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Townsville W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 65-73 (OT)
8-14 13-10 16-20 22-15 6-14
Position#6
Record4-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game68.3
Townsville W
Australia
vs
Adelaide Lightning W 🏆
Australia
Position#4
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game64.6
AustraliaNBL W
Women2021-22
Meetings · Townsville W v Adelaide Lightning W
15 Nov 2025
TOWN103
ADEL69
23 Nov 2024
TOWN53
ADEL47
20 Jan 2024
TOWN75
ADEL90
29 Nov 2023
TOWN67
ADEL61
20 Jan 2023
TOWN92
ADEL63
11 Nov 2022
TOWN84
ADEL79
28 Jan 2022
TOWN65
ADEL73
11 Dec 2020
TOWN95
ADEL66
03 Jan 2020
TOWN61
ADEL87
18 Oct 2019
TOWN68
ADEL86
07 Dec 2018
TOWN70
ADEL85
07 Dec 2017
TOWN64
ADEL79
05 Nov 2017
TOWN84
ADEL42
16 Oct 2016
TOWN85
ADEL56
24 Oct 2015
TOWN104
ADEL41
31 Oct 2014
TOWN86
ADEL60
02 Feb 2014
TOWN78
ADEL65
04 Jan 2013
TOWN73
ADEL70
21 Oct 2012
TOWN65
ADEL80
28 Jan 2012
TOWN61
ADEL64
23 Jan 2011
TOWN79
ADEL53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Townsville W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide Lightning W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Townsville WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#2
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H13/12
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
93-106
93
106
-13
A16/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H18/12
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
82-99
82
99
-17
A20/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#4
W
70-59
70
59
+11
A11/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H18/12
NBL W
Southside W
#7
L
81-86
81
86
-5
A23/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#3
L
52-76
52
76
-24
H31/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A21/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#1
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A22/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-16
31-17
17-16
13-15
25-41
27-19
22-26
19-20
22-17
11-12
21-18
11-15
22-22
24-26
15-23
21-28
16-13
16-14
21-11
17-21
12-18
21-7
18-15
24-16
32-20
22-21
14-19
13-26
13-25
14-17
4-18
21-16
18-20
26-16
18-18
15-13
9-25
26-25
17-12
16-4
147.4Avg total
73.3Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)70.568.3138.8+2.267%
Season at home (2)63.566.0129.5-2.550%
Season away (4)74.069.5143.5+4.575%
Last 10 (10)73.374.1147.4-0.860%
Last 5 (5)70.670.2140.8+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)73.380.6153.9-7.340%
vs Similar (7)77.078.0155.0-1.043%
vs Weaker (8)82.865.4148.1+17.488%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#7
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H06/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
L
55-76
55
76
-21
H08/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H09/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#4
L
66-95
66
95
-29
A11/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
60-86
60
86
-26
A13/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#6
L
59-70
59
70
-11
H11/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#3
W
88-62
88
62
+26
A19/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#1
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H30/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
88-86
88
86
+2
H02/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
77-52
77
52
+25
A20/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
13-26
28-22
9-13
14-31
17-13
12-12
12-20
12-23
21-11
26-13
10-12
11-28
11-19
25-25
19-23
13-16
15-23
18-18
14-29
13-16
14-16
11-21
21-17
21-17
25-17
13-8
29-20
20-8
14-21
13-21
18-3
19-25
24-23
21-21
24-17
19-11
13-6
24-16
21-19
142.4Avg total
70.5Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.464.6140.0+10.880%
Season at home (3)70.769.7140.3+1.067%
Season away (2)82.557.0139.5+25.5100%
Last 10 (10)70.571.9142.4-1.450%
Last 5 (5)75.464.6140.0+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)68.281.5149.7-13.231%
vs Similar (9)78.475.1153.6+3.344%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)76.666.4143.0+10.288%
This opponent (Townsville W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
Townsville WAdelaide Lightning W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Townsville WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#2
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H13/12
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
52-60
52
60
-8
A16/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H18/12
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A20/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#4
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A11/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H18/12
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A23/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#3
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H31/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A21/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#1
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A22/01
NBL W
78.7Avg total
39.6Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.778.1+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.636.474.1+1.257%-
Last 30 away (16)40.940.681.6+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)39.639.178.7+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.877.4-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.242.080.2-3.840%-
vs Similar (7)40.037.077.0+3.071%-
vs Weaker (8)41.133.975.0+7.262%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#7
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H06/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H08/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H09/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#4
L
22-47
22
47
-25
A11/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A13/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#6
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H11/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#3
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A19/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#1
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H30/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H02/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
32-17
32
17
+15
A20/01
NBL W
70.6Avg total
33.7Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.240.076.2-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.939.977.8-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)34.540.174.6-5.533%-
Last 10 (10)33.736.970.6-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)36.432.068.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.643.275.8-10.623%-
vs Similar (9)39.941.080.9-1.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)38.033.571.5+4.562%-
This opponent (Townsville W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Townsville W wins
5
Adelaide Lightning W wins
DateGameScore
11/12/21Adelaide Lightning W v Townsville W59-70
11/12/20Townsville W v Adelaide Lightning W95-66
17/01/20Adelaide Lightning W v Townsville W77-60
03/01/20Townsville W v Adelaide Lightning W61-87
18/10/19Townsville W v Adelaide Lightning W68-86
07/12/18Townsville W v Adelaide Lightning W70-85
16/11/18Adelaide Lightning W v Townsville W77-79
19/10/18Adelaide Lightning W v Townsville W65-75
07/12/17Townsville W v Adelaide Lightning W64-79
18/11/17Adelaide Lightning W v Townsville W78-101
Townsville Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/22AGeelong United W68-66
21/01/22ABendigo W77-67
31/12/21HCanberra Capitals W52-76
23/12/21ASouthside W81-86
18/12/21HSydney W75-56
11/12/21AAdelaide Lightning W70-59
20/12/20ASouthside W82-99
18/12/20HGeelong United W65-62
16/12/20ASouthside W93-106
13/12/20HGeelong United W70-64
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/22ASydney W77-52
02/01/22HPerth Lynx W88-86
30/12/21HGeelong United W65-53
19/12/21ACanberra Capitals W88-62
11/12/21HTownsville W59-70
13/12/20ASydney W60-86
11/12/20ATownsville W66-95
09/12/20HBendigo W69-59
08/12/20HGeelong United W55-76
06/12/20HPerth Lynx W78-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Townsville W
NBL W 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%50%75%
Points / game70.563.574.0
Allowed / game68.366.069.5
Point differential+2.2-2.5+4.5
Avg total138.8129.5143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game75.470.782.5
Allowed / game64.669.757.0
Point differential+10.8+1.0+25.5
Avg total140.0140.3139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide Lightning W54180%75.464.6+10.8
2 Perth Lynx W75271%86.778.3+8.4
3 Geelong United W96367%74.969.1+5.8
4 Townsville W64267%70.568.3+2.2
5 Canberra Capitals W85362%77.273.4+3.9
6 Southside W72529%79.083.6-4.6
7 Sydney W71614%65.476.7-11.3
8 Bendigo W71614%69.983.9-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Townsville W8131622665
Adelaide Lightning W141020151473
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