PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Toulouse W vs Lyon W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 May 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 68-75
16-28 21-15 10-24 21-8
Position#9
Record9-18
FormWWLWL
Points / game66.9
Allowed / game76.1
Toulouse W
France
vs
Lyon W 🏆
France
Position#7
Record12-15
FormWWWWW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game68.9
FranceLFB WRound 6· Gymnase Compans Caffarelli
Women2025-26
Meetings · Toulouse W v Lyon W
22 Nov 2026
TOUL v LYON
upcoming
12 May 2026
TOUL68
LYON75
10 Jan 2026
TOUL76
LYON75
18 Mar 2023
TOUL70
LYON83
19 Dec 2015
TOUL53
LYON68
14 Dec 2014
TOUL87
LYON81
22 Apr 2014
TOUL68
LYON88
15 Dec 2013
TOUL79
LYON82
03 Apr 2013
TOUL60
LYON72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toulouse W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lyon W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toulouse WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Angers W
#11
W
52-51
52
51
+1
43avg 57
H15/02
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
L
78-79
78
79
-1
66avg 57
A21/02
LFB W
Bourges W
#2
L
55-84
55
84
-29
38avg 57
H07/03
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#4
L
63-72
63
72
-9
47avg 57
A24/03
LFB W
Lattes Montpellier W
#5
L
66-82
66
82
-16
55avg 57
H28/03
LFB W
La Roche W
#12
W
75-62
75
62
+13
72avg 57
H04/04
LFB W
Angers W
#11
W
67-60
67
60
+7
66avg 57
A11/04
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
48-81
48
81
-33
32avg 57
A29/04
LFB W
La Roche W
#12
W
77-62
77
62
+15
68avg 57
A02/05
LFB W
Angers W
#11
L
69-93
69
93
-24
52avg 57
H06/05
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
6-18
18-13
15-9
13-11
22-17
22-19
21-29
13-14
19-30
8-20
18-18
10-16
12-21
12-22
11-4
28-25
12-25
18-23
11-16
25-18
22-12
21-15
22-16
10-19
14-14
11-13
19-18
23-15
18-20
9-25
9-20
12-16
29-25
7-14
18-17
23-6
17-21
13-27
16-15
23-30
137.6Avg total
65.0Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)66.976.1143.1-9.233%
Season at home (13)64.376.4140.7-12.138%
Season away (14)69.475.9145.3-6.629%
Last 10 (10)65.072.6137.6-7.640%
Last 5 (5)67.271.6138.8-4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)64.379.5143.8-15.218%
vs Similar (10)71.470.5141.9+0.960%
vs Weaker (2)67.063.5130.5+3.5100%
This opponent (Lyon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lyon WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
59-92
59
92
-33
50avg 66
A14/02
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#6
L
64-67
64
67
-3
61avg 66
H20/02
LFB W
La Roche W
#12
W
90-63
90
63
+27
88avg 66
H06/03
LFB W
Chartres W
#10
L
66-80
66
80
-14
58avg 66
A24/03
LFB W
Landes W
#1
L
63-67
63
67
-4
59avg 66
H28/03
LFB W
Angers W
#11
W
77-56
77
56
+21
76avg 66
H04/04
LFB W
La Roche W
#12
W
88-61
88
61
+27
84avg 66
A11/04
LFB W
Toulouse W
#9
W
81-48
81
48
+33
77avg 66
H29/04
LFB W
Angers W
#11
W
73-58
73
58
+15
70avg 66
A02/05
LFB W
La Roche W
#12
W
72-53
72
53
+19
67avg 66
H06/05
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-24
20-27
8-24
20-17
22-22
21-11
6-17
15-17
18-10
17-19
28-19
27-15
22-17
17-22
14-27
13-14
10-21
18-20
12-11
23-15
29-6
22-14
18-13
8-23
24-19
25-16
20-16
19-10
20-18
25-9
20-9
16-12
18-13
18-17
13-14
24-14
25-16
20-12
16-12
11-13
137.8Avg total
73.3Scored
64.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)72.068.9140.9+3.144%
Season at home (14)74.967.4142.4+7.564%
Season away (13)68.970.5139.4-1.523%
Last 10 (10)73.364.5137.8+8.860%
Last 5 (5)78.255.2133.4+23.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.075.5142.5-8.517%
vs Similar (8)71.972.1144.0-0.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)74.864.8139.6+10.064%
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.6+2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.6+2.6
Toulouse WLyon W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toulouse WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Angers W
#11
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H15/02
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A21/02
LFB W
Bourges W
#2
L
27-50
27
50
-23
H07/03
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#4
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A24/03
LFB W
Lattes Montpellier W
#5
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H28/03
LFB W
La Roche W
#12
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H04/04
LFB W
Angers W
#11
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A11/04
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A29/04
LFB W
La Roche W
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A02/05
LFB W
Angers W
#11
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H06/05
LFB W
70.4Avg total
31.0Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.739.773.4-6.027%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.239.672.8-6.429%-
Last 30 away (16)34.139.873.9-5.825%-
Last 10 (10)31.039.470.4-8.420%-
Last 5 (5)32.237.269.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)31.642.874.5-11.212%-
vs Similar (10)36.235.471.6+0.840%-
vs Weaker (2)39.032.571.5+6.5100%-
