Illawarra Hawks vs Townsville Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Nov 2015

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 108-70

34-14 27-16 20-20 27-20

Position#3

Record5-6

FormLWLLW

Points / game88.5

Allowed / game89.5

Illawarra Hawks 🏆

Townsville

Position#7

Record4-9

FormWLLWL

Points / game76.1

Allowed / game83.0

NBL

Other2015-16

Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Townsville

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Townsville winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

81-93

-12

A11/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

96-75

+21

H14/10

NBL

Sydney

100-86

100

+14

A17/10

NBL

Perth

99-106

106

-7

H25/10

NBL

Townsville

96-88

A28/10

NBL

Perth

62-91

-29

A31/10

NBL

Cairns

96-88

H06/11

NBL

Perth

96-99

-3

H11/11

NBL

Adelaide

77-89

-12

A21/11

NBL

Sydney

96-90

H25/11

NBL

22-27

23-26

18-16

18-24

32-19

27-21

15-12

22-23

27-30

25-23

25-18

23-15

28-26

24-23

30-28

17-29

30-17

27-28

18-22

21-21

12-22

24-18

8-25

18-26

22-22

20-26

40-15

14-25

26-28

33-23

20-17

17-31

24-33

22-21

8-15

23-20

24-22

26-25

20-22

26-21

180.4Avg total

89.9Scored

90.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	88.5	89.5	177.9	-1.0	45%
Season at home (5)	96.6	91.6	188.2	+5.0	60%
Season away (6)	81.7	87.7	169.3	-6.0	33%
Last 10 (10)	89.9	90.5	180.4	-0.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	91.4	176.8	-6.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	78.4	84.5	162.8	-6.1	26%
vs Similar (5)	86.8	92.8	179.6	-6.0	20%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	89.8	86.7	176.5	+3.2	67%

This opponent (Townsville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Townsville Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

74-80

-6

A17/10

NBL

Melbourne United

62-93

-31

A21/10

NBL

Perth

66-63

A23/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

88-96

-8

H28/10

NBL

Sydney

78-87

-9

A30/10

NBL

Perth

89-77

+12

H04/11

NBL

Perth

77-85

-8

A06/11

NBL

Adelaide

65-89

-24

A14/11

NBL

Melbourne United

82-78

A20/11

NBL

Melbourne United

63-66

-3

H26/11

NBL

21-19

19-21

21-18

13-22

13-25

15-30

17-24

17-14

11-28

25-12

12-10

18-13

17-30

28-27

22-18

21-21

14-26

19-15

20-20

25-26

16-26

28-21

20-12

25-18

16-26

15-8

18-27

28-24

20-23

20-25

12-22

13-19

25-19

22-12

22-20

13-27

24-23

8-19

7-8

24-16

155.8Avg total

74.4Scored

81.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	76.1	83.0	159.1	-6.9	31%
Season at home (4)	81.0	84.5	165.5	-3.5	25%
Season away (9)	73.9	82.3	156.2	-8.4	33%
Last 10 (10)	74.4	81.4	155.8	-7.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	75.2	79.0	154.2	-3.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	74.3	82.2	156.5	-7.9	23%
vs Similar (16)	84.1	83.4	167.4	+0.7	44%
vs Weaker (1)	82.0	66.0	148.0	+16.0	100%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Illawarra HawksTownsville

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	22.8	44.4	-1.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.1	23.9	47.9	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	21.8	41.3	-2.3	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	24.6	49.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	25.4	47.0	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	20.3	21.7	42.0	-1.4	37%	-
vs Similar (5)	24.0	24.4	48.4	-0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	23.8	24.8	48.7	-1.0	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	22.0	41.8	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.5	22.5	44.0	-0.9	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.4	21.7	40.1	-3.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	24.5	42.2	-6.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	23.4	43.6	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.0	23.3	41.3	-5.3	31%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.1	21.4	42.6	-0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	15.0	35.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.6	41.4	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	21.6	44.0	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	19.7	39.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.1	23.4	48.5	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	22.6	47.6	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	18.5	19.5	37.9	-1.0	42%	-
vs Similar (5)	26.2	22.2	48.4	+4.0	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	23.7	22.7	46.3	+1.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.1	39.9	-0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.3	19.5	39.8	+0.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.4	20.5	39.9	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.0	38.9	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.0	35.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.9	18.7	37.6	+0.2	62%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.9	21.4	42.3	-0.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	14.0	16.0	30.0	-2.0	0%	-

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

45-53

-8

A11/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

59-40

+19

H14/10

NBL

Sydney

52-53

-1

A17/10

NBL

Perth

52-49

H25/10

NBL

Townsville

57-45

+12

A28/10

NBL

Perth

36-40

-4

A31/10

NBL

Cairns

42-48

-6

H06/11

NBL

Perth

59-51

H11/11

NBL

Adelaide

46-54

-8

A21/11

NBL

Sydney

50-47

H25/11

NBL

97.8Avg total

49.8Scored

48.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	43.3	85.8	-0.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.5	45.4	91.9	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.9	41.5	80.4	-2.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.8	48.0	97.8	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	48.0	94.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	38.8	41.2	79.9	-2.4	32%	-
vs Similar (5)	50.2	46.6	96.8	+3.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	47.5	47.5	95.0	+0.0	33%	-

