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Townsville vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Oct 2015
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 88-96
17-30 28-27 22-18 21-21
Position#7
Record2-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#3
Record2-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game87.8
AustraliaNBL
Other2015-16
Meetings · Townsville v Illawarra Hawks
31 Dec 2015
TOWN74
ILLA98
28 Oct 2015
TOWN88
ILLA96
20 Feb 2015
TOWN82
ILLA66
23 Nov 2014
TOWN107
ILLA75
14 Mar 2014
TOWN85
ILLA94
31 Jan 2014
TOWN80
ILLA67
09 Mar 2013
TOWN69
ILLA64
19 Jan 2013
TOWN82
ILLA74
21 Jan 2012
TOWN65
ILLA63
03 Dec 2011
TOWN82
ILLA81
18 Feb 2011
TOWN75
ILLA56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Townsville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TownsvilleAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H07/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#5
W
105-68
105
68
+37
H14/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
82-66
82
66
+16
H20/02
NBL
Perth
#4
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A22/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
84-99
84
99
-15
H09/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#4
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A11/10
NBL
Sydney
#8
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A15/10
NBL
Cairns
#6
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A17/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
62-93
62
93
-31
A21/10
NBL
Perth
#1
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A23/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
24-14
19-16
18-19
28-17
25-16
31-14
21-21
20-15
14-16
21-16
27-19
14-20
19-15
20-21
18-25
19-28
23-15
21-29
21-27
17-29
21-19
16-18
27-23
18-28
20-14
19-16
23-19
21-19
19-21
21-18
13-22
13-25
15-30
17-24
17-14
11-28
25-12
12-10
18-13
157.1Avg total
78.4Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.583.5158.0-9.033%
Season at home (1)84.099.0183.0-15.00%
Season away (5)72.680.4153.0-7.840%
Last 10 (10)78.478.7157.1-0.350%
Last 5 (5)72.680.4153.0-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)73.083.6156.6-10.612%
vs Similar (19)84.183.7167.8+0.342%
vs Weaker (3)88.377.0165.3+11.367%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns
#1
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A01/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#5
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A07/02
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
75-73
75
73
+2
A15/02
NBL
Townsville
#6
L
66-82
66
82
-16
A20/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
85-105
85
105
-20
H22/02
NBL
Cairns
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A08/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
81-93
81
93
-12
A11/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#4
W
96-75
96
75
+21
H14/10
NBL
Sydney
#8
W
100-86
100
86
+14
A17/10
NBL
Perth
#1
L
99-106
99
106
-7
H25/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
23-23
16-6
5-17
18-21
18-6
25-22
21-27
20-17
14-14
17-24
24-18
15-20
16-14
16-21
19-27
14-30
22-27
28-20
21-28
16-25
22-13
12-14
24-27
22-27
23-26
18-16
18-24
32-19
27-21
15-12
22-23
27-30
25-23
25-18
23-15
28-26
24-23
30-28
17-29
165.6Avg total
81.8Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)90.087.8177.8+2.240%
Season at home (2)97.590.5188.0+7.050%
Season away (3)85.086.0171.0-1.033%
Last 10 (10)81.883.8165.6-2.040%
Last 5 (5)90.087.8177.8+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)76.884.9161.7-8.120%
vs Similar (3)92.091.3183.3+0.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)87.082.5169.5+4.550%
This opponent (Townsville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -4.1-4.1
TownsvilleIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H07/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#5
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H14/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H20/02
NBL
Perth
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A22/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H09/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A11/10
NBL
Sydney
#8
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A15/10
NBL
Cairns
#6
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A17/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
28-55
28
55
-27
A21/10
NBL
Perth
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A23/10
NBL
78.7Avg total
38.4Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.642.483.0-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.741.084.7+2.769%-
Last 30 away (17)38.243.581.7-5.218%-
Last 10 (10)38.440.378.7-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)36.045.081.0-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)36.141.477.5-5.238%-
vs Similar (19)42.543.585.9-1.037%-
vs Weaker (3)40.738.379.0+2.367%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns
#1
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A01/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#5
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A07/02
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A15/02
NBL
Townsville
#6
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A20/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
36-57
36
57
-21
H22/02
NBL
Cairns
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A08/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A11/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#4
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H14/10
NBL
Sydney
#8
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A17/10
NBL
Perth
#1
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H25/10
NBL
84.4Avg total
42.2Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.142.582.6-2.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.544.186.6-1.533%-
Last 30 away (15)37.741.078.7-3.320%-
Last 10 (10)42.242.284.4+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)49.246.695.8+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)38.341.780.0-3.424%-
vs Similar (3)52.047.399.3+4.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)45.045.590.5-0.50%-
This opponent (Townsville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Townsville wins
6
Illawarra Hawks wins
Townsvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/15APerth66-63
21/10/15AMelbourne United62-93
17/10/15ACairns74-80
15/10/15ASydney80-77
11/10/15ANew Zealand Breakers81-89
09/10/15HMelbourne United84-99
22/02/15APerth71-81
20/02/15HIllawarra Hawks82-66
14/02/15HMelbourne United105-68
07/02/15HNew Zealand Breakers79-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/15HPerth99-106
17/10/15ASydney100-86
14/10/15HNew Zealand Breakers96-75
11/10/15AMelbourne United81-93
08/10/15ACairns74-79
22/02/15HAdelaide85-105
20/02/15ATownsville66-82
15/02/15ASydney75-73
07/02/15AMelbourne United82-76
01/02/15ACairns60-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Townsville
NBL 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games615
Win %33%0%40%
Points / game74.584.072.6
Allowed / game83.599.080.4
Point differential-9.0-15.0-7.8
Avg total158.0183.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game90.097.585.0
Allowed / game87.890.586.0
Point differential+2.2+7.0-1.0
Avg total177.8188.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United550100%91.676.4+15.2
2 Perth43175%82.877.8+5.0
3 Adelaide53260%82.078.6+3.4
4 New Zealand Breakers63350%79.879.8+0.0
5 Illawarra Hawks52340%90.087.8+2.2
6 Cairns62433%74.783.7-9.0
7 Townsville62433%74.583.5-9.0
8 Sydney51420%78.481.6-3.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Townsville1728222188
Illawarra Hawks3027182196
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