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Toulouse W vs Lyon W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 14:30
Projected 62-74
Projected total 135.8
Scheduled
Position#12
Record1-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game58.5
Allowed / game73.4
Toulouse W
France
Vs
13%
87%
■ TOUL 13%■ LYON 87%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
3.8/10
Below normal
3.5/10
Below normal
Lyon W
France
Position#5
Record5-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game65.6
FranceLFB WRound 9· Gymnase Compans Caffarelli
Women2026-27
Meetings · Toulouse W v Lyon W
22 Nov 2026
TOUL v LYON
upcoming
12 May 2026
TOUL68
LYON75
10 Jan 2026
TOUL76
LYON75
18 Mar 2023
TOUL70
LYON83
19 Dec 2015
TOUL53
LYON68
14 Dec 2014
TOUL87
LYON81
22 Apr 2014
TOUL68
LYON88
15 Dec 2013
TOUL79
LYON82
03 Apr 2013
TOUL60
LYON72
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Toulouse W host Lyon W in the LFB W. Pythia makes Lyon W the favourite at 87% and projects 62-74, about 136 points in all. Overtime chance: 3%. Toulouse W are 1-7 this season (58.5 scored, 73.4 allowed a game), form LLLWL; Lyon W are 5-3 this season (68.9 scored, 65.6 allowed a game), form LWLWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toulouse W win
13.4%fair 7.44
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lyon W win
86.6%fair 1.16
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 21:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toulouse WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Angers W
#11
L
69-93
69
93
-24
52avg 55
H06/05
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
68-75
68
75
-7
61avg 55
H12/05
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#7
L
55-70
55
70
-15
13avg 55
A26/09
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#2
L
54-75
54
75
-21
51avg 55
H03/10
LFB W
Tronche Meylan W
#11
L
53-62
53
62
-9
41avg 55
A07/10
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#4
L
37-79
37
79
-42
23avg 55
H10/10
LFB W
Bourges W
#6
L
69-87
69
87
-18
64avg 55
A17/10
LFB W
Angers W
#9
L
70-75
70
75
-5
61avg 55
H24/10
LFB W
Landes W
#3
W
61-60
61
60
+1
56avg 55
H31/10
LFB W
Lattes Montpellier W
#1
L
69-79
69
79
-10
no box
A07/11
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
13-27
16-15
23-30
16-28
21-15
10-24
21-8
22-18
14-23
13-20
6-9
14-20
14-10
14-26
12-19
16-23
17-16
7-10
13-13
8-23
16-13
4-34
9-9
18-15
19-19
22-24
10-29
17-23
21-17
18-17
14-18
17-20
16-21
17-11
11-8
15-15
18-16
22-18
14-30
136.0Avg total
60.5Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)58.573.4131.9-14.912%
Season at home (4)55.572.2127.8-16.825%
Season away (4)61.574.5136.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)60.575.5136.0-15.010%
Last 5 (5)61.276.0137.2-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)63.177.7140.8-14.617%
vs Similar (7)72.167.7139.9+4.471%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lyon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lyon WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
La Roche W
#12
W
72-53
72
53
+19
67avg 66
H06/05
LFB W
Toulouse W
#9
W
75-68
75
68
+7
74avg 66
A12/05
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#2
W
78-70
78
70
+8
74avg 66
A26/09
LFB W
Tronche Meylan W
#11
W
73-56
73
56
+17
49avg 66
H03/10
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#4
L
69-74 OT
69
74
-5
56avg 66
A07/10
LFB W
Bourges W
#6
L
59-72
59
72
-13
49avg 66
H11/10
LFB W
Angers W
#9
W
69-63
69
63
+6
67avg 66
A17/10
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#7
L
77-86 OT
77
86
-9
60avg 66
H23/10
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#8
W
58-42
58
42
+16
51avg 66
H01/11
LFB W
Landes W
#3
W
68-62
68
62
+6
no box
A07/11
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
20-12
16-12
11-13
28-16
15-21
24-10
8-21
14-15
26-19
17-12
21-24
18-11
32-8
9-26
14-11
8-17
11-19
22-18
22-9
14-15
14-22
17-16
14-19
12-17
21-22
18-13
18-11
16-22
20-23
16-14
17-10
10-9
18-10
13-15
17-8
19-8
20-15
18-20
11-19
134.4Avg total
69.8Scored
64.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)68.965.6134.5+3.262%
Season at home (4)66.864.0130.8+2.850%
Season away (4)71.067.2138.2+3.875%
Last 10 (10)69.864.6134.4+5.270%
Last 5 (5)66.265.0131.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.172.0141.1-2.943%
vs Similar (7)67.074.0141.0-7.014%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)74.162.6136.8+11.575%
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 133
Over 133
56.8%
Under 133
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 138
Over 138
44.3%
Under 138
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 143
Over 143
32.3%
Under 143
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Toulouse W total 66
Over 66
32.2%
Under 66
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse W total 70
Over 70
19.5%
Under 70
80.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse W total 74
Over 74
10.7%
Under 74
89.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyon W total 64.5
Over 64.5
83.7%
Under 64.5
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyon W total 68.5
Over 68.5
71.9%
Under 68.5
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyon W total 72.5
Over 72.5
57.0%
Under 72.5
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Toulouse W -3
TOUL -3
9.1%
LYON +3
90.9%
Best 5 market prices
TOUL
No market prices yet.
LYON
No market prices yet.
