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Wurzburg vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 May 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 82-79
20-18 24-16 20-23 18-22
Position#4
Record25-11
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#5
Record25-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game82.7
GermanyBBLBBL - Quarter-finals· Tectake Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Wurzburg v Ulm
09 May 2027
WUR v ULM
upcoming
02 May 2026
WUR98
ULM84
10 Jun 2025
WUR78
ULM77
04 Jun 2025
WUR87
ULM77
14 Apr 2025
WUR89
ULM72
24 May 2024
WUR75
ULM72
22 May 2024
WUR82
ULM79
19 Nov 2023
WUR83
ULM88
14 Oct 2023
WUR72
ULM76
03 Mar 2023
WUR62
ULM82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
W
75-67
75
67
+8
67avg 74
A07/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
82-90
82
90
-8
68avg 74
H14/04
BBL
Rostock
#15
L
86-95
86
95
-9
68avg 74
H20/04
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
89-87
89
87
+2
81avg 74
A28/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
107-83
107
83
+24
100avg 74
H30/04
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
100-91
100
91
+9
97avg 74
A05/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
98-84
98
84
+14
89avg 74
H08/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
66-79
66
79
-13
56avg 74
A12/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
78-65
78
65
+13
74avg 74
A18/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
64-100
64
100
-36
52avg 74
A20/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
14-13
24-16
21-17
17-20
19-25
23-20
23-25
26-21
17-22
21-21
22-31
30-26
24-21
17-22
18-18
25-23
28-25
31-15
23-20
22-23
30-21
22-20
26-27
24-17
20-18
29-24
25-25
18-14
6-24
18-19
24-22
23-20
17-18
18-18
20-9
22-22
17-28
11-26
14-24
168.6Avg total
84.5Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)86.080.2166.2+5.869%
Season at home (17)86.978.4165.3+8.671%
Season away (19)85.281.9167.1+3.268%
Last 10 (10)84.584.1168.6+0.460%
Last 5 (5)81.283.8165.0-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.084.5158.5-10.50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)85.283.2168.4+2.169%
vs Weaker (15)92.681.1173.7+11.587%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#11
W
106-90
106
90
+16
98avg 80
H06/04
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
96-71
96
71
+25
13avg 80
A14/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
106-79
106
79
+27
105avg 80
H21/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
86-66
86
66
+20
75avg 80
A27/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
74-81
74
81
-7
64avg 80
H01/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
73-57
73
57
+16
71avg 80
A04/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
91-74
91
74
+17
95avg 80
H09/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
77-72
77
72
+5
69avg 80
A12/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
65-78
65
78
-13
49avg 80
H18/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
100-64
100
64
+36
98avg 80
H20/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-33
23-20
27-13
27-24
15-21
28-15
24-24
29-11
21-23
29-10
25-24
31-22
18-12
28-20
21-13
19-21
20-19
16-18
13-27
25-17
24-17
18-14
18-15
13-11
19-18
20-10
21-27
31-19
23-21
22-11
14-21
18-19
20-23
18-17
18-18
9-20
22-22
28-17
26-11
24-14
160.6Avg total
87.4Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)90.082.7172.7+7.369%
Season at home (19)90.484.8175.2+5.668%
Season away (17)89.680.4170.0+9.371%
Last 10 (10)87.473.2160.6+14.280%
Last 5 (5)81.269.0150.2+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.880.5158.2-2.850%
vs Similar ◀ (13)85.183.9169.0+1.231%
vs Weaker (13)89.078.5167.5+10.585%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +7.8+7.8Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +4.8+4.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +7.8+7.8Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +4.8+4.8
WurzburgUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A07/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H14/04
BBL
Rostock
#15
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H20/04
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A28/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H30/04
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A05/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H08/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A12/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A18/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A20/05
BBL
83.7Avg total
41.5Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.982.2+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.937.781.6+6.271%-
Last 30 away (16)40.841.982.7-1.138%-
