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Brescia vs Tortona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 98-106 (OT)
23-19 29-24 18-17 18-28 10-18
Position#2
Record12-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game84.9
Brescia
Italy
vs
Tortona 🏆
Italy
Position#9
Record9-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game84.9
ItalyLega ARound 16· PalaLeonessa
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Brescia v Tortona
11 Jan 2026
BRE92
TOR86
12 Feb 2025
BRE86
TOR79
19 Jan 2025
BRE98
TOR106
06 Apr 2024
BRE72
TOR65
23 Sep 2023
BRE86
TOR63
20 Nov 2022
BRE83
TOR68
03 Oct 2021
BRE77
TOR79
26 May 2016
BRE97
TOR72
18 May 2016
BRE92
TOR86
16 May 2016
BRE108
TOR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
98-97
98
97
+1
88avg 82
H01/12
Lega A
Bellarmine
#362
L
66-94
66
94
-28
no box
A07/12
NCAA
Trieste
#6
W
69-65
69
65
+4
56avg 82
A08/12
Lega A
Cleveland State
#95
L
37-103
37
103
-66
no box
A14/12
NCAA
Basket Napoli
#14
W
97-84
97
84
+13
95avg 82
H15/12
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
90-89
90
89
+1
85avg 82
A22/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
90-83
90
83
+7
84avg 82
H29/12
Lega A
Austin Peay
#275
L
46-93
46
93
-47
no box
A29/12
NCAA
Treviso
#11
L
84-86
84
86
-2
77avg 82
A04/01
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
76avg 82
H11/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
19-32
18-21
34-25
0-0
29-36
0-0
37-58
14-17
21-9
18-8
16-31
0-0
26-51
0-0
11-52
31-21
19-23
29-24
18-16
24-14
19-31
20-12
27-32
29-14
22-27
24-24
15-18
0-0
21-39
0-0
25-54
13-26
21-24
28-21
22-15
11-27
30-16
23-21
19-13
163.1Avg total
76.0Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)89.584.9174.3+4.680%
Season at home (7)93.488.1181.6+5.386%
Season away (8)86.082.0168.0+4.075%
Last 10 (10)76.087.1163.1-11.160%
Last 5 (5)78.685.6164.2-7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)49.596.5146.0-47.00%
vs Similar (11)81.584.5166.1-3.045%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)91.381.6172.9+9.787%
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
L
90-95
90
95
-5
85avg 76
H07/12
Lega A
Chemnitz
#41
W
77-61
77
61
+16
73avg 76
A10/12
Champions League
Venezia
#8
W
89-82
89
82
+7
83avg 76
H14/12
Lega A
Manresa
#9
L
82-100
82
100
-18
77avg 76
A17/12
Champions League
Pistoia
#16
W
93-89
93
89
+4
83avg 76
A22/12
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
91-77
91
77
+14
88avg 76
H29/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
83-92
83
92
-9
79avg 76
A04/01
Lega A
Peristeri
#36
W
69-59
69
59
+10
64avg 76
H07/01
Champions League
Scafati
#15
W
99-94
99
94
+5
98avg 76
H11/01
Lega A
Peristeri
#36
W
73-65
73
65
+8
69avg 76
A14/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-22
14-24
26-22
18-27
19-12
19-14
20-15
19-20
12-27
27-21
30-15
20-19
15-28
20-22
27-26
20-24
28-26
23-19
23-25
19-19
25-16
19-25
25-15
22-21
17-20
22-23
18-26
26-23
18-21
13-16
22-10
16-12
24-27
23-23
23-30
29-14
22-5
13-18
11-18
27-24
166.0Avg total
84.6Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)87.184.9171.9+2.260%
Season at home (8)85.081.8166.8+3.262%
Season away (7)89.488.4177.9+1.057%
Last 10 (10)84.681.4166.0+3.270%
Last 5 (5)83.077.4160.4+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)82.084.2166.2-2.245%
vs Similar (8)84.086.0170.0-2.038%
vs Weaker (11)83.275.7158.9+7.591%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -9.0-9.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -9.0-9.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
BresciaTortona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H01/12
Lega A
Bellarmine
#362
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A07/12
NCAA
Trieste
#6
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A08/12
Lega A
Cleveland State
#95
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A14/12
NCAA
Basket Napoli
#14
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H15/12
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H29/12
Lega A
Austin Peay
#275
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A29/12
NCAA
Treviso
#11
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A04/01
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H11/01
Lega A
80.2Avg total
37.6Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.242.183.3-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.842.587.4+2.362%-
Last 30 away (17)38.441.880.2-3.429%-
Last 10 (10)37.642.680.2-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)38.043.681.6-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)24.843.568.2-18.80%-
