Townsville W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Dec 2018

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 70-85

18-24 20-17 16-25 16-19

Position#5

Record5-6

FormWLWWL

Points / game77.6

Allowed / game75.5

Townsville W

Adelaide Lightning W 🏆

Position#3

Record6-6

FormLLWWW

Points / game78.2

Allowed / game74.6

NBL W

Women2018-19

Meetings · Townsville W v Adelaide Lightning W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Townsville W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Adelaide Lightning W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Townsville W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide Lightning W

75-65

+10

A19/10

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

88-98

-10

A21/10

NBL W

Sydney W

79-76

H27/10

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

71-79 OT

-8

H03/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

70-78

-8

H11/11

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

79-77

A16/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

75-79

-4

A18/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

89-82 OT

A24/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

93-51

+42

H29/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

67-73

-6

A01/12

NBL W

19-12

19-25

14-14

23-14

28-28

20-30

19-22

21-18

18-21

20-16

18-17

23-22

12-30

18-17

20-11

16-8

20-19

21-21

18-16

11-22

18-26

19-21

22-12

20-18

20-24

14-23

17-16

24-16

19-20

18-16

20-20

22-13

23-11

21-19

27-8

15-18

17-26

16-17

19-12

154.4Avg total

78.6Scored

75.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	77.6	75.5	153.2	+2.1	45%
Season at home (5)	76.2	71.4	147.6	+4.8	40%
Season away (6)	78.8	79.0	157.8	-0.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	78.6	75.8	154.4	+2.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	72.4	153.0	+8.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	73.2	74.4	147.6	-1.2	40%
vs Similar (2)	79.5	88.5	168.0	-9.0	0%
vs Weaker (23)	81.7	68.0	149.7	+13.6	74%

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide Lightning W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Canberra Capitals W

75-79

-4

A21/10

NBL W

Bendigo W

91-63

+28

H28/10

NBL W

Bendigo W

52-70

-18

A03/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

99-74

+25

H10/11

NBL W

Townsville W

77-79

-2

H16/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

60-70

-10

A24/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

82-84

-2

A25/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

86-80

A30/11

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

91-83

H02/12

NBL W

Sydney W

82-72

+10

A05/12

NBL W

18-15

20-19

20-21

17-24

21-17

14-17

29-14

27-15

10-17

20-28

17-12

5-13

27-16

29-21

19-16

24-21

26-18

21-19

12-22

18-20

15-20

9-17

18-13

16-22

23-22

23-19

20-21

25-31

30-23

18-14

13-12

20-17

20-24

21-15

30-27

23-15

15-15

24-18

20-24

154.9Avg total

79.5Scored

75.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	78.2	74.6	152.8	+3.6	50%
Season at home (5)	84.6	74.8	159.4	+9.8	60%
Season away (7)	73.6	74.4	148.0	-0.9	43%
Last 10 (10)	79.5	75.4	154.9	+4.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	77.8	158.0	+2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	74.8	81.2	156.0	-6.3	33%
vs Similar (4)	75.5	69.8	145.2	+5.8	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	78.7	73.5	152.2	+5.2	64%

This opponent (Townsville W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Townsville WAdelaide Lightning W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.5	41.1	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	18.9	41.5	+3.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	20.0	40.7	+0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.1	40.2	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	18.4	19.8	38.2	-1.4	40%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.0	29.0	49.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (23)	22.5	18.6	41.0	+3.9	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.1	40.3	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.1	19.1	40.2	+2.0	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.6	20.8	40.5	-1.2	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.8	39.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.0	41.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	20.1	21.0	41.1	-0.9	58%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.0	18.2	36.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.3	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	17.5	37.4	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	14.5	35.1	+6.0	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	20.5	39.7	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.2	38.6	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	18.0	23.2	41.2	-5.2	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.0	23.5	42.5	-4.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (23)	20.3	15.7	36.1	+4.6	78%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.2	37.4	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	17.5	37.1	+2.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.1	18.6	37.7	+0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.8	41.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.6	18.6	36.2	-1.0	42%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.5	14.5	33.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.9	18.9	39.8	+2.1	64%	-

Townsville WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide Lightning W

38-37

A19/10

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

48-58

-10

A21/10

NBL W

Sydney W

38-37

H27/10

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

30-47

-17

H03/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

41-40

H11/11

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

37-47

-10

A16/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

34-47

-13

A18/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

38-40

-2

A24/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

45-24

+21

H29/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

32-44

-12

A01/12

NBL W

80.2Avg total

38.1Scored

42.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	37.0	78.5	+4.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.1	33.5	76.6	+9.7	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	40.5	80.3	-0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	42.1	80.2	-4.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	40.4	77.6	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	36.4	43.0	79.4	-6.6	40%	-
vs Similar (2)	39.0	52.5	91.5	-13.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (23)	42.8	34.3	77.1	+8.5	78%	-

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Canberra Capitals W

38-34

A21/10

NBL W

Bendigo W

35-34

H28/10

NBL W

Bendigo W

30-45

-15

A03/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

56-37

+19

H10/11

NBL W

Townsville W

47-37

+10

H16/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

33-40

-7

A24/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

39-44

-5

A25/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

55-54

A30/11

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

40-41

-1

H02/12

NBL W

Sydney W

38-30

A05/12

NBL W

80.7Avg total

41.1Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	38.2	77.8	+1.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.6	36.6	77.2	+4.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.7	39.5	78.2	-0.8	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	39.6	80.7	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	41.8	82.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	37.7	39.6	77.2	-1.9	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	36.5	32.8	69.2	+3.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	42.0	38.6	80.6	+3.4	71%	-