Last 10 (10)41.542.283.7-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.080.8-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.041.571.5-11.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.540.584.1+3.054%-
vs Weaker (15)42.839.282.0+3.660%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#11
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H06/04
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A14/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H21/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A27/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H01/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A04/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H09/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A12/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H18/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H20/05
BBL
80.2Avg total
44.1Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.740.884.5+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.942.386.2+1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)43.639.483.0+4.175%-
Last 10 (10)44.136.180.2+8.070%-
Last 5 (5)42.834.076.8+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.538.578.0+1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.842.686.5+1.254%-
vs Weaker (13)44.939.684.5+5.377%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.8
53.4%
54.6%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.611.0
38.5%
35.4%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.313.0
67.4%
76.0%13.0
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.021.2
57.3%
54.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.1
33.4%
35.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.413.7
74.5%
76.0%13.7
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
LWLWWWWLLW
Ulm
WLWWWLWWWW
#4
League position
#5
+0.7
Net rating
+19.3
113.8
Offensive rating
115.1
113.1
Defensive rating
95.8
55.3%
Effective FG%
54.1%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
15.5%
Turnover %
16.4%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.5%
3-point %
33.4%
46.3%
Assist %
62.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.8 · 115.1Defence113.1 · 95.8Shooting55.3% · 54.1%3-point %38.5% · 33.4%Ball care15.5% · 16.4%Off. rebounds27.6% · 33.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Wurzburg wins
5
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
20/05/24Ulm v Wurzburg100-64
18/05/24Ulm v Wurzburg65-78
23/03/24Ulm v Wurzburg87-79
19/11/23Wurzburg v Ulm83-88
14/10/23Wurzburg v Ulm72-76
03/03/23Wurzburg v Ulm62-82
14/01/23Ulm v Wurzburg84-91
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/05/24AUlm64-100
18/05/24AUlm78-65
12/05/24AChemnitz66-79
08/05/24HHeidelberg98-84
05/05/24ABonn100-91
30/04/24HSyntainics MBC107-83
28/04/24AVechta89-87
20/04/24HRostock86-95
14/04/24HBayern82-90
07/04/24AGottingen75-67
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/05/24HWurzburg100-64
18/05/24HWurzburg65-78
12/05/24ABasketball Braunschweig77-72
09/05/24HOldenburg91-74
04/05/24AHeidelberg73-57
01/05/24HBayern74-81
27/04/24ACrailsheim Merlins86-66
21/04/24HSyntainics MBC106-79
14/04/24ARostock96-71
06/04/24HBamberg106-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL69%
HomeWLLWW71%
AwayWWLWL68%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361719
Win %69%71%68%
Points / game86.086.985.2
Allowed / game80.278.481.9
Point differential+5.8+8.6+3.2
Avg total166.2165.3167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%47%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)50% (4)100% (4)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Ulm
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW69%
HomeWLWLW68%
AwayWWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %69%68%71%
Points / game90.090.489.6
Allowed / game82.784.880.4
Point differential+7.3+5.6+9.3
Avg total172.7175.2170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%47%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %8%5%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern3730781%87.976.4+11.6
2 Alba Berlin3730781%89.780.3+9.4
3 Chemnitz3728976%88.579.2+9.3
4 Ulm36251169%90.082.7+7.3
5 Wurzburg36251169%86.080.2+5.8
6 Vechta37221559%87.982.6+5.3
7 Bonn38211755%88.385.5+2.9
8 Oldenburg35181751%85.684.1+1.5
9 Ludwigsburg39201951%86.683.4+3.2
10 Hamburg36181850%85.686.2-0.6
11 Bamberg34151944%88.589.8-1.3
12 Basketball Braunschweig34151944%81.784.4-2.7
13 Syntainics MBC34112332%85.593.3-7.7
14 Gottingen34102429%85.392.6-7.3
15 Rostock3492526%86.793.1-6.3
16 Heidelberg3492526%82.993.4-10.5
17 Crailsheim Merlins3482624%81.292.6-11.3
18 Tubingen3462818%82.395.3-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wurzburg2024201882
Ulm1816232279
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