vs Similar (11)40.444.284.5-3.818%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)46.240.386.5+5.973%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H07/12
Lega A
Chemnitz
#41
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A10/12
Champions League
Venezia
#8
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H14/12
Lega A
Manresa
#9
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A17/12
Champions League
Pistoia
#16
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A22/12
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H29/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A04/01
Lega A
Peristeri
#36
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H07/01
Champions League
Scafati
#15
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H11/01
Lega A
Peristeri
#36
W
35-23
35
23
+12
A14/01
Champions League
81.4Avg total
40.5Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.841.783.5+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.141.583.5+0.647%-
Last 30 away (15)41.541.983.4-0.340%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.981.4-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.238.878.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)42.540.883.4+1.745%-
vs Similar (8)40.845.185.9-4.425%-
vs Weaker (11)41.840.081.8+1.855%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.8
52.9%
52.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.78.2
37.8%
35.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws27.319.8
72.5%
76.8%19.8
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.5
52.3%
52.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.6
35.7%
35.8%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.714.8
79.1%
76.8%14.8
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WLLWWWLWLW
Tortona
WWWLWWLWWL
#2
League position
#9
+3.3
Net rating
+4.4
114.7
Offensive rating
114.4
111.4
Defensive rating
110.0
54.3%
Effective FG%
52.8%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
16.1%
Turnover %
17.0%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
35.9%
0.45
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.8%
3-point %
35.7%
51.7%
Assist %
66.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.7 · 114.4Defence111.4 · 110.0Shooting54.3% · 52.8%3-point %37.8% · 35.7%Ball care16.1% · 17.0%Off. rebounds30.7% · 35.9%Free throws0.45 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Brescia   ■ Tortona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Brescia wins
3
Tortona wins
DateGameScore
17/11/24Tortona v Brescia78-85
06/04/24Brescia v Tortona72-65
05/11/23Tortona v Brescia59-87
23/09/23Brescia v Tortona86-63
16/04/23Tortona v Brescia77-90 OT
20/11/22Brescia v Tortona83-68
13/04/22Tortona v Brescia81-74
03/10/21Brescia v Tortona77-79
26/05/16Brescia v Tortona97-72
23/05/16Tortona v Brescia76-72
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HTrento83-77
04/01/25ATreviso84-86
29/12/24AAustin Peay46-93
29/12/24HPistoia90-83
22/12/24AVenezia90-89
15/12/24HBasket Napoli97-84
14/12/24ACleveland State37-103
08/12/24ATrieste69-65
07/12/24ABellarmine66-94
01/12/24HVirtus Bologna98-97
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/25APeristeri73-65
11/01/25HScafati99-94
07/01/25HPeristeri69-59
04/01/25ABasket Napoli83-92
29/12/24HTrento91-77
22/12/24APistoia93-89
17/12/24AManresa82-100
14/12/24HVenezia89-82
10/12/24AChemnitz77-61
07/12/24HTreviso90-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayWWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %80%86%75%
Points / game89.593.486.0
Allowed / game84.988.182.0
Point differential+4.6+5.3+4.0
Avg total174.3181.6168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tortona
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW60%
HomeLLWWW62%
AwayLLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%62%57%
Points / game87.185.089.4
Allowed / game84.981.888.4
Point differential+2.2+3.2+1.0
Avg total171.9166.8177.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1512380%89.584.9+4.6
2 Trapani1612475%92.784.1+8.6
3 Trento1612475%89.583.4+6.1
4 Virtus Bologna1511473%85.579.9+5.5
5 Olimpia Milano1610662%88.685.8+2.8
6 Trieste1610662%86.984.3+2.6
7 Tortona159660%87.184.9+2.2
8 Reggiana169756%80.779.8+0.9
9 Venezia168850%78.577.0+1.5
10 Treviso167944%86.087.8-1.8
11 Varese156940%89.395.9-6.6
12 Sassari1661038%81.484.7-3.3
13 Scafati1641225%86.593.9-7.4
14 Cremona1531220%76.981.1-4.3
15 Pistoia1531220%81.687.9-6.3
16 Basket Napoli1631319%82.387.7-5.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Brescia232918181098
Tortona1924172818106
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