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Ulm vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 20 May 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 100-64
22-22 28-17 26-11 24-14
Position#5
Record24-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game83.2
Ulm 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#4
Record25-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game79.7
GermanyBBLBBL - Quarter-finals· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Ulm v Wurzburg
27 Sep 2026
ULM67
WUR90
29 Dec 2025
ULM66
WUR61
12 Jun 2025
ULM91
WUR84
07 Jun 2025
ULM99
WUR86
01 Jun 2025
ULM91
WUR87
28 Sep 2024
ULM85
WUR76
20 May 2024
ULM100
WUR64
18 May 2024
ULM65
WUR78
23 Mar 2024
ULM87
WUR79
14 Jan 2023
ULM84
WUR91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
94-60
94
60
+34
101avg 80
A31/03
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
106-90
106
90
+16
98avg 80
H06/04
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
96-71
96
71
+25
13avg 80
A14/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
106-79
106
79
+27
105avg 80
H21/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
86-66
86
66
+20
75avg 80
A27/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
74-81
74
81
-7
64avg 80
H01/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
73-57
73
57
+16
71avg 80
A04/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
91-74
91
74
+17
95avg 80
H09/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
77-72
77
72
+5
69avg 80
A12/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
65-78
65
78
-13
49avg 80
H18/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
23-18
20-8
22-12
29-33
23-20
27-13
27-24
15-21
28-15
24-24
29-11
21-23
29-10
25-24
31-22
18-12
28-20
21-13
19-21
20-19
16-18
13-27
25-17
24-17
18-14
18-15
13-11
19-18
20-10
21-27
31-19
23-21
22-11
14-21
18-19
20-23
18-17
18-18
9-20
159.6Avg total
86.8Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)89.783.2173.0+6.569%
Season at home (18)89.885.9175.8+3.967%
Season away (17)89.680.4170.0+9.371%
Last 10 (10)86.872.8159.6+14.080%
Last 5 (5)76.072.4148.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.880.5158.2-2.850%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.885.6169.4-1.825%
vs Weaker (14)89.178.1167.1+11.086%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Tubingen
#18
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 75
H30/03
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
75-67
75
67
+8
67avg 75
A07/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
82-90
82
90
-8
68avg 75
H14/04
BBL
Rostock
#15
L
86-95
86
95
-9
68avg 75
H20/04
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
89-87
89
87
+2
81avg 75
A28/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
107-83
107
83
+24
100avg 75
H30/04
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
100-91
100
91
+9
97avg 75
A05/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
98-84
98
84
+14
89avg 75
H08/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
66-79
66
79
-13
56avg 75
A12/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
78-65
78
65
+13
74avg 75
A18/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
25-25
22-13
23-26
16-21
14-13
24-16
21-17
17-20
19-25
23-20
23-25
26-21
17-22
21-21
22-31
30-26
24-21
17-22
18-18
25-23
28-25
31-15
23-20
22-23
30-21
22-20
26-27
24-17
20-18
29-24
25-25
18-14
6-24
18-19
24-22
23-20
17-18
18-18
20-9
169.9Avg total
87.7Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)86.679.7166.3+6.971%
Season at home (17)86.978.4165.3+8.671%
Season away (18)86.380.9167.3+5.472%
Last 10 (10)87.782.2169.9+5.570%
Last 5 (5)89.880.4170.2+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.084.5158.5-10.50%
vs Similar ◀ (12)87.081.8168.8+5.275%
vs Weaker (16)92.279.4171.6+12.988%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +7.2+7.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: +0.5+0.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +7.2+7.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: +0.5+0.5
UlmWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A31/03
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H06/04
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A14/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H21/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A27/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H01/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A04/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H09/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A12/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H18/05
BBL
80.5Avg total
44.3Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.340.583.9+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.141.884.9+1.350%-
