Townsville vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Mar 2014

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 85-94

31-24 23-17 19-22 12-31

Position#8

Record9-17

FormWLWLL

Points / game84.5

Allowed / game88.4

Townsville

Illawarra Hawks 🏆

Position#4

Record11-14

FormWWWWL

Points / game81.4

Allowed / game83.0

NBLRound 22

Other2013-14

Meetings · Townsville v Illawarra Hawks

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Townsville winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Illawarra Hawks winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Townsville Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

79-90

-11

H24/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

80-67

+13

H31/01

NBL

Perth

88-75

+13

H07/02

NBL

Cairns

90-82

A08/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

75-90

-15

A14/02

NBL

Sydney

90-83

H22/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

99-102

102

-3

A27/02

NBL

Melbourne United

109-106 OT

109

106

A01/03

NBL

Perth

69-81

-12

A07/03

NBL

Adelaide

70-102

102

-32

A08/03

NBL

13-13

20-31

29-22

17-24

20-14

19-18

12-12

29-23

23-24

27-21

12-21

26-9

21-15

21-22

25-21

23-24

16-28

23-26

17-26

19-10

26-19

23-20

16-17

25-27

25-22

25-23

25-25

24-32

28-22

14-15

29-33

27-28

21-24

16-21

21-19

11-17

20-28

17-37

16-27

17-10

172.7Avg total

84.9Scored

87.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	84.5	88.4	172.9	-4.0	35%
Season at home (13)	87.1	86.6	173.7	+0.5	46%
Season away (13)	81.8	90.2	172.1	-8.4	23%
Last 10 (10)	84.9	87.8	172.7	-2.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	87.4	94.8	182.2	-7.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	82.9	89.2	172.1	-6.3	33%
vs Similar ◀ (21)	82.8	85.3	168.1	-2.6	38%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

77-79

-2

H19/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

101-106

101

106

-5

A23/01

NBL

Melbourne United

78-86

-8

H26/01

NBL

Townsville

67-80

-13

A31/01

NBL

Adelaide

102-80

102

+22

H09/02

NBL

Townsville

90-75

+15

H14/02

NBL

Sydney

102-84

102

+18

A15/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

88-68

+20

H21/02

NBL

Adelaide

91-89

H28/02

NBL

Cairns

79-82

-3

H08/03

NBL

22-19

27-14

10-18

18-28

26-30

23-25

29-26

23-25

25-22

15-25

22-14

16-25

14-20

18-19

12-12

23-29

28-19

32-21

26-24

16-16

28-16

26-23

26-17

10-19

26-27

22-18

27-14

27-25

19-16

16-14

26-22

27-16

24-19

22-22

25-18

20-30

14-19

24-27

10-19

31-17

170.4Avg total

87.5Scored

82.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	81.4	83.0	164.4	-1.6	44%
Season at home (13)	85.0	82.8	167.8	+2.2	54%
Season away (12)	77.6	83.2	160.8	-5.6	33%
Last 10 (10)	87.5	82.9	170.4	+4.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	90.0	79.6	169.6	+10.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	81.1	88.1	169.2	-7.0	33%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	80.3	80.2	160.5	+0.1	47%
vs Weaker (2)	72.5	71.5	144.0	+1.0	50%

This opponent (Townsville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TownsvilleIllawarra Hawks

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	22.7	43.9	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	22.3	44.4	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	23.1	43.3	-2.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.9	42.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	23.0	47.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	22.2	25.3	47.6	-3.1	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	20.7	21.6	42.3	-0.9	52%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.0	41.5	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	23.1	42.8	-3.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	20.7	43.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.4	41.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.8	21.4	43.2	+0.3	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.0	42%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.5	17.5	35.0	+0.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	22.8	42.3	-3.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	22.1	42.0	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	23.5	42.5	-4.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	23.4	43.9	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	23.2	42.2	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.3	25.9	46.2	-5.6	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.1	21.5	40.6	-2.4	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.6	39.5	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	19.3	40.4	+1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	19.9	38.4	-1.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	20.8	43.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.8	42.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.1	21.4	41.6	-1.3	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.8	19.2	39.1	+0.6	53%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	15.0	34.5	+4.5	50%	-

TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

33-44

-11

H24/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

39-32

H31/01

NBL

Perth

50-45

H07/02

NBL

Cairns

42-37

A08/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

39-54

-15

A14/02

NBL

Sydney

49-39

+10

H22/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

50-45

A27/02

NBL

Melbourne United

42-37

A01/03

NBL

Perth

37-45

-8

A07/03

NBL

Adelaide

37-65

-28

A08/03

NBL

86.1Avg total

41.8Scored

44.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	45.5	86.1	-4.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.0	44.4	86.4	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	46.6	85.9	-7.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	44.3	86.1	-2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	46.2	89.2	-3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	42.6	51.2	93.8	-8.7	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	39.8	43.0	82.9	-3.2	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

