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Townsville W vs Sydney W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 79-74
10-21 24-16 22-17 23-20
Position#1
Record10-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game70.6
Townsville W 🏆
Australia
vs
Sydney W
Australia
Position#8
Record3-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game86.2
AustraliaNBL WRound 10· Townsville Entertainment Centre
Women2025-26
Meetings · Townsville W v Sydney W
23 Dec 2025
TOWN79
SYDN74
06 Dec 2025
TOWN93
SYDN60
22 Jan 2025
TOWN89
SYDN75
18 Dec 2024
TOWN98
SYDN73
25 Feb 2024
TOWN90
SYDN78
26 Feb 2023
TOWN73
SYDN72
12 Feb 2022
TOWN84
SYDN63
18 Dec 2021
TOWN75
SYDN56
17 Nov 2020
TOWN81
SYDN78
15 Dec 2019
TOWN61
SYDN57
19 Jan 2019
TOWN90
SYDN82
27 Oct 2018
TOWN79
SYDN76
04 Jan 2018
TOWN78
SYDN49
19 Oct 2017
TOWN63
SYDN66
03 Mar 2017
TOWN61
SYDN76
28 Jan 2017
TOWN75
SYDN76
05 Nov 2016
TOWN85
SYDN83
29 Jan 2016
TOWN89
SYDN80
08 Nov 2015
TOWN70
SYDN73
25 Jan 2015
TOWN93
SYDN60
08 Jan 2014
TOWN81
SYDN68
02 Nov 2013
TOWN76
SYDN66
23 Nov 2012
TOWN89
SYDN81
22 Feb 2012
TOWN85
SYDN78
20 Jan 2012
TOWN70
SYDN57
12 Nov 2011
TOWN77
SYDN84
08 Oct 2010
TOWN69
SYDN75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Townsville W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Townsville WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Southside W
#4
L
83-89
83
89
-6
74avg 82
A31/10
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
79-70
79
70
+9
73avg 82
A04/11
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
86-61
86
61
+25
no box
A07/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
103-69
103
69
+34
107avg 82
H15/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
101-61
101
61
+40
102avg 82
H22/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
90-64
90
64
+26
88avg 82
A25/11
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
84-63
84
63
+21
78avg 82
H29/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
93-60
93
60
+33
89avg 82
H06/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
81-97
81
97
-16
68avg 82
H14/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
99-77
99
77
+22
87avg 82
A20/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
24-17
14-21
31-32
26-17
18-26
18-7
17-20
25-15
20-12
17-24
24-10
26-22
21-21
31-15
25-11
26-18
31-13
23-13
21-17
26-19
21-17
22-9
21-19
23-18
16-16
18-15
27-14
31-15
26-13
23-17
13-15
26-25
23-24
19-25
13-23
24-25
31-22
24-13
20-17
161.0Avg total
89.9Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)89.870.6160.4+19.283%
Season at home (5)92.470.0162.4+22.480%
Season away (7)88.071.0159.0+17.086%
Last 10 (10)89.971.1161.0+18.880%
Last 5 (5)89.472.2161.6+17.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)78.279.1157.3-0.933%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.567.3156.8+22.195%
This opponent (Sydney W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sydney WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#3
L
75-88
75
88
-13
53avg 65
A02/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
73-64
73
64
+9
60avg 65
H06/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
71-88
71
88
-17
55avg 65
A09/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
L
56-96
56
96
-40
44avg 65
A15/11
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
76-93
76
93
-17
62avg 65
A22/11
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
94avg 65
H26/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
64-80
64
80
-16
58avg 65
H28/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
60-93
60
93
-33
49avg 65
A06/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
75-94
75
94
-19
65avg 65
H14/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
77-99
77
99
-22
58avg 65
H20/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
18-17
21-30
18-18
17-14
14-12
21-12
21-26
14-24
19-22
10-28
28-14
10-34
16-21
9-25
21-16
21-28
20-23
16-19
19-23
15-19
24-24
22-19
20-19
13-26
19-16
24-13
8-25
15-31
13-26
17-23
15-13
20-13
16-30
17-27
22-24
25-24
22-31
13-24
17-20
161.3Avg total
72.4Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.286.2159.4-12.923%
Season at home (6)77.085.3162.3-8.333%
Season away (7)70.086.9156.9-16.914%
Last 10 (10)72.488.9161.3-16.520%
Last 5 (5)74.692.0166.6-17.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)73.287.1160.3-13.817%
vs Similar (10)77.682.1159.7-4.550%
vs Weaker (2)75.582.0157.5-6.550%
This opponent (Townsville W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: -6.8-6.8Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: -6.8-6.8Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
Townsville WSydney W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Townsville WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southside W
#4
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A31/10
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A04/11
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A07/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H15/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H22/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A25/11
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H29/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