Spread Toulouse W 0
TOUL 0
13.4%
LYON 0
86.6%
Best 5 market prices
TOUL
No market prices yet.
LYON
No market prices yet.
Spread Toulouse W +3
TOUL +3
18.2%
LYON -3
81.8%
Best 5 market prices
TOUL
No market prices yet.
LYON
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +0.8+0.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +0.8+0.8
Toulouse WLyon W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toulouse WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Angers W
#11
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H06/05
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H12/05
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A26/09
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#2
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H03/10
LFB W
Tronche Meylan W
#11
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A07/10
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#4
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H10/10
LFB W
Bourges W
#6
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A17/10
LFB W
Angers W
#9
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H24/10
LFB W
Landes W
#3
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H31/10
LFB W
Lattes Montpellier W
#1
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A07/11
LFB W
71.2Avg total
32.9Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.639.172.7-5.523%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.239.771.9-7.513%-
Last 30 away (15)35.138.573.5-3.433%-
Last 10 (10)32.938.371.2-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)33.036.469.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)32.940.773.6-7.917%-
vs Similar (7)36.133.769.9+2.443%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lyon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lyon WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Roche W
#12
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H06/05
LFB W
Toulouse W
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A12/05
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#2
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A26/09
LFB W
Tronche Meylan W
#11
W
50-19
50
19
+31
H03/10
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#4
L
19-36
19
36
-17
A07/10
LFB W
Bourges W
#6
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H11/10
LFB W
Angers W
#9
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A17/10
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#7
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H23/10
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#8
W
28-19
28
19
+9
H01/11
LFB W
Landes W
#3
W
39-23
39
23
+16
A07/11
LFB W
67.8Avg total
36.1Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.533.971.4+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.532.371.7+7.273%-
Last 30 away (15)35.535.571.0+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)36.131.767.8+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)32.832.665.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.736.769.4-4.043%-
vs Similar (7)35.034.769.7+0.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.732.272.9+8.475%-
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toulouse Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toulouse W: 57.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.7 points a game
55%
25%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.417.0
45.5%
46.1%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.94.2
22.2%
27.2%12.6
🏀 Free throws16.010.4
65.0%
73.5%10.4
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lyon Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lyon W: 66.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.7 points a game
55%
25%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.3
52.3%
46.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.96.4
26.8%
27.2%19.2
🏀 Free throws15.911.1
69.8%
73.5%11.1
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toulouse W
LWLLLLLLLL
Lyon W
WWLWLLWWWW
#12
League position
#5
-11.1
Net rating
+8.2
71.2
Offensive rating
81.6
82.4
Defensive rating
73.4
41.4%
Effective FG%
47.4%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
40.6%
21.9%
Turnover %
20.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
22.2%
3-point %
26.8%
69.3%
Assist %
67.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence71.2 · 81.6Defence82.4 · 73.4Shooting41.4% · 47.4%3-point %22.2% · 26.8%Ball care21.9% · 20.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Toulouse W   ■ Lyon W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Toulouse W wins
8
Lyon W wins
DateGameScore
12/05/26Toulouse W v Lyon W68-75
29/04/26Lyon W v Toulouse W81-48
10/01/26Toulouse W v Lyon W76-75
22/10/25Lyon W v Toulouse W82-60
10/10/25Lyon W v Toulouse W76-72
18/03/23Toulouse W v Lyon W70-83
11/12/22Lyon W v Toulouse W89-72
13/04/16Lyon W v Toulouse W83-73
19/12/15Toulouse W v Lyon W53-68
25/03/15Lyon W v Toulouse W53-62
Toulouse Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ALattes Montpellier W69-79
31/10/26HLandes W61-60
24/10/26HAngers W70-75
17/10/26ABourges W69-87
10/10/26HCharnay Bourgogne Sud W37-79
07/10/26ATronche Meylan W53-62
03/10/26HFlammes Carolo W54-75
26/09/26AESB Villeneuve W55-70
12/05/26HLyon W68-75
06/05/26HAngers W69-93
Lyon Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ALandes W68-62
01/11/26HLanderneau Bretagne W58-42
23/10/26HESB Villeneuve W77-86 OT
17/10/26AAngers W69-63
11/10/26HBourges W59-72
07/10/26ACharnay Bourgogne Sud W69-74 OT
03/10/26HTronche Meylan W73-56
26/09/26AFlammes Carolo W78-70
12/05/26AToulouse W75-68
06/05/26HLa Roche W72-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toulouse W
LFB W 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL12%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game58.555.561.5
Allowed / game73.472.274.5
Point differential-14.9-16.8-13.0
Avg total131.9127.8136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lyon W
LFB W 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game68.966.871.0
Allowed / game65.664.067.2
Point differential+3.2+2.8+3.8
Avg total134.5130.8138.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %25%25%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lattes Montpellier W87188%74.271.5+2.8
2 Flammes Carolo W86275%72.860.5+12.2
3 Landes W86275%67.659.4+8.2
4 Charnay Bourgogne Sud W85362%78.869.9+8.9
5 Lyon W85362%68.965.6+3.2
6 Bourges W74357%75.069.6+5.4
7 ESB Villeneuve W84450%68.967.9+1.0
8 Landerneau Bretagne W84450%66.969.8-2.9
9 Angers W72529%67.472.3-4.9
10 Chartres W61517%64.376.2-11.8
11 Tronche Meylan W81712%65.876.0-10.2
12 Toulouse W81712%58.573.4-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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