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Townsville vs Perth Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Nov 2015
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 89-77
16-26 28-21 20-12 25-18
Position#7
Record2-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Position#1
Record4-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game74.7
AustraliaNBL
Other2015-16
Meetings · Townsville v Perth
19 Dec 2015
TOWN75
PERT58
04 Nov 2015
TOWN89
PERT77
23 Jan 2015
TOWN85
PERT93
02 Nov 2014
TOWN102
PERT80
07 Feb 2014
TOWN88
PERT75
12 Jan 2014
TOWN97
PERT103
24 Nov 2012
TOWN63
PERT68
14 Oct 2012
TOWN58
PERT82
31 Dec 2011
TOWN76
PERT97
22 Oct 2011
TOWN85
PERT93
18 Mar 2011
TOWN72
PERT71
05 Nov 2010
TOWN86
PERT101
31 Dec 2009
TOWN83
PERT74
02 Oct 2009
TOWN89
PERT91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Townsville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TownsvilleAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
82-66
82
66
+16
H20/02
NBL
Perth
#4
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A22/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
84-99
84
99
-15
H09/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#4
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A11/10
NBL
Sydney
#8
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A15/10
NBL
Cairns
#6
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A17/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
62-93
62
93
-31
A21/10
NBL
Perth
#1
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A23/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#3
L
88-96
88
96
-8
H28/10
NBL
Sydney
#8
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A30/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
14-16
21-16
27-19
14-20
19-15
20-21
18-25
19-28
23-15
21-29
21-27
17-29
21-19
16-18
27-23
18-28
20-14
19-16
23-19
21-19
19-21
21-18
13-22
13-25
15-30
17-24
17-14
11-28
25-12
12-10
18-13
17-30
28-27
22-18
21-21
14-26
19-15
20-20
25-26
159.7Avg total
76.6Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.685.5162.1-8.925%
Season at home (2)86.097.5183.5-11.50%
Season away (6)73.581.5155.0-8.033%
Last 10 (10)76.683.1159.7-6.530%
Last 5 (5)73.683.8157.4-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)74.785.0159.7-10.311%
vs Similar (18)83.584.1167.6-0.639%
vs Weaker (3)88.377.0165.3+11.367%
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
L
94-101
94
101
-7
A20/02
NBL
Townsville
#6
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H22/02
NBL
Cairns
#1
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A27/02
NBL
Cairns
#1
L
68-80
68
80
-12
H01/03
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
79-66
79
66
+13
A10/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#4
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H16/10
NBL
Townsville
#7
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H23/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#3
W
106-99
106
99
+7
A25/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A29/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#3
W
91-62
91
62
+29
H31/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
31-29
16-22
27-31
20-14
15-19
21-20
25-18
18-15
12-28
18-2
16-26
11-14
15-22
18-16
24-28
26-28
13-15
14-10
26-13
18-18
18-22
27-18
20-22
28-11
12-25
10-12
13-18
26-28
23-24
28-30
29-17
19-25
25-17
15-23
14-10
22-12
18-24
25-8
26-18
157.3Avg total
80.2Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.574.7157.2+7.867%
Season at home (3)79.069.3148.3+9.767%
Season away (3)86.080.0166.0+6.067%
Last 10 (10)80.277.1157.3+3.150%
Last 5 (5)83.276.4159.6+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (22)82.581.8164.2+0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)77.468.0145.4+9.462%
This opponent (Townsville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.4-8.4Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.9+1.9
TownsvillePerth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H20/02
NBL
Perth
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A22/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H09/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A11/10
NBL
Sydney
#8
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A15/10
NBL
Cairns
#6
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A17/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
28-55
28
55
-27
A21/10
NBL
Perth
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A23/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#3
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H28/10
NBL
Sydney
#8
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A30/10
NBL
79.9Avg total
36.7Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.242.682.8-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.241.684.8+1.562%-
Last 30 away (17)37.943.481.4-5.518%-
Last 10 (10)36.743.279.9-6.510%-
Last 5 (5)36.446.683.0-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.143.180.2-6.033%-
vs Similar (18)41.743.184.8-1.433%-
vs Weaker (3)40.738.379.0+2.367%-
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A20/02
NBL
Townsville
#6
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H22/02
NBL
Cairns
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A27/02
NBL
Cairns
#1
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H01/03
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A10/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#4
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H16/10
NBL
Townsville
#7
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H23/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#3
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A25/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A29/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H31/10
NBL
79.9Avg total
39.0Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.180.3+0.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.536.676.1+2.971%-
Last 30 away (16)40.843.183.9-2.344%-
Last 10 (10)39.040.979.9-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.283.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (22)40.040.380.4-0.355%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.639.580.1+1.162%-
This opponent (Townsville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Townsville wins
7
Perth wins
DateGameScore
23/10/15Perth v Townsville63-66
22/02/15Perth v Townsville81-71
23/01/15Townsville v Perth85-93 OT
14/11/14Perth v Townsville93-78
02/11/14Townsville v Perth102-80
07/03/14Perth v Townsville81-69
07/02/14Townsville v Perth88-75
12/01/14Townsville v Perth97-103
10/01/14Perth v Townsville102-87
15/02/13Perth v Townsville80-52
Townsvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/15ASydney78-87
28/10/15HIllawarra Hawks88-96
23/10/15APerth66-63
21/10/15AMelbourne United62-93
17/10/15ACairns74-80
15/10/15ASydney80-77
11/10/15ANew Zealand Breakers81-89
09/10/15HMelbourne United84-99
22/02/15APerth71-81
20/02/15HIllawarra Hawks82-66
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/15HIllawarra Hawks91-62
29/10/15AMelbourne United73-75
25/10/15AIllawarra Hawks106-99
23/10/15HTownsville63-66
16/10/15HNew Zealand Breakers83-80
10/10/15AAdelaide79-66
01/03/15HCairns68-80
27/02/15ACairns64-71
22/02/15HTownsville81-71
20/02/15AAdelaide94-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Townsville
NBL 2015-16
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %25%0%33%
Points / game76.686.073.5
Allowed / game85.597.581.5
Point differential-8.9-11.5-8.0
Avg total162.1183.5155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Perth
NBL 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game82.579.086.0
Allowed / game74.769.380.0
Point differential+7.8+9.7+6.0
Avg total157.2148.3166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United770100%89.976.7+13.1
2 Perth64267%82.574.7+7.8
3 Adelaide63350%85.282.8+2.3
4 New Zealand Breakers63350%79.879.8+0.0
5 Illawarra Hawks73443%86.988.3-1.4
6 Cairns73443%78.986.1-7.3
7 Sydney72529%80.183.1-3.0
8 Townsville82625%76.685.5-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Townsville1628202589
Perth2621121877
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