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Shizuoka vs Toyama Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 71-86
16-20 15-30 19-24 21-12
Position#6
Record9-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game75.9
vs
Toyama 🏆
Japan
Position#3
Record12-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game79.0
JapanB2.League· Numazu City Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Shizuoka v Toyama
01 Dec 2024
SHIZ84
TOYA91
30 Nov 2024
SHIZ71
TOYA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shizuoka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toyama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShizuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShizuoka
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#8
W
89-75
89
75
+14
86avg 74
H26/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
82-75
82
75
+7
81avg 74
H27/10
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
63-87
63
87
-24
53avg 74
H02/11
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
92-86
92
86
+6
93avg 74
H03/11
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
74-82
74
82
-8
70avg 74
A09/11
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
79-69
79
69
+10
79avg 74
A10/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
73-79
73
79
-6
51avg 74
H16/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
83-102
83
102
-19
76avg 74
H17/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
60-51
60
51
+9
49avg 74
A25/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
71-74
71
74
-3
72avg 74
A26/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
16-22
18-17
27-20
15-19
22-17
20-24
25-15
15-19
14-20
19-28
15-20
26-18
19-22
18-17
29-29
15-27
24-22
13-20
22-13
21-15
20-13
21-20
17-21
19-13
12-24
16-23
26-19
14-30
23-23
19-27
27-22
10-11
13-17
19-19
18-4
17-15
23-18
18-28
13-13
154.6Avg total
76.6Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.175.9152.1+0.253%
Season at home (8)80.280.9161.1-0.650%
Season away (9)72.471.6144.0+0.956%
Last 10 (10)76.678.0154.6-1.450%
Last 5 (5)73.275.0148.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)77.685.8163.3-8.222%
vs Similar (19)80.675.5156.2+5.174%
vs Weaker (2)76.575.5152.0+1.050%
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
90-100
90
100
-10
82avg 70
A26/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
74-82
74
82
-8
65avg 70
A27/10
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
85-82
85
82
+3
77avg 70
A02/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
90-64
90
64
+26
94avg 70
A03/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
80-78
80
78
+2
76avg 70
H09/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
66-74
66
74
-8
58avg 70
H10/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
83-68
83
68
+15
83avg 70
H18/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
92-84 OT
92
84
+8
87avg 70
H19/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
89-64
89
64
+25
80avg 70
A22/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
96-82
96
82
+14
98avg 70
A23/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
25-25
25-25
26-25
24-19
21-19
16-19
13-25
26-24
30-14
20-24
9-20
32-9
22-28
17-14
19-13
16-24
19-19
19-15
26-20
20-13
15-23
11-13
20-25
30-18
17-20
17-13
19-17
24-17
17-29
26-15
11-17
30-17
17-10
18-20
24-17
25-18
28-28
22-19
21-17
162.3Avg total
84.5Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.779.0165.7+7.771%
Season at home (7)84.681.0165.6+3.671%
Season away (10)88.277.6165.8+10.670%
Last 10 (10)84.577.8162.3+6.770%
Last 5 (5)85.274.4159.6+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)67.888.5156.4-20.70%
vs Similar (6)76.073.8149.8+2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)89.978.5168.4+11.582%
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -0.8-0.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -0.8-0.8
ShizuokaToyama
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShizuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H26/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H27/10
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H02/11
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H03/11
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A09/11
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A10/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H16/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H17/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
23-28
23
28
-5
A25/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A26/11
B2.League
74.7Avg total
36.6Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.378.2-0.360%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.640.379.9-0.754%-
Last 30 away (17)38.438.576.9-0.165%-
Last 10 (10)36.638.174.7-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)34.435.870.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.244.081.2-6.833%-
vs Similar (19)39.637.176.7+2.574%-
vs Weaker (2)40.038.578.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A26/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A27/10
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A02/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A03/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H09/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H10/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H18/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H19/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A22/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A23/11
B2.League
85.1Avg total
45.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.641.581.1-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.940.179.0-1.246%-
Last 30 away (17)40.242.582.7-2.441%-
Last 10 (10)45.239.985.1+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.638.683.2+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.043.577.5-9.523%-
vs Similar (6)40.837.578.3+3.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.641.386.9+4.464%-
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shizuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shizuoka: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.622.1
49.6%
51.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.95.8
30.7%
32.9%17.4
🏀 Free throws21.014.2
67.6%
70.7%14.2
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.921.4
51.1%
51.0%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.1
33.3%
32.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.917.0
77.6%
70.7%17.0
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shizuoka
LWLLWLWLWW
Toyama
WWWWLWWWLL
#6
League position
#3
-1.6
Net rating
+8.5
102.2
Offensive rating
108.2
103.8
Defensive rating
99.7
48.5%
Effective FG%
50.7%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
20.1%
Turnover %
19.6%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.7%
3-point %
33.3%
65.6%
Assist %
69.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 108.2Defence103.8 · 99.7Shooting48.5% · 50.7%3-point %30.7% · 33.3%Ball care20.1% · 19.6%Off. rebounds36.4% · 35.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Shizuoka   ■ Toyama
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Shizuoka wins
0
Toyama wins
No previous meetings.
Shizuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/24AKumamoto71-74
25/11/24AKumamoto60-51
17/11/24HFukuoka83-102
16/11/24HFukuoka73-79
10/11/24AAomori79-69
09/11/24AAomori74-82
03/11/24HFukui92-86
02/11/24HFukui63-87
27/10/24HKumamoto82-75
26/10/24HKumamoto89-75
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/24AEhime Orange Vikings96-82
22/11/24AEhime Orange Vikings89-64
19/11/24HFukushima92-84 OT
18/11/24HFukushima83-68
10/11/24HShinshu66-74
09/11/24HShinshu80-78
03/11/24AKagoshima Rebnise90-64
02/11/24AKagoshima Rebnise85-82
27/10/24AAltiri Chiba74-82
26/10/24AAltiri Chiba90-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shizuoka
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL53%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayWLWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%50%56%
Points / game76.180.272.4
Allowed / game75.980.971.6
Point differential+0.2-0.6+0.9
Avg total152.1161.1144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Toyama
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLWWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %71%71%70%
Points / game86.784.688.2
Allowed / game79.081.077.6
Point differential+7.7+3.6+10.6
Avg total165.7165.6165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%29%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %6%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba1817194%92.476.4+15.9
2 Toyama1712571%86.779.0+7.7
3 Fukui1712571%81.477.9+3.5
4 Fukuoka1913668%84.075.1+8.9
5 Shinshu1812667%86.275.4+10.8
6 Kagoshima Rebnise1710759%79.379.5-0.2
7 Shizuoka179853%76.175.9+0.2
8 Kobe189950%84.383.4+0.9
9 Yamagata Wyverns178947%81.982.5-0.6
10 Nara1881044%76.878.3-1.5
11 Aomori1971237%78.687.7-9.1
12 Fukushima1841422%75.383.9-8.6
13 Kumamoto1821611%74.987.2-12.3
14 Ehime Orange Vikings171166%74.490.5-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shizuoka1615192171
Toyama2030241286
← all games of the day
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