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Townsville W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2012
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 61-64
11-23 19-15 16-13 15-13
Position#4
Record12-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game70.2
vs
Position#1
Record15-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game66.6
AustraliaNBL WRound 15
Women2011-12
Meetings · Townsville W v Adelaide Lightning W
15 Nov 2025
TOWN103
ADEL69
23 Nov 2024
TOWN53
ADEL47
20 Jan 2024
TOWN75
ADEL90
29 Nov 2023
TOWN67
ADEL61
20 Jan 2023
TOWN92
ADEL63
11 Nov 2022
TOWN84
ADEL79
28 Jan 2022
TOWN65
ADEL73
11 Dec 2020
TOWN95
ADEL66
03 Jan 2020
TOWN61
ADEL87
18 Oct 2019
TOWN68
ADEL86
07 Dec 2018
TOWN70
ADEL85
07 Dec 2017
TOWN64
ADEL79
05 Nov 2017
TOWN84
ADEL42
16 Oct 2016
TOWN85
ADEL56
24 Oct 2015
TOWN104
ADEL41
31 Oct 2014
TOWN86
ADEL60
02 Feb 2014
TOWN78
ADEL65
04 Jan 2013
TOWN73
ADEL70
21 Oct 2012
TOWN65
ADEL80
28 Jan 2012
TOWN61
ADEL64
23 Jan 2011
TOWN79
ADEL53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Townsville W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide Lightning W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Townsville WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIS W
#10
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A25/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
71-56
71
56
+15
H27/11
NBL W
Logan W
#7
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H02/12
NBL W
Dandenong W
#2
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H10/12
NBL W
Logan W
#7
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A16/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A17/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
75-92
75
92
-17
A06/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#1
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A07/01
NBL W
AIS W
#10
W
82-60
82
60
+22
H13/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H20/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
25-18
15-23
10-13
20-15
23-14
19-19
9-8
17-4
22-19
20-21
10-16
18-20
18-18
18-19
10-16
17-11
30-10
8-26
14-14
14-26
25-19
26-17
20-17
18-21
16-30
24-21
17-20
11-21
21-19
13-13
23-27
22-12
18-12
21-19
21-17
17-14
13-18
16-10
24-15
140.6Avg total
72.0Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.370.2145.5+5.163%
Season at home (8)72.665.0137.6+7.675%
Season away (11)77.374.0151.3+3.355%
Last 10 (10)72.068.6140.6+3.460%
Last 5 (5)76.073.6149.6+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)64.076.4140.4-12.427%
vs Similar (12)75.870.4146.2+5.475%
vs Weaker (7)78.762.7141.4+16.086%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#3
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H20/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A25/11
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#8
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H04/12
NBL W
Logan W
#7
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H10/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
78-57
78
57
+21
A17/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#4
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H07/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
84-51
84
51
+33
A13/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H20/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#2
L
61-81
61
81
-20
A21/01
NBL W
Logan W
#7
W
63-52
63
52
+11
A27/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-31
20-10
23-18
30-18
23-24
20-17
17-16
17-17
24-31
19-19
23-17
18-8
19-20
20-15
27-20
20-12
22-19
21-9
17-18
18-11
21-11
19-21
13-13
27-23
20-12
25-18
25-6
14-15
25-18
24-18
6-9
15-9
14-22
11-16
18-25
18-18
8-13
19-14
15-16
21-9
142.6Avg total
77.0Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.366.6144.9+11.883%
Season at home (9)82.767.1149.8+15.689%
Season away (9)74.066.0140.0+8.078%
Last 10 (10)77.065.6142.6+11.490%
Last 5 (5)71.661.2132.8+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)69.885.7155.5-15.90%
vs Similar (7)76.977.1154.0-0.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)82.263.2145.3+19.092%
This opponent (Townsville W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +5.8+5.8
Townsville WAdelaide Lightning W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Townsville WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIS W
#10
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A25/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H27/11
NBL W
Logan W
#7
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H02/12
NBL W
Dandenong W
#2
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H10/12
NBL W
Logan W
#7
W
47-21
47
21
+26
A16/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A17/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A06/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A07/01
NBL W
AIS W
#10
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H13/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H20/01
NBL W
71.7Avg total
38.2Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.535.573.0+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.333.070.3+4.369%-
Last 30 away (17)37.737.475.1+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)38.233.571.7+4.750%-
Last 5 (5)35.038.473.4-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)33.138.571.5-5.436%-
vs Similar (12)39.234.974.1+4.258%-
vs Weaker (7)41.731.973.6+9.986%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H20/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A25/11
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#8
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H04/12
NBL W
Logan W
#7
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H10/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A17/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#4
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H07/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A13/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H20/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#2
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A21/01
NBL W
Logan W
#7
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A27/01
NBL W
74.6Avg total
38.8Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.838.277.1+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.437.679.0+3.757%-
Last 30 away (16)36.638.875.4-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)38.835.874.6+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.232.669.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.143.478.5-8.310%-
vs Similar (7)38.938.177.0+0.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.734.376.0+7.469%-
This opponent (Townsville W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Townsville W wins
2
Adelaide Lightning W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/12HSydney W70-57
13/01/12HAIS W82-60
07/01/12AAdelaide Lightning W68-80
06/01/12AGeelong United W75-92
17/12/11ASydney W85-79
16/12/11ALogan W69-61
10/12/11HDandenong W64-73
02/12/11HLogan W69-60
27/11/11HPerth Lynx W71-56
25/11/11AAIS W67-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/12ALogan W63-52
21/01/12ADandenong W61-81
20/01/12HBendigo W70-54
13/01/12APerth Lynx W84-51
07/01/12HTownsville W80-68
17/12/11APerth Lynx W78-57
10/12/11HLogan W86-67
04/12/11HCanberra C. Acad. W84-75
25/11/11ASydney W77-74
20/11/11HGeelong United W87-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Townsville W
NBL W 2011-12
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW63%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayLWWLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %63%75%55%
Points / game75.372.677.3
Allowed / game70.265.074.0
Point differential+5.1+7.6+3.3
Avg total145.5137.6151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2011-12
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWWLW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %83%89%78%
Points / game78.382.774.0
Allowed / game66.667.166.0
Point differential+11.8+15.6+8.0
Avg total144.9149.8140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide Lightning W1815383%78.366.6+11.8
2 Geelong United W1712571%84.675.9+8.8
3 Townsville W1912763%75.370.2+5.1
4 Logan W1710759%71.569.1+2.4
5 Bendigo W1911858%74.666.0+8.6
6 Sydney W1911858%75.471.2+4.2
7 Dandenong W1810856%78.374.0+4.3
8 Canberra C. Acad. W1971237%73.372.9+0.4
9 Perth Lynx W1821611%64.383.1-18.8
10 AIS W181176%56.383.4-27.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Townsville W1119161561
Adelaide Lightning W2315131364
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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