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Toyama vs Shizuoka Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 08:35
Final 89-87 (OT)
15-22 19-21 19-18 23-15 13-11
Position#3
Record32-17
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game80.5
Toyama 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#6
Record29-20
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game75.7
JapanB2.League· Toyama City Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Toyama v Shizuoka
05 May 2025
TOYA90
SHIZ74
04 May 2025
TOYA75
SHIZ82
03 May 2025
TOYA81
SHIZ63
23 Mar 2025
TOYA88
SHIZ77
22 Mar 2025
TOYA89
SHIZ87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toyama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shizuoka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
95-96
95
96
-1
94avg 77
H15/02
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
89-82
89
82
+7
84avg 77
H16/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
91-87
91
87
+4
89avg 77
H25/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
72-108
72
108
-36
56avg 77
H26/02
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
83-68
83
68
+15
82avg 77
A01/03
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
60-79
60
79
-19
53avg 77
A02/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
68-56
68
56
+12
61avg 77
H11/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
91-62
91
62
+29
92avg 77
H12/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
92-76
92
76
+16
89avg 77
A15/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 77
A16/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-18
16-21
27-29
23-28
27-25
20-18
17-11
25-28
25-18
26-16
19-21
21-32
16-29
29-29
11-27
16-23
25-14
28-12
18-33
12-9
20-21
20-23
11-20
9-15
17-9
13-17
17-15
21-15
31-14
17-16
17-12
26-20
22-14
22-16
22-25
26-21
24-10
21-17
17-18
17-26
160.5Avg total
82.0Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)87.980.5168.5+7.465%
Season at home (24)87.080.5167.5+6.562%
Season away (25)88.880.6169.4+8.268%
Last 10 (10)82.078.5160.5+3.570%
Last 5 (5)78.068.8146.8+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.597.5179.0-16.050%
vs Similar (8)85.090.6175.6-5.625%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)90.876.4167.2+14.375%
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShizuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShizuoka
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
96-73
96
73
+23
101avg 75
A14/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
89-62
89
62
+27
90avg 75
A15/02
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
57-69
57
69
-12
51avg 75
H22/02
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
94-85
94
85
+9
98avg 75
H23/02
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
85-76
85
76
+9
82avg 75
A01/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
88avg 75
A02/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
58-85
58
85
-27
40avg 75
A07/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
60-84
60
84
-24
50avg 75
A08/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
76-83
76
83
-7
69avg 75
H14/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
93-91
93
91
+2
95avg 75
H15/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
22-14
22-16
24-23
16-14
25-19
24-11
24-18
14-20
15-20
19-11
9-18
31-19
18-21
24-20
21-25
21-26
16-23
28-16
20-11
22-22
24-14
21-28
14-14
9-29
14-20
21-20
14-16
17-26
12-25
20-13
11-20
21-21
20-25
14-22
21-15
24-28
21-21
31-23
17-19
157.5Avg total
78.9Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)77.675.7153.4+1.959%
Season at home (23)79.980.7160.6-0.948%
Season away (26)75.771.3147.0+4.369%
Last 10 (10)78.978.6157.5+0.360%
Last 5 (5)73.684.2157.8-10.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)68.088.5156.5-20.50%
vs Similar (14)77.975.1153.0+2.964%
vs Weaker (12)82.769.8152.5+12.892%
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
ToyamaShizuoka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H15/02
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H16/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H25/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H26/02
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
53-26
53
26
+27
A01/03
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A02/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H11/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H12/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A15/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A16/03
B2.League
80.5Avg total
44.8Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.138.383.4+6.873%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.138.983.9+6.276%-
Last 30 away (13)45.237.582.8+7.769%-
Last 10 (10)44.835.780.5+9.180%-
Last 5 (5)41.431.472.8+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.046.094.0+2.050%-
vs Similar (8)43.044.587.5-1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.735.080.8+10.785%-
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShizuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A14/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A15/02
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H22/02
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H23/02
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A01/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A02/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
23-49
23
49
-26
A07/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
29-51
29
51
-22
A08/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H14/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H15/03
B2.League
81.7Avg total
39.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.938.077.9+1.963%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.639.580.2+1.154%-
Last 30 away (17)39.436.876.2+2.671%-
Last 10 (10)39.042.781.7-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.846.283.0-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)34.248.883.0-14.50%-
vs Similar (14)40.036.876.8+3.271%-
vs Weaker (12)41.835.877.6+5.975%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.023.2
51.6%
51.0%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.65.3
23.5%
32.9%15.9
🏀 Free throws26.119.1
73.2%
70.7%19.1
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shizuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shizuoka: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.9
51.0%
51.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.8
33.1%
32.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.113.1
68.6%
70.7%13.1
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toyama
WWWWLWLWWL
Shizuoka
WLLLWWWLWW
#3
League position
#6
+4.0
Net rating
+0.7
104.2
Offensive rating
107.3
100.2
Defensive rating
106.6
46.1%
Effective FG%
50.5%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
17.8%
Turnover %
16.4%
37.3%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.30
23.5%
3-point %
33.1%
73.7%
Assist %
77.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 107.3Defence100.2 · 106.6Shooting46.1% · 50.5%3-point %23.5% · 33.1%Ball care17.8% · 16.4%Off. rebounds37.3% · 32.0%Free throws0.39 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Toyama   ■ Shizuoka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Toyama wins
0
Shizuoka wins
DateGameScore
01/12/24Shizuoka v Toyama84-91
30/11/24Shizuoka v Toyama71-86
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25AFukui79-71
15/03/25AFukui92-76
12/03/25HYamagata Wyverns91-62
11/03/25HYamagata Wyverns68-56
02/03/25AKobe60-79
01/03/25AKobe83-68
26/02/25HAltiri Chiba72-108
25/02/25HAltiri Chiba91-87
16/02/25HKagoshima Rebnise89-82
15/02/25HKagoshima Rebnise95-96
Shizuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25HNara93-91
14/03/25HNara76-83
08/03/25AFukuoka60-84
07/03/25AFukuoka58-85
02/03/25AKagoshima Rebnise81-78
01/03/25AKagoshima Rebnise85-76
23/02/25HShinshu94-85
22/02/25HShinshu57-69
15/02/25AEhime Orange Vikings89-62
14/02/25AEhime Orange Vikings96-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toyama
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW65%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayLWLWW68%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492425
Win %65%62%68%
Points / game87.987.088.8
Allowed / game80.580.580.6
Point differential+7.4+6.5+8.2
Avg total168.5167.5169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%42%52%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %6%4%8%
Shizuoka
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW59%
HomeWLWLW48%
AwayWWWLL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492326
Win %59%48%69%
Points / game77.679.975.7
Allowed / game75.780.771.3
Point differential+1.9-0.9+4.3
Avg total153.4160.6147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%22%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %2%0%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba5047394%91.474.2+17.2
2 Fukuoka50351570%82.974.2+8.7
3 Toyama49321765%87.980.5+7.4
4 Shinshu50321864%84.977.6+7.4
5 Kagoshima Rebnise50311962%81.978.0+3.9
6 Shizuoka49292059%77.675.7+1.9
7 Fukui50272354%82.380.4+1.9
8 Kumamoto50222844%78.179.7-1.7
9 Nara50222844%77.579.7-2.3
10 Kobe50193138%79.083.1-4.2
11 Yamagata Wyverns50183236%78.382.4-4.1
12 Aomori50183236%78.086.0-8.0
13 Fukushima50123824%72.882.4-9.6
14 Ehime Orange Vikings5054510%72.490.8-18.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Toyama151919231389
Shizuoka222118151187
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