Last 30 away (16)43.639.483.0+4.175%-
Last 10 (10)44.336.280.5+8.170%-
Last 5 (5)40.033.673.6+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.538.578.0+1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.342.986.2+0.450%-
vs Weaker (14)44.439.183.5+5.479%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tubingen
#18
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H30/03
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A07/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H14/04
BBL
Rostock
#15
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H20/04
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A28/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H30/04
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A05/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H08/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A12/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A18/05
BBL
84.1Avg total
42.7Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.081.4+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.937.781.6+6.271%-
Last 30 away (16)40.940.281.1+0.844%-
Last 10 (10)42.741.484.1+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.683.2+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.041.571.5-11.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.939.883.7+4.258%-
vs Weaker (16)42.738.280.9+4.562%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.4
54.8%
54.6%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.1
34.7%
35.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.514.5
74.4%
76.0%14.5
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.6
54.3%
54.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.111.4
40.6%
35.4%34.2
🏀 Free throws20.013.6
68.0%
76.0%13.6
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LWWWLWWWWW
Wurzburg
WLWWWWLLWW
#5
League position
#4
+18.6
Net rating
+8.2
114.6
Offensive rating
118.8
96.0
Defensive rating
110.6
53.6%
Effective FG%
57.2%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
17.6%
Turnover %
14.5%
35.9%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.7%
3-point %
40.6%
63.6%
Assist %
47.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 118.8Defence96.0 · 110.6Shooting53.6% · 57.2%3-point %34.7% · 40.6%Ball care17.6% · 14.5%Off. rebounds35.9% · 28.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Ulm   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ulm wins
2
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
18/05/24Ulm v Wurzburg65-78
23/03/24Ulm v Wurzburg87-79
19/11/23Wurzburg v Ulm83-88
14/10/23Wurzburg v Ulm72-76
03/03/23Wurzburg v Ulm62-82
14/01/23Ulm v Wurzburg84-91
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/24HWurzburg65-78
12/05/24ABasketball Braunschweig77-72
09/05/24HOldenburg91-74
04/05/24AHeidelberg73-57
01/05/24HBayern74-81
27/04/24ACrailsheim Merlins86-66
21/04/24HSyntainics MBC106-79
14/04/24ARostock96-71
06/04/24HBamberg106-90
31/03/24ALudwigsburg94-60
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/24AUlm78-65
12/05/24AChemnitz66-79
08/05/24HHeidelberg98-84
05/05/24ABonn100-91
30/04/24HSyntainics MBC107-83
28/04/24AVechta89-87
20/04/24HRostock86-95
14/04/24HBayern82-90
07/04/24AGottingen75-67
30/03/24HTubingen96-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL69%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayWWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %69%67%71%
Points / game89.789.889.6
Allowed / game83.285.980.4
Point differential+6.5+3.9+9.3
Avg total173.0175.8170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%44%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %9%6%12%
Wurzburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeWLLWW71%
AwayWWWLW72%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %71%71%72%
Points / game86.686.986.3
Allowed / game79.778.480.9
Point differential+6.9+8.6+5.4
Avg total166.3165.3167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%47%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)50% (4)100% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern3629781%88.176.5+11.6
2 Alba Berlin3629781%89.680.2+9.4
3 Chemnitz3627975%88.679.2+9.3
4 Wurzburg35251071%86.679.7+6.9
5 Ulm35241169%89.783.2+6.5
6 Vechta36221461%88.282.5+5.7
7 Bonn37211657%88.485.3+3.1
8 Ludwigsburg38201853%87.083.4+3.6
9 Oldenburg35181751%85.684.1+1.5
10 Hamburg36181850%85.686.2-0.6
11 Bamberg34151944%88.589.8-1.3
12 Basketball Braunschweig34151944%81.784.4-2.7
13 Syntainics MBC34112332%85.593.3-7.7
14 Gottingen34102429%85.392.6-7.3
15 Rostock3492526%86.793.1-6.3
16 Heidelberg3492526%82.993.4-10.5
17 Crailsheim Merlins3482624%81.292.6-11.3
18 Tubingen3462818%82.395.3-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm22282624100
Wurzburg2217111464
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