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Townsville vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 89-66
29-18 21-16 19-14 20-18
Position#7
Record7-15
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game84.7
vs
Position#4
Record11-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game82.9
AustraliaNBL
Other2015-16
Meetings · Townsville v New Zealand Breakers
21 Jan 2016
TOWN89
NEW 66
05 Dec 2015
TOWN75
NEW 86
07 Feb 2015
TOWN79
NEW 71
09 Nov 2014
TOWN80
NEW 87
08 Nov 2013
TOWN91
NEW 78
18 Oct 2013
TOWN94
NEW 84
11 Jan 2013
TOWN78
NEW 82
09 Nov 2012
TOWN72
NEW 81
05 Apr 2012
TOWN83
NEW 94
23 Mar 2012
TOWN69
NEW 76
12 Mar 2011
TOWN100
NEW 92
31 Dec 2010
TOWN96
NEW 79
27 Jan 2010
TOWN86
NEW 91
20 Nov 2009
TOWN73
NEW 85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Townsville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Zealand Breakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TownsvilleAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#2
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H26/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#3
L
70-108
70
108
-38
A28/11
NBL
Cairns
#6
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H02/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#4
L
75-86
75
86
-11
H05/12
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
101-100
101
100
+1
H10/12
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A12/12
NBL
Perth
#1
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H19/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#3
L
74-98
74
98
-24
H31/12
NBL
Cairns
#6
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A08/01
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
103-108
103
108
-5
H16/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
8-19
7-8
24-16
14-34
16-27
20-20
20-27
31-9
22-18
16-21
21-28
15-28
19-13
25-18
16-27
26-27
24-28
24-26
27-19
21-14
15-27
15-15
15-20
8-15
17-15
29-14
21-14
14-32
19-19
19-23
22-24
16-25
8-15
16-21
21-14
33-26
31-30
14-27
25-25
162.9Avg total
77.8Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.584.7162.2-7.332%
Season at home (10)84.286.4170.6-2.240%
Season away (12)71.883.3155.2-11.525%
Last 10 (10)77.885.1162.9-7.330%
Last 5 (5)75.883.0158.8-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)77.786.4164.1-8.729%
vs Similar (12)80.279.2159.3+1.042%
vs Weaker (1)82.066.0148.0+16.0100%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#1
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A27/11
NBL
Perth
#1
W
99-78
99
78
+21
H02/12
NBL
Townsville
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
A05/12
NBL
Sydney
#8
W
96-84
96
84
+12
H11/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#3
L
83-107
83
107
-24
H20/12
NBL
Sydney
#8
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A27/12
NBL
Cairns
#6
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A31/12
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H08/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#3
L
69-87
69
87
-18
A14/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#3
L
96-103 OT
96
103
-7
H17/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
15-28
21-23
26-19
25-31
29-17
15-16
30-14
28-15
13-19
18-25
27-16
14-21
23-24
26-14
33-25
21-34
26-25
22-29
14-19
16-17
22-21
32-18
23-27
17-18
9-11
18-21
22-23
23-25
18-28
20-12
20-22
20-21
9-26
19-25
21-15
32-24
21-24
18-17
9-15
171.2Avg total
84.9Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.182.9167.0+1.252%
Season at home (11)88.582.4170.9+6.273%
Season away (10)79.283.4162.6-4.230%
Last 10 (10)84.986.3171.2-1.440%
Last 5 (5)81.086.6167.6-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)83.385.2168.5-1.942%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.577.9166.4+10.582%
This opponent (Townsville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +3.0+3.0
TownsvilleNew Zealand Breakers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#2
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H26/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#3
L
30-61
30
61
-31
A28/11
NBL
Cairns
#6
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H02/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H05/12
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H10/12
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A12/12
NBL
Perth
#1
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H19/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#3
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H31/12
NBL
Cairns
#6
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A08/01
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H16/01
NBL
82.5Avg total
38.1Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.143.182.2-4.023%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.943.486.3-0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)35.342.878.1-7.57%-
Last 10 (10)38.144.482.5-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)36.443.680.0-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.545.984.4-7.412%-
vs Similar (12)40.340.280.5+0.233%-
vs Weaker (1)34.031.065.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#1
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A27/11
NBL
Perth
#1
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H02/12
NBL
Townsville
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A05/12
NBL
Sydney
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H11/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#3
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H20/12
NBL
Sydney
#8
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A27/12
NBL
Cairns
#6
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A31/12
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H08/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#3
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A14/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#3
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H17/01
NBL
84.4Avg total
39.9Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.542.283.7-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.143.288.4+1.956%-
Last 30 away (14)37.440.978.3-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)39.944.584.4-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)37.443.080.4-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)41.444.185.5-2.742%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.738.880.5+2.955%-
This opponent (Townsville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Townsvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/16HAdelaide103-108
08/01/16ACairns61-75
31/12/15HIllawarra Hawks74-98
19/12/15HPerth75-58
12/12/15AAdelaide66-76
10/12/15HAdelaide101-100
05/12/15HNew Zealand Breakers75-86
02/12/15HCairns90-76
28/11/15AIllawarra Hawks70-108
26/11/15HMelbourne United63-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/16HIllawarra Hawks96-103 OT
14/01/16AIllawarra Hawks69-87
08/01/16HAdelaide81-87
31/12/15ACairns66-73
27/12/15ASydney93-83
20/12/15HIllawarra Hawks83-107
11/12/15HSydney96-84
05/12/15ATownsville86-75
02/12/15HPerth99-78
27/11/15APerth80-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Townsville
NBL 2015-16
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL32%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %32%40%25%
Points / game77.584.271.8
Allowed / game84.786.483.3
Point differential-7.3-2.2-11.5
Avg total162.2170.6155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)33% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL52%
HomeWWLLL73%
AwayLWWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%73%30%
Points / game84.188.579.2
Allowed / game82.982.483.4
Point differential+1.2+6.2-4.2
Avg total167.0170.9162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%55%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United2316770%86.783.4+3.3
2 Illawarra Hawks2214864%94.987.2+7.7
3 Perth2214864%84.079.8+4.3
4 Adelaide2112957%88.286.6+1.6
5 New Zealand Breakers21111052%84.182.9+1.2
6 Cairns2291341%79.884.0-4.2
7 Townsville2271532%77.584.7-7.3
8 Sydney2351822%84.691.0-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Townsville2921192089
New Zealand Breakers1816141866
← all games of the day
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