57-28
57
28
+29
H06/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H14/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A20/12
NBL W
85.2Avg total
47.8Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.335.781.0+9.787%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.835.180.9+10.781%-
Last 30 away (14)44.836.381.1+8.593%-
Last 10 (10)47.837.485.2+10.490%-
Last 5 (5)49.438.888.2+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)40.639.480.0+1.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)47.434.081.4+13.395%-
This opponent (Sydney W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sydney WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A02/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H06/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A09/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
L
26-55
26
55
-29
A15/11
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A22/11
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H26/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H28/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
28-57
28
57
-29
A06/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H14/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H20/12
NBL W
80.7Avg total
34.9Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.844.583.3-5.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.743.183.8-2.333%-
Last 30 away (15)36.945.982.8-9.127%-
Last 10 (10)34.945.880.7-10.910%-
Last 5 (5)36.448.084.4-11.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.047.985.9-9.917%-
vs Similar (10)38.739.578.2-0.850%-
vs Weaker (2)46.539.085.5+7.550%-
This opponent (Townsville W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Townsville Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Townsville W: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.621.1
50.7%
47.8%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.7
38.8%
32.8%29.1
🏀 Free throws22.116.4
74.2%
73.3%16.4
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydney Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney W: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.316.6
38.3%
47.8%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.3
31.7%
32.8%24.9
🏀 Free throws16.512.5
75.8%
73.3%12.5
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Townsville W
WLWWWWWWWL
Sydney W
LLLLWLLLWL
#1
League position
#8
+20.5
Net rating
-19.4
113.6
Offensive rating
89.4
93.1
Defensive rating
108.8
53.5%
Effective FG%
41.8%
45.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
18.2%
Turnover %
23.0%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
35.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.24
38.8%
3-point %
31.7%
64.3%
Assist %
67.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 89.4Defence93.1 · 108.8Shooting53.5% · 41.8%3-point %38.8% · 31.7%Ball care18.2% · 23.0%Off. rebounds34.9% · 35.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Townsville W   ■ Sydney W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Townsville W wins
1
Sydney W wins
DateGameScore
20/12/25Sydney W v Townsville W77-99
06/12/25Townsville W v Sydney W93-60
12/02/25Sydney W v Townsville W50-83
22/01/25Townsville W v Sydney W89-75
18/12/24Townsville W v Sydney W98-73
25/02/24Townsville W v Sydney W90-78
29/12/23Sydney W v Townsville W77-74 OT
16/12/23Sydney W v Townsville W48-70
26/02/23Townsville W v Sydney W73-72
29/01/23Sydney W v Townsville W78-82
Townsville Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25ASydney W99-77
14/12/25HPerth Lynx W81-97
06/12/25HSydney W93-60
29/11/25HSouthside W84-63
25/11/25AAdelaide Lightning W90-64
22/11/25HCanberra Capitals W101-61
15/11/25HAdelaide Lightning W103-69
07/11/25AGeelong Venom W86-61
04/11/25APerth Lynx W79-70
31/10/25ASouthside W83-89
Sydney Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25HTownsville W77-99
14/12/25HAdelaide Lightning W75-94
06/12/25ATownsville W60-93
28/11/25HBendigo W64-80
26/11/25HGeelong Venom W97-94 OT
22/11/25ASouthside W76-93
15/11/25ACanberra Capitals W56-96
09/11/25AAdelaide Lightning W71-88
06/11/25HCanberra Capitals W73-64
02/11/25ABendigo W75-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Townsville W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %83%80%86%
Points / game89.892.488.0
Allowed / game70.670.071.0
Point differential+19.2+22.4+17.0
Avg total160.4162.4159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%80%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sydney W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL23%
HomeWWLLL33%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %23%33%14%
Points / game73.277.070.0
Allowed / game86.285.386.9
Point differential-12.9-8.3-16.9
Avg total159.4162.3156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W1412286%75.967.0+8.9
2 Townsville W1210283%89.870.6+19.2
3 Perth Lynx W129375%81.276.7+4.6
4 Canberra Capitals W126650%75.077.8-2.8
5 Southside W124833%74.378.5-4.2
6 Adelaide Lightning W134931%76.584.2-7.8
7 Sydney W1331023%73.286.2-12.9
8 Geelong Venom W1431121%75.479.6-4.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Townsville W1024222379
Sydney W2116172074
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