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Toyama vs Shizuoka Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 04:05
Final 88-77
17-25 24-16 26-21 21-15
Position#3
Record33-17
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game80.7
Toyama 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#6
Record29-21
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game76.0
JapanB2.League· Toyama City Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Toyama v Shizuoka
05 May 2025
TOYA90
SHIZ74
04 May 2025
TOYA75
SHIZ82
03 May 2025
TOYA81
SHIZ63
23 Mar 2025
TOYA88
SHIZ77
22 Mar 2025
TOYA89
SHIZ87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toyama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shizuoka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
89-82
89
82
+7
84avg 77
H16/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
91-87
91
87
+4
89avg 77
H25/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
72-108
72
108
-36
56avg 77
H26/02
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
83-68
83
68
+15
82avg 77
A01/03
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
60-79
60
79
-19
53avg 77
A02/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
68-56
68
56
+12
61avg 77
H11/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
91-62
91
62
+29
92avg 77
H12/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
92-76
92
76
+16
89avg 77
A15/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 77
A16/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
79avg 77
H22/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
20-18
17-11
25-28
25-18
26-16
19-21
21-32
16-29
29-29
11-27
16-23
25-14
28-12
18-33
12-9
20-21
20-23
11-20
9-15
17-9
13-17
17-15
21-15
31-14
17-16
17-12
26-20
22-14
22-16
22-25
26-21
24-10
21-17
17-18
17-26
15-22
19-21
19-18
23-15
159.0Avg total
81.4Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)88.080.7168.6+7.366%
Season at home (25)87.180.8167.9+6.464%
Season away (25)88.880.6169.4+8.268%
Last 10 (10)81.477.6159.0+3.880%
Last 5 (5)83.870.4154.2+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.597.5179.0-16.050%
vs Similar (8)85.090.6175.6-5.625%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)91.077.4168.4+13.575%
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShizuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShizuoka
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
89-62
89
62
+27
90avg 75
A15/02
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
57-69
57
69
-12
51avg 75
H22/02
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
94-85
94
85
+9
98avg 75
H23/02
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
85-76
85
76
+9
82avg 75
A01/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
88avg 75
A02/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
58-85
58
85
-27
40avg 75
A07/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
60-84
60
84
-24
50avg 75
A08/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
76-83
76
83
-7
69avg 75
H14/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
93-91
93
91
+2
95avg 75
H15/03
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
87-89 OT
87
89
-2
83avg 75
A22/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
25-19
24-11
24-18
14-20
15-20
19-11
9-18
31-19
18-21
24-20
21-25
21-26
16-23
28-16
20-11
22-22
24-14
21-28
14-14
9-29
14-20
21-20
14-16
17-26
12-25
20-13
11-20
21-21
20-25
14-22
21-15
24-28
21-21
31-23
17-19
22-15
21-19
18-19
15-23
158.2Avg total
78.0Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)77.876.0153.8+1.858%
Season at home (23)79.980.7160.6-0.948%
Season away (27)76.172.0148.0+4.167%
Last 10 (10)78.080.2158.2-2.250%
Last 5 (5)74.886.4161.2-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)71.888.6160.4-16.80%
vs Similar (14)77.975.1153.0+2.964%
vs Weaker (11)83.670.4154.0+13.391%
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
ToyamaShizuoka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H16/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H25/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H26/02
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
53-26
53
26
+27
A01/03
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A02/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H11/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H12/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A15/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A16/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H22/03
B2.League
79.8Avg total
43.7Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.738.683.3+6.170%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.439.483.8+4.971%-
Last 30 away (13)45.237.582.8+7.769%-
Last 10 (10)43.736.179.8+7.670%-
Last 5 (5)40.231.271.4+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.046.094.0+2.050%-
vs Similar (8)43.044.587.5-1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.135.580.6+9.680%-
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShizuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A15/02
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H22/02
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H23/02
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A01/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A02/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
23-49
23
49
-26
A07/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
29-51
29
51
-22
A08/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H14/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H15/03
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A22/03
B2.League
81.0Avg total
38.3Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.137.977.9+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.639.580.2+1.154%-
Last 30 away (17)39.636.676.2+3.171%-
Last 10 (10)38.342.781.0-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.245.882.0-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.045.881.8-9.820%-
vs Similar (14)40.036.876.8+3.271%-
vs Weaker (11)42.035.677.6+6.473%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.823.2
50.7%
51.0%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.35.5
23.6%
32.9%16.5
🏀 Free throws23.917.9
74.9%
70.7%17.9
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shizuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shizuoka: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.520.6
49.6%
51.0%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.8
32.4%
32.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.212.8
70.3%
70.7%12.8
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toyama
WWWWWLWLWW
Shizuoka
LWLLLWWWLW
#3
League position
#6
+4.3
Net rating
-2.7
103.3
Offensive rating
104.1
98.9
Defensive rating
106.8
45.5%
Effective FG%
49.2%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
17.7%
Turnover %
17.8%
37.0%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
23.6%
3-point %
32.4%
73.2%
Assist %
75.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.3 · 104.1Defence98.9 · 106.8Shooting45.5% · 49.2%3-point %23.6% · 32.4%Ball care17.7% · 17.8%Off. rebounds37.0% · 32.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Toyama   ■ Shizuoka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Toyama wins
0
Shizuoka wins
DateGameScore
22/03/25Toyama v Shizuoka89-87 OT
01/12/24Shizuoka v Toyama84-91
30/11/24Shizuoka v Toyama71-86
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25HShizuoka89-87 OT
16/03/25AFukui79-71
15/03/25AFukui92-76
12/03/25HYamagata Wyverns91-62
11/03/25HYamagata Wyverns68-56
02/03/25AKobe60-79
01/03/25AKobe83-68
26/02/25HAltiri Chiba72-108
25/02/25HAltiri Chiba91-87
16/02/25HKagoshima Rebnise89-82
Shizuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25AToyama87-89 OT
15/03/25HNara93-91
14/03/25HNara76-83
08/03/25AFukuoka60-84
07/03/25AFukuoka58-85
02/03/25AKagoshima Rebnise81-78
01/03/25AKagoshima Rebnise85-76
23/02/25HShinshu94-85
22/02/25HShinshu57-69
15/02/25AEhime Orange Vikings89-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toyama
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW66%
HomeWLWWW64%
AwayLWLWW68%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502525
Win %66%64%68%
Points / game88.087.188.8
Allowed / game80.780.880.6
Point differential+7.3+6.4+8.2
Avg total168.6167.9169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%40%52%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)67% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Shizuoka
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL58%
HomeWLWLW48%
AwayWWLLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502327
Win %58%48%67%
Points / game77.879.976.1
Allowed / game76.080.772.0
Point differential+1.8-0.9+4.1
Avg total153.8160.6148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%22%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba5047394%91.474.2+17.2
2 Fukuoka50351570%82.974.2+8.7
3 Toyama50331766%88.080.7+7.3
4 Shinshu50321864%84.977.6+7.4
5 Kagoshima Rebnise51321963%82.377.9+4.4
6 Shizuoka50292158%77.876.0+1.8
7 Fukui50272354%82.380.4+1.9
8 Kumamoto50222844%78.179.7-1.7
9 Nara50222844%77.579.7-2.3
10 Kobe50193138%79.083.1-4.2
11 Yamagata Wyverns50183236%78.382.4-4.1
12 Aomori51183335%77.986.3-8.4
13 Fukushima50123824%72.882.4-9.6
14 Ehime Orange Vikings5054510%72.490.8-18.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toyama1724262188
Shizuoka2516211577
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