This opponent (Townsville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

40-40

A17/10

NBL

Melbourne United

28-55

-27

A21/10

NBL

Perth

36-40

-4

A23/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

45-57

-12

H28/10

NBL

Sydney

33-41

-8

A30/10

NBL

Perth

44-47

-3

H04/11

NBL

Perth

31-34

-3

A06/11

NBL

Adelaide

40-48

-8

A14/11

NBL

Melbourne United

47-31

+16

A20/11

NBL

Melbourne United

32-42

-10

H26/11

NBL

81.1Avg total

37.6Scored

43.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	42.1	81.6	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.8	41.9	83.8	-0.1	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.8	42.2	80.0	-4.5	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	43.5	81.1	-5.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	40.4	79.2	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	36.9	42.0	78.9	-5.1	23%	-
vs Similar (16)	42.0	42.9	84.9	-0.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	34.0	31.0	65.0	+3.0	100%	-

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.2	38.3	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.7	19.1	40.9	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.9	19.2	36.1	-2.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	18.9	19.6	38.5	-0.6	42%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.2	19.6	37.8	-1.4	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	20.5	17.7	38.2	+2.8	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.3	38.4	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	18.4	38.5	+1.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	17.9	35.0	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	17.8	33.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	16.9	19.8	36.8	-2.9	31%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.7	19.1	39.8	+1.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	16.0	37.0	+5.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	22.7	42.5	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	24.4	46.0	-2.7	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	21.2	39.4	-3.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	23.5	43.4	-3.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	24.6	44.2	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	19.5	22.0	41.5	-2.5	37%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.4	26.6	45.0	-8.2	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	21.8	21.5	43.3	+0.3	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.5	41.6	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.8	20.2	42.1	+1.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.5	20.8	41.2	-0.3	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.0	39.7	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	20.5	20.4	40.8	+0.1	54%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.2	20.8	41.9	+0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	19.0	46.0	+8.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	41.9	80.8	-2.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.4	43.5	86.9	-0.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.1	40.4	75.5	-5.4	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	42.5	82.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	43.4	82.2	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	38.5	41.6	80.1	-3.1	37%	-
vs Similar (5)	36.6	46.2	82.8	-9.6	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	42.3	39.2	81.5	+3.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	39.8	80.0	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.0	38.6	80.6	+3.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.7	40.8	79.5	-2.1	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	37.9	74.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	38.6	75.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	37.4	40.2	77.6	-2.8	38%	-
vs Similar (16)	41.9	39.8	81.7	+2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	48.0	35.0	83.0	+13.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Illawarra Hawks wins

Townsville wins

Date	Game	Score
28/10/15	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	88-96
20/02/15	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	82-66
28/11/14	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	90-76
23/11/14	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	107-75
10/10/14	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	92-83
14/03/14	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	85-94
14/02/14	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	90-75
31/01/14	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	80-67
26/10/13	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	85-81
09/03/13	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	69-64

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/11/15	H	Sydney	96-90
21/11/15	A	Adelaide	77-89
11/11/15	H	Perth	96-99
06/11/15	H	Cairns	96-88
31/10/15	A	Perth	62-91
28/10/15	A	Townsville	96-88
25/10/15	H	Perth	99-106
17/10/15	A	Sydney	100-86
14/10/15	H	New Zealand Breakers	96-75
11/10/15	A	Melbourne United	81-93

Townsvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/11/15	H	Melbourne United	63-66
20/11/15	A	Melbourne United	82-78
14/11/15	A	Adelaide	65-89
06/11/15	A	Perth	77-85
04/11/15	H	Perth	89-77
30/10/15	A	Sydney	78-87
28/10/15	H	Illawarra Hawks	88-96
23/10/15	A	Perth	66-63
21/10/15	A	Melbourne United	62-93
17/10/15	A	Cairns	74-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	45%
Home	WLWLW	60%
Away	LWWLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	45%	60%	33%
Points / game	88.5	96.6	81.7
Allowed / game	89.5	91.6	87.7
Point differential	-1.0	+5.0	-6.0
Avg total	177.9	188.2	169.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	20%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Townsville

NBL 2015-16

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	31%
Home	LLWL	25%
Away	WLLLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	4	9
Win %	31%	25%	33%
Points / game	76.1	81.0	73.9
Allowed / game	83.0	84.5	82.3
Point differential	-6.9	-3.5	-8.4
Avg total	159.1	165.5	156.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	0% (1)	100% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Melbourne United	13	10	3	77%	84.9	78.8	+6.2
2	Perth	13	9	4	69%	85.2	81.2	+3.9
3	New Zealand Breakers	12	7	5	58%	83.1	80.2	+2.8
4	Adelaide	13	7	6	54%	87.4	86.0	+1.4
5	Illawarra Hawks	11	5	6	45%	88.5	89.5	-1.0
6	Cairns	11	4	7	36%	81.4	86.2	-4.8
7	Townsville	13	4	9	31%	76.1	83.0	-6.9
8	Sydney	12	3	9	25%	85.2	87.7	-2.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Illawarra Hawks	34	27	20	27	108
Townsville	14	16	20	20	70

← all games of the day

Illawarra Hawks vs Townsville Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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