This opponent (Townsville W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	16.0	34.5	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	15.2	33.7	+3.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	16.9	35.3	+1.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	16.0	34.3	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	16.0	34.8	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.4	15.0	32.4	+2.4	60%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.5	16.5	36.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (23)	18.7	16.2	34.9	+2.4	65%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.3	36.1	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.5	18.2	36.7	+0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.0	16.6	35.6	+2.4	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	16.8	36.0	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	16.6	35.6	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.8	19.2	37.1	-1.4	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.5	17.2	37.8	+3.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.1	15.6	34.8	+3.5	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	16.8	36.3	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	14.3	32.2	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	19.4	40.5	+1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	15.8	36.2	+4.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	14.8	36.8	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	19.4	16.4	35.8	+3.0	80%	-
vs Similar (2)	18.5	13.0	31.5	+5.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (23)	19.6	17.3	36.9	+2.3	52%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	19.8	37.6	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.3	20.9	40.2	-1.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	16.7	18.9	35.6	-2.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.8	21.2	40.1	-2.4	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.8	18.5	36.2	-0.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	17.0	18.9	35.9	-1.9	36%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	32.9	70.9	+5.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.5	29.5	65.9	+7.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.5	36.3	75.8	+3.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	31.8	70.5	+6.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	30.8	71.6	+10.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	36.8	31.4	68.2	+5.4	80%	-
vs Similar (2)	38.0	29.5	67.5	+8.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (23)	38.3	33.5	71.7	+4.8	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	37.1	73.7	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.8	39.1	76.9	-1.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	35.7	35.6	71.3	+0.1	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	35.8	74.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	36.0	75.2	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	36.7	40.5	77.2	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	38.2	35.8	74.0	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	36.1	34.6	70.7	+1.6	57%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Townsville W wins

Adelaide Lightning W wins

Date	Game	Score
16/11/18	Adelaide Lightning W v Townsville W	77-79
19/10/18	Adelaide Lightning W v Townsville W	65-75
07/12/17	Townsville W v Adelaide Lightning W	64-79
18/11/17	Adelaide Lightning W v Townsville W	78-101
05/11/17	Townsville W v Adelaide Lightning W	84-42
16/12/16	Adelaide Lightning W v Townsville W	68-74
03/12/16	Adelaide Lightning W v Townsville W	54-72
16/10/16	Townsville W v Adelaide Lightning W	85-56
20/02/16	Adelaide Lightning W v Townsville W	57-64
02/01/16	Adelaide Lightning W v Townsville W	60-88

Townsville Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/12/18	A	Geelong United W	67-73
29/11/18	H	Bendigo W	93-51
24/11/18	A	Bendigo W	89-82 OT
18/11/18	A	Geelong United W	75-79
16/11/18	A	Adelaide Lightning W	79-77
11/11/18	H	Geelong United W	70-78
03/11/18	H	Perth Lynx W	71-79 OT
27/10/18	H	Sydney W	79-76
21/10/18	A	Perth Lynx W	88-98
19/10/18	A	Adelaide Lightning W	75-65

Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/12/18	A	Sydney W	82-72
02/12/18	H	Canberra Capitals W	91-83
30/11/18	A	Dandenong W	86-80
25/11/18	A	Geelong United W	82-84
24/11/18	A	Dandenong W	60-70
16/11/18	H	Townsville W	77-79
10/11/18	H	Dandenong W	99-74
03/11/18	A	Bendigo W	52-70
28/10/18	H	Bendigo W	91-63
21/10/18	A	Canberra Capitals W	75-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Townsville W

NBL W 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	45%
Home	LWLLW	40%
Away	LWLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	45%	40%	50%
Points / game	77.6	76.2	78.8
Allowed / game	75.5	71.4	79.0
Point differential	+2.1	+4.8	-0.2
Avg total	153.2	147.6	157.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	20%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	50% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	18%	20%	17%

Adelaide Lightning W

NBL W 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	50%
Home	LWWLW	60%
Away	LLLWW	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	5	7
Win %	50%	60%	43%
Points / game	78.2	84.6	73.6
Allowed / game	74.6	74.8	74.4
Point differential	+3.6	+9.8	-0.9
Avg total	152.8	159.4	148.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	40%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth Lynx W	10	8	2	80%	82.9	74.1	+8.8
2	Geelong United W	13	9	4	69%	79.7	73.5	+6.2
3	Canberra Capitals W	10	6	4	60%	79.1	76.6	+2.5
4	Adelaide Lightning W	12	6	6	50%	78.2	74.6	+3.6
5	Bendigo W	12	6	6	50%	69.1	73.5	-4.4
6	Townsville W	11	5	6	45%	77.6	75.5	+2.1
7	Dandenong W	10	4	6	40%	71.4	79.5	-8.1
8	Sydney W	12	1	11	8%	71.2	81.6	-10.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Townsville W	18	20	16	16	70
Adelaide Lightning W	24	17	25	19	85

← all games of the day

Townsville W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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