Townsville vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Nov 2015

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 63-66

24-23 8-19 7-8 24-16

Position#7

Record4-8

FormLWLLW

Points / game77.2

Allowed / game84.4

Townsville

Melbourne United 🏆

Position#2

Record9-3

FormWWLLL

Points / game86.5

Allowed / game80.1

NBL

Other2015-16

Meetings · Townsville v Melbourne United

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Townsville winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Melbourne United winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Townsville Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

80-77

A15/10

NBL

Cairns

74-80

-6

A17/10

NBL

Melbourne United

62-93

-31

A21/10

NBL

Perth

66-63

A23/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

88-96

-8

H28/10

NBL

Sydney

78-87

-9

A30/10

NBL

Perth

89-77

+12

H04/11

NBL

Perth

77-85

-8

A06/11

NBL

Adelaide

65-89

-24

A14/11

NBL

Melbourne United

82-78

A20/11

NBL

18-28

20-14

19-16

23-19

21-19

19-21

21-18

13-22

13-25

15-30

17-24

17-14

11-28

25-12

12-10

18-13

17-30

28-27

22-18

21-21

14-26

19-15

20-20

25-26

16-26

28-21

20-12

25-18

16-26

15-8

18-27

28-24

20-23

20-25

12-22

13-19

25-19

22-12

22-20

13-27

158.6Avg total

76.1Scored

82.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	77.2	84.4	161.6	-7.2	33%
Season at home (3)	87.0	90.7	177.7	-3.7	33%
Season away (9)	73.9	82.3	156.2	-8.4	33%
Last 10 (10)	76.1	82.5	158.6	-6.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	83.2	161.4	-5.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	75.8	84.2	159.9	-8.4	23%
vs Similar (16)	84.1	83.4	167.4	+0.7	44%
vs Weaker (1)	82.0	66.0	148.0	+16.0	100%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

84-75

H16/10

NBL

Townsville

93-62

+31

H21/10

NBL

Cairns

89-80

H24/10

NBL

Perth

75-73

H29/10

NBL

Sydney

96-82

+14

H01/11

NBL

Sydney

105-94

105

+11

A05/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

87-86

H08/11

NBL

Cairns

70-82

-12

A13/11

NBL

Townsville

78-82

-4

H20/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

69-80

-11

A22/11

NBL

21-22

23-20

22-17

18-16

25-13

30-15

24-17

14-17

31-27

15-11

22-20

21-22

25-19

17-25

23-15

10-14

34-17

16-20

26-20

20-25

22-16

24-25

34-26

25-27

22-25

26-18

14-25

25-18

18-30

27-13

7-18

18-21

19-25

12-22

20-22

27-13

22-23

13-9

17-19

17-29

164.2Avg total

84.6Scored

79.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	86.5	80.1	166.6	+6.4	75%
Season at home (8)	86.9	77.6	164.5	+9.2	88%
Season away (4)	85.8	85.0	170.8	+0.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	84.6	79.6	164.2	+5.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	84.8	166.6	-3.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	74.8	84.2	159.0	-9.5	25%
vs Similar (16)	84.5	85.4	169.9	-0.9	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	89.1	83.9	173.0	+5.2	60%

This opponent (Townsville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TownsvilleMelbourne United

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	22.1	41.9	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.3	22.4	43.8	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	18.7	21.9	40.6	-3.2	28%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	25.0	42.1	-7.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	24.0	42.2	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.1	23.5	41.5	-5.4	23%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.1	21.4	42.6	-0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	15.0	35.0	+5.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	22.5	45.6	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.2	21.8	46.0	+2.5	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.5	23.5	45.0	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	21.7	45.6	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	23.8	44.4	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	22.6	23.0	45.6	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	24.1	22.0	46.1	+2.1	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.1	40.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.3	19.5	40.8	+1.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.6	20.4	40.1	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	18.5	39.6	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	16.2	37.0	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	20.1	18.7	38.8	+1.4	69%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.9	21.4	42.3	-0.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	14.0	16.0	30.0	-2.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.6	39.7	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.7	19.4	40.1	+1.4	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	19.9	39.2	-0.7	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	17.8	38.1	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.4	37.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.5	22.0	41.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.4	19.7	41.1	+1.8	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	18.1	18.5	36.6	-0.4	40%	-

TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

38-42

-4

A15/10

NBL

Cairns

40-40

A17/10

NBL

Melbourne United

28-55

-27

A21/10

NBL

Perth

36-40

-4

A23/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

45-57

-12

H28/10

NBL

Sydney

33-41

-8

A30/10

NBL

Perth

44-47

-3

H04/11

NBL

Perth

31-34

-3

A06/11

NBL

Adelaide

40-48

-8

A14/11

NBL

Melbourne United

47-31

+16

A20/11

NBL

81.7Avg total

38.2Scored

43.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	42.2	82.2	-2.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	42.7	41.9	84.6	+0.8	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	38.3	42.3	80.7	-4.0	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	43.5	81.7	-5.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	40.2	79.2	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	38.2	42.2	80.3	-4.0	31%	-
vs Similar (16)	42.0	42.9	84.9	-0.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	34.0	31.0	65.0	+3.0	100%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