This opponent (Lyon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lyon WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A14/02
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#6
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H20/02
LFB W
La Roche W
#12
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H06/03
LFB W
Chartres W
#10
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A24/03
LFB W
Landes W
#1
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H28/03
LFB W
Angers W
#11
W
51-20
51
20
+31
H04/04
LFB W
La Roche W
#12
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A11/04
LFB W
Toulouse W
#9
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H29/04
LFB W
Angers W
#11
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A02/05
LFB W
La Roche W
#12
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H06/05
LFB W
73.5Avg total
40.2Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.935.873.8+2.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.034.175.1+6.980%-
Last 30 away (15)34.937.672.5-2.747%-
Last 10 (10)40.233.373.5+6.970%-
Last 5 (5)45.228.073.2+17.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.739.071.7-6.317%-
vs Similar (8)39.234.273.5+5.088%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.133.973.9+6.271%-
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toulouse Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toulouse W: 65.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.2 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.320.0
44.2%
46.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.54.4
23.8%
31.0%13.2
🏀 Free throws16.211.8
72.8%
74.3%11.8
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lyon Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lyon W: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.2 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.1
50.0%
46.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.86.8
28.6%
31.0%20.4
🏀 Free throws17.012.7
74.7%
74.3%12.7
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toulouse W
LWLWWLLLLW
Lyon W
WWWWWLLWLL
#9
League position
#7
-8.4
Net rating
+10.3
75.4
Offensive rating
85.4
83.8
Defensive rating
75.1
41.7%
Effective FG%
47.3%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.3%
16.9%
Turnover %
19.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
23.8%
3-point %
28.6%
61.5%
Assist %
70.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence75.4 · 85.4Defence83.8 · 75.1Shooting41.7% · 47.3%3-point %23.8% · 28.6%Ball care16.9% · 19.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Toulouse W   ■ Lyon W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Toulouse W wins
7
Lyon W wins
DateGameScore
29/04/26Lyon W v Toulouse W81-48
10/01/26Toulouse W v Lyon W76-75
22/10/25Lyon W v Toulouse W82-60
10/10/25Lyon W v Toulouse W76-72
18/03/23Toulouse W v Lyon W70-83
11/12/22Lyon W v Toulouse W89-72
13/04/16Lyon W v Toulouse W83-73
19/12/15Toulouse W v Lyon W53-68
25/03/15Lyon W v Toulouse W53-62
14/12/14Toulouse W v Lyon W87-81
Toulouse Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/26HAngers W69-93
02/05/26ALa Roche W77-62
29/04/26ALyon W48-81
11/04/26AAngers W67-60
04/04/26HLa Roche W75-62
28/03/26HLattes Montpellier W66-82
24/03/26ALanderneau Bretagne W63-72
07/03/26HBourges W55-84
21/02/26ACharnay Bourgogne Sud W78-79
15/02/26HAngers W52-51
Lyon Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/26HLa Roche W72-53
02/05/26AAngers W73-58
29/04/26HToulouse W81-48
11/04/26ALa Roche W88-61
04/04/26HAngers W77-56
28/03/26HLandes W63-67
24/03/26AChartres W66-80
06/03/26HLa Roche W90-63
20/02/26HESB Villeneuve W64-67
14/02/26AFlammes Carolo W59-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toulouse W
LFB W 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL33%
HomeWLLWL38%
AwayLLWLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %33%38%29%
Points / game66.964.369.4
Allowed / game76.176.475.9
Point differential-9.2-12.1-6.6
Avg total143.1140.7145.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%8%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)80% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lyon W
LFB W 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW44%
HomeWLWWW64%
AwayLLLWW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %44%64%23%
Points / game72.074.968.9
Allowed / game68.967.470.5
Point differential+3.1+7.5-1.5
Avg total140.9142.4139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)40% (5)0% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Landes W2723485%72.461.7+10.7
2 Bourges W2721678%74.665.3+9.2
3 Flammes Carolo W2617965%76.567.0+9.4
4 Landerneau Bretagne W2415962%68.868.2+0.6
5 Lattes Montpellier W26141254%72.369.5+2.8
6 ESB Villeneuve W24121250%72.272.7-0.5
7 Charnay Bourgogne Sud W24111346%72.476.5-4.1
8 Lyon W27121544%72.068.9+3.1
9 Toulouse W2791833%66.976.1-9.2
10 Chartres W2471729%69.978.5-8.6
11 La Roche W2772026%68.775.7-7.0
12 Angers W2772026%65.072.4-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toulouse W1621102168
Lyon W281524875
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.