49-33

+16

H19/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

49-55

-6

A23/01

NBL

Melbourne United

40-47

-7

H26/01

NBL

Townsville

32-39

-7

A31/01

NBL

Adelaide

60-40

+20

H09/02

NBL

Townsville

54-39

+15

H14/02

NBL

Sydney

48-45

A15/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

35-30

H21/02

NBL

Adelaide

46-41

H28/02

NBL

Cairns

38-46

-8

H08/03

NBL

86.6Avg total

45.1Scored

41.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	40.6	81.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.4	38.5	80.9	+3.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.1	43.1	81.2	-4.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	41.5	86.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	40.2	84.4	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	41.9	42.9	84.8	-1.0	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	40.1	40.4	80.5	-0.4	42%	-
vs Weaker (2)	37.0	32.5	69.5	+4.5	100%	-

This opponent (Townsville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.9	39.0	-0.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	18.4	36.5	-0.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	21.3	41.5	-1.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	22.3	42.5	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	24.2	45.6	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.3	19.2	37.6	-0.9	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.5	20.1	39.6	-0.7	24%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.5	38.7	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	18.2	39.5	+3.0	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	18.9	37.8	+0.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	18.4	39.7	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	18.0	40.8	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.3	21.9	42.2	-1.6	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	20.2	17.1	37.3	+3.2	63%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	17.5	36.5	+1.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	20.9	43.5	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.9	21.4	46.3	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	20.3	40.7	+0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	20.4	42.2	+1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.8	43.6	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	22.0	18.8	40.8	+3.2	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	23.0	21.8	44.7	+1.2	48%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	21.5	39.9	-3.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	21.9	40.1	-3.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	20.9	39.6	-2.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	23.0	44.1	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.4	44.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.9	21.4	38.3	-4.6	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.3	21.5	40.8	-2.2	37%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.5	21.5	38.0	-5.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	40.7	82.5	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.1	39.8	82.9	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	41.7	82.2	-1.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	42.7	84.7	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	47.0	89.2	-4.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	40.3	38.0	78.3	+2.3	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	42.4	41.9	84.3	+0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	40.0	78.6	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.4	40.2	79.6	-0.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.6	39.8	77.4	-2.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	41.4	83.8	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	39.4	85.2	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	37.2	43.3	80.6	-6.1	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	39.5	38.5	78.1	+1.0	47%	-
vs Weaker (2)	35.5	39.0	74.5	-3.5	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Townsville wins

Illawarra Hawks wins

Date	Game	Score
14/02/14	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	90-75
31/01/14	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	80-67
26/10/13	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	85-81
09/03/13	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	69-64
17/02/13	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	86-62
19/01/13	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	82-74
21/10/12	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	84-66
21/01/12	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	65-63
07/01/12	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	57-72
03/12/11	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	82-81

Townsvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/14	A	Adelaide	70-102
07/03/14	A	Perth	69-81
01/03/14	A	Melbourne United	109-106 OT
27/02/14	A	New Zealand Breakers	99-102
22/02/14	H	Sydney	90-83
14/02/14	A	Illawarra Hawks	75-90
08/02/14	A	Cairns	90-82
07/02/14	H	Perth	88-75
31/01/14	H	Illawarra Hawks	80-67
24/01/14	H	Cairns	79-90

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/14	H	Cairns	79-82
28/02/14	H	Adelaide	91-89
21/02/14	H	New Zealand Breakers	88-68
15/02/14	A	Sydney	102-84
14/02/14	H	Townsville	90-75
09/02/14	H	Adelaide	102-80
31/01/14	A	Townsville	67-80
26/01/14	H	Melbourne United	78-86
23/01/14	A	New Zealand Breakers	101-106
19/01/14	H	Cairns	77-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Townsville

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	35%
Home	LLWWW	46%
Away	LLWLL	23%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	35%	46%	23%
Points / game	84.5	87.1	81.8
Allowed / game	88.4	86.6	90.2
Point differential	-4.0	+0.5	-8.4
Avg total	172.9	173.7	172.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	31%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	25% (4)	33% (3)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	44%
Home	WWWWL	54%
Away	LWLLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	44%	54%	33%
Points / game	81.4	85.0	77.6
Allowed / game	83.0	82.8	83.2
Point differential	-1.6	+2.2	-5.6
Avg total	164.4	167.8	160.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	16%	23%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	55% (11)	67% (6)	40% (5)
Overtime %	8%	15%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth	27	20	7	74%	86.4	78.2	+8.2
2	Adelaide	26	17	9	65%	89.9	87.5	+2.4
3	Melbourne United	26	14	12	54%	82.0	81.8	+0.2
4	Illawarra Hawks	25	11	14	44%	81.4	83.0	-1.6
5	Sydney	25	11	14	44%	81.8	85.4	-3.6
6	Cairns	26	11	15	42%	82.4	84.3	-1.9
7	New Zealand Breakers	27	11	16	41%	88.6	88.8	-0.3
8	Townsville	26	9	17	35%	84.5	88.4	-4.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Townsville	31	23	19	12	85
Illawarra Hawks	24	17	22	31	94

← all games of the day

Townsville vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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