44-42

H16/10

NBL

Townsville

55-28

+27

H21/10

NBL

Cairns

46-38

H24/10

NBL

Perth

42-44

-2

H29/10

NBL

Sydney

50-37

+13

H01/11

NBL

Sydney

46-41

A05/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

48-43

H08/11

NBL

Cairns

45-43

A13/11

NBL

Townsville

31-47

-16

H20/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

35-32

A22/11

NBL

83.7Avg total

44.2Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	42.1	85.2	+1.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.9	41.1	86.1	+3.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.7	43.5	84.2	-2.8	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	39.5	83.7	+4.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	41.2	82.2	-0.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	41.5	44.0	85.5	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	44.1	42.7	86.8	+1.4	69%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	42.2	40.5	82.7	+1.7	70%	-

This opponent (Townsville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.2	19.2	40.5	+2.0	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	18.1	20.2	38.3	-2.1	39%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.7	37.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.2	38.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.6	21.1	38.7	-3.5	31%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.7	19.1	39.8	+1.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	16.0	37.0	+5.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.4	40.8	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.8	19.8	40.5	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.1	21.2	41.2	-1.1	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	19.9	40.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	22.0	40.4	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.8	20.8	37.5	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.1	19.6	39.8	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	22.5	21.4	43.9	+1.1	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.8	41.6	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.7	20.6	42.2	+1.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.3	20.9	41.2	-0.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.3	39.9	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.8	43.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	20.0	20.9	40.9	-0.9	46%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.2	20.8	41.9	+0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	19.0	46.0	+8.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.2	41.1	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.2	21.5	41.7	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.2	39.7	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	21.6	44.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.5	19.5	36.0	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.9	21.9	40.9	-3.0	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	22.7	20.8	43.5	+1.9	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	40.6	80.8	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	42.9	39.8	82.8	+3.1	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	38.4	41.1	79.6	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	39.0	76.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	43.0	82.2	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	37.6	42.0	79.6	-4.4	31%	-
vs Similar (16)	41.9	39.8	81.7	+2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	48.0	35.0	83.0	+13.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	41.6	81.9	-1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.4	40.8	81.2	-0.4	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.2	42.7	82.9	-2.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	40.1	80.5	+0.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	43.6	84.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	33.2	40.2	73.5	-7.0	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	39.1	41.6	80.6	-2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	45.2	42.2	87.4	+3.0	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Townsville wins

Melbourne United wins

Date	Game	Score
20/11/15	Melbourne United v Townsville	78-82
21/10/15	Melbourne United v Townsville	93-62
09/10/15	Townsville v Melbourne United	84-99
14/02/15	Townsville v Melbourne United	105-68
25/01/15	Melbourne United v Townsville	69-81
07/12/14	Melbourne United v Townsville	83-79
25/10/14	Townsville v Melbourne United	92-81
01/03/14	Melbourne United v Townsville	106-109 OT
03/01/14	Townsville v Melbourne United	77-95
14/12/13	Townsville v Melbourne United	71-76

Townsvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/11/15	A	Melbourne United	82-78
14/11/15	A	Adelaide	65-89
06/11/15	A	Perth	77-85
04/11/15	H	Perth	89-77
30/10/15	A	Sydney	78-87
28/10/15	H	Illawarra Hawks	88-96
23/10/15	A	Perth	66-63
21/10/15	A	Melbourne United	62-93
17/10/15	A	Cairns	74-80
15/10/15	A	Sydney	80-77

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/11/15	A	New Zealand Breakers	69-80
20/11/15	H	Townsville	78-82
13/11/15	A	Cairns	70-82
08/11/15	H	New Zealand Breakers	87-86
05/11/15	A	Sydney	105-94
01/11/15	H	Sydney	96-82
29/10/15	H	Perth	75-73
24/10/15	H	Cairns	89-80
21/10/15	H	Townsville	93-62
16/10/15	H	Adelaide	84-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Townsville

NBL 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	33%
Home	LLW	33%
Away	WLLLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	3	9
Win %	33%	33%	33%
Points / game	77.2	87.0	73.9
Allowed / game	84.4	90.7	82.3
Point differential	-7.2	-3.7	-8.4
Avg total	161.6	177.7	156.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	-	100% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Melbourne United

NBL 2015-16

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	75%
Home	WWWWL	88%
Away	WWLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	8	4
Win %	75%	88%	50%
Points / game	86.5	86.9	85.8
Allowed / game	80.1	77.6	85.0
Point differential	+6.4	+9.2	+0.8
Avg total	166.6	164.5	170.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	42%	38%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	67% (3)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Melbourne United	12	9	3	75%	86.5	80.1	+6.4
2	Perth	12	8	4	67%	85.1	81.3	+3.8
3	New Zealand Breakers	11	7	4	64%	83.4	79.7	+3.6
4	Adelaide	12	6	6	50%	87.3	86.2	+1.1
5	Illawarra Hawks	11	5	6	45%	88.5	89.5	-1.0
6	Cairns	10	4	6	40%	81.2	86.0	-4.8
7	Townsville	12	4	8	33%	77.2	84.4	-7.2
8	Sydney	12	3	9	25%	85.2	87.7	-2.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Townsville	24	8	7	24	63
Melbourne United	23	19	8	16	66

← all games of the day

Townsville vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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