7+11.280%
TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#14
L
83-92
83
92
-9
79avg 75
A04/01
Lega A
Peristeri
#36
W
69-59
69
59
+10
64avg 75
H07/01
Champions League
Scafati
#15
W
99-94
99
94
+5
98avg 75
H11/01
Lega A
Peristeri
#36
W
73-65
73
65
+8
69avg 75
A14/01
Champions League
Brescia
#2
W
106-98 OT
106
98
+8
92avg 75
A19/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
67-69
67
69
-2
60avg 75
H25/01
Lega A
Wurzburg
#19
L
79-80
79
80
-1
75avg 75
A28/01
Champions League
Trieste
#6
L
72-86
72
86
-14
60avg 75
A01/02
Lega A
AEK Athens
#4
L
86-93
86
93
-7
81avg 75
A04/02
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
66-98
66
98
-32
51avg 75
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
22-23
18-26
26-23
18-21
13-16
22-10
16-12
24-27
23-23
23-30
29-14
22-5
13-18
11-18
27-24
19-23
24-29
17-18
28-18
26-11
6-26
25-20
10-12
16-18
20-21
20-14
23-27
23-26
12-18
17-17
20-25
20-27
24-15
19-23
23-28
19-20
19-34
14-20
14-24
163.4Avg total
80.0Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.083.4163.4-3.440%
Last 5 (5)74.085.2159.2-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)83.488.4171.8-5.050%
vs Similar (10)82.384.9167.2-2.630%
vs Weaker (12)82.876.1158.9+6.883%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
BresciaTortona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#14
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H15/12
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H29/12
Lega A
Austin Peay
#275
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A29/12
NCAA
Treviso
#11
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A04/01
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H11/01
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H19/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
58-40
58
40
+18
A25/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A02/02
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H09/02
Lega A
88.0Avg total
44.4Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.742.585.2+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.843.590.3+3.269%-
Last 30 away (17)39.641.781.4-2.135%-
Last 10 (10)44.443.688.0+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)49.043.492.4+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)24.843.568.2-18.80%-
vs Similar (11)41.344.786.0-3.527%-
vs Weaker (15)48.640.689.2+8.080%-
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#14
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A04/01
Lega A
Peristeri
#36
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H07/01
Champions League
Scafati
#15
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H11/01
Lega A
Peristeri
#36
W
35-23
35
23
+12
A14/01
Champions League
Brescia
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A19/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H25/01
Lega A
Wurzburg
#19
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A28/01
Champions League
Trieste
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A01/02
Lega A
AEK Athens
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A04/02
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H09/02
Lega A
80.1Avg total
38.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.442.684.0-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.142.984.1-1.836%-
Last 30 away (16)41.642.283.9-0.638%-
Last 10 (10)38.042.180.1-4.120%-
Last 5 (5)37.043.280.2-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)43.245.989.1-2.625%-
vs Similar (10)40.043.183.1-3.130%-
vs Weaker (12)41.339.981.2+1.450%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
48%
30%
22%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.222.4
53.1%
49.8%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.1
35.8%
31.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws26.520.6
77.7%
75.0%20.6
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
48%
30%
22%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.416.6
49.7%
49.8%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.610.3
32.6%
31.1%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.414.9
81.0%
75.0%14.9
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WLWLWLLWWW
Tortona
LLLLLWWWWL
#3
League position
#7
+7.6
Net rating
-4.9
117.8
Offensive rating
108.5
110.1
Defensive rating
113.5
53.3%
Effective FG%
49.3%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
13.7%
Turnover %
16.7%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.8%
3-point %
32.6%
56.4%
Assist %
63.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence117.8 · 108.5Defence110.1 · 113.5Shooting53.3% · 49.3%3-point %35.8% · 32.6%Ball care13.7% · 16.7%Off. rebounds31.2% · 33.3%Free throws0.41 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Brescia   ■ Tortona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Brescia wins
3
Tortona wins
DateGameScore
19/01/25Brescia v Tortona98-106 OT
17/11/24Tortona v Brescia78-85
06/04/24Brescia v Tortona72-65
05/11/23Tortona v Brescia59-87
23/09/23Brescia v Tortona86-63
16/04/23Tortona v Brescia77-90 OT
20/11/22Brescia v Tortona83-68
13/04/22Tortona v Brescia81-74
03/10/21Brescia v Tortona77-79
26/05/16Brescia v Tortona97-72
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25HTrieste93-90
02/02/25ABasket Napoli85-90
25/01/25AVarese118-77
19/01/25HTortona98-106 OT
11/01/25HTrento83-77
04/01/25ATreviso84-86
29/12/24AAustin Peay46-93
29/12/24HPistoia90-83
22/12/24AVenezia90-89
15/12/24HBasket Napoli97-84
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25HVirtus Bologna66-98
04/02/25AAEK Athens86-93
01/02/25ATrieste72-86
28/01/25AWurzburg79-80
25/01/25HReggiana67-69
19/01/25ABrescia106-98 OT
14/01/25APeristeri73-65
11/01/25HScafati99-94
07/01/25HPeristeri69-59
04/01/25ABasket Napoli83-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Italian Cup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Tortona
Italian Cup 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2418202486
Tortona2112271979
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