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Crailsheim Merlins vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 66-86
12-18 20-28 13-21 21-19
Position#17
Record7-22
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game92.6
vs
Ulm 🏆
Germany
Position#5
Record20-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game85.7
GermanyBBLRound 30· Arena Hohenlohe
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Ulm
27 Apr 2024
CME66
ULM86
18 Mar 2023
CME76
ULM68
16 Oct 2021
CME71
ULM93
29 Dec 2020
CME86
ULM84
29 Dec 2019
CME91
ULM79
18 Apr 2019
CME79
ULM82
18 Oct 2015
CME99
ULM90
06 Dec 2014
CME80
ULM88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
89-100
89
100
-11
77avg 70
H10/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
58-80
58
80
-22
43avg 70
A14/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
80-86
80
86
-6
76avg 70
A01/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
82-97
82
97
-15
76avg 70
H09/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
93-98
93
98
-5
89avg 70
A16/03
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
80-76
80
76
+4
74avg 70
H23/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
86-90
86
90
-4
78avg 70
A30/03
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
102-93
102
93
+9
103avg 70
H06/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
88-98
88
98
-10
82avg 70
A13/04
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
98-89
98
89
+9
98avg 70
H20/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
22-24
23-23
22-25
15-22
12-26
13-25
18-7
23-28
18-17
21-15
18-26
14-20
25-22
19-26
24-29
21-26
20-34
26-24
26-14
26-19
19-21
8-10
27-26
24-24
20-31
20-22
22-13
21-26
25-24
25-17
31-26
17-27
23-21
25-20
23-30
25-20
24-19
23-20
26-30
176.3Avg total
85.6Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)81.392.6173.9-11.324%
Season at home (14)83.689.4173.1-5.843%
Season away (15)79.195.5174.7-16.47%
Last 10 (10)85.690.7176.3-5.130%
Last 5 (5)90.889.2180.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)79.393.9173.1-14.617%
vs Similar (6)89.287.7176.8+1.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
65-81
65
81
-16
53avg 81
A18/02
German Cup
Chemnitz
#3
L
82-83
82
83
-1
70avg 81
A02/03
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
79-88
79
88
-9
67avg 81
H05/03
Eurocup
Gottingen
#14
W
91-78
91
78
+13
85avg 81
H09/03
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
81-86
81
86
-5
71avg 81
A18/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
87-79
87
79
+8
85avg 81
H23/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
94-60
94
60
+34
101avg 81
A31/03
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
106-90
106
90
+16
98avg 81
H06/04
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
96-71
96
71
+25
13avg 81
A14/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
106-79
106
79
+27
105avg 81
H21/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-9
10-26
19-24
18-22
13-26
18-23
20-14
31-20
19-27
13-23
21-15
26-23
22-14
22-29
29-21
18-14
24-27
24-16
20-19
13-24
22-13
26-33
22-9
17-24
29-22
23-18
20-8
22-12
29-33
23-20
27-13
27-24
15-21
28-15
24-24
29-11
21-23
29-10
25-24
31-22
168.2Avg total
88.7Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)92.285.7177.9+6.669%
Season at home (15)92.587.6180.1+4.973%
Season away (14)92.083.6175.6+8.464%
Last 10 (10)88.779.5168.2+9.260%
Last 5 (5)97.875.8173.6+22.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)84.087.0171.0-3.060%
vs Similar (12)85.086.2171.2-1.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)93.583.2176.7+10.277%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +3.6+3.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +3.6+3.6
Crailsheim MerlinsUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H10/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A14/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A01/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H09/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
41-60
41
60
-19
A16/03
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H23/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A30/03
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H06/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A13/04
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H20/04
BBL
89.5Avg total
41.6Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.746.486.1-6.723%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.843.183.9-2.436%-
Last 30 away (16)38.849.287.9-10.412%-
Last 10 (10)41.647.989.5-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)44.846.491.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)39.746.386.1-6.622%-
vs Similar (6)40.347.287.5-6.833%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A18/02
German Cup
Chemnitz
#3
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A02/03
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H05/03
Eurocup
Gottingen
#14
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H09/03
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A18/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H23/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A31/03
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H06/04
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A14/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H21/04
BBL
85.6Avg total
42.8Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.842.687.5+2.267%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.944.189.1+0.857%-
Last 30 away (16)44.841.386.1+3.475%-
Last 10 (10)42.842.885.6+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)49.041.690.6+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.241.884.0+0.460%-
vs Similar (12)43.642.986.5+0.758%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)47.042.789.7+4.377%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.2
51.2%
54.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.9
37.6%
35.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws17.013.7
80.6%
76.0%13.7
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.2
55.5%
54.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.411.3
36.0%
35.4%33.9
🏀 Free throws19.313.4
69.4%
76.0%13.4
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
WLWLWLLLLL
Ulm
WWWWWLWLLL
#17
League position
#5
-6.2
Net rating
+12.7
107.4
Offensive rating
118.2
113.6
Defensive rating
105.5
53.5%
Effective FG%
54.8%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
19.7%
Turnover %
16.2%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
37.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.6%
3-point %
36.0%
60.8%
Assist %
61.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 118.2Defence113.6 · 105.5Shooting53.5% · 54.8%3-point %37.6% · 36.0%Ball care19.7% · 16.2%Off. rebounds28.4% · 37.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Crailsheim Merlins wins
7
Ulm wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24HBonn98-89
13/04/24ABasketball Braunschweig88-98
06/04/24HVechta102-93
30/03/24AHeidelberg86-90
23/03/24HGottingen80-76
16/03/24ASyntainics MBC93-98
09/03/24HChemnitz82-97
01/03/24AWurzburg80-86
14/02/24AOldenburg58-80
10/02/24HLudwigsburg89-100
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24HSyntainics MBC106-79
14/04/24ARostock96-71
06/04/24HBamberg106-90
31/03/24ALudwigsburg94-60
23/03/24HWurzburg87-79
18/03/24AVechta81-86
09/03/24HGottingen91-78
05/03/24HJoventut Badalona79-88
02/03/24AChemnitz82-83
18/02/24ABayern65-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW24%
HomeLLWWW43%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %24%43%7%
Points / game81.383.679.1
Allowed / game92.689.495.5
Point differential-11.3-5.8-16.4
Avg total173.9173.1174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Ulm
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW69%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLLLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %69%73%64%
Points / game92.292.592.0
Allowed / game85.787.683.6
Point differential+6.6+4.9+8.4
Avg total177.9180.1175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%47%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %10%7%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2823582%89.377.6+11.7
2 Alba Berlin2823582%91.681.7+10.0
3 Chemnitz3023777%89.779.2+10.5
4 Wurzburg2920969%86.079.3+6.7
5 Ulm2920969%92.285.7+6.6
6 Vechta29181162%89.082.4+6.5
7 Ludwigsburg30181260%88.782.2+6.5
8 Bonn30181260%90.286.0+4.2
9 Oldenburg29151452%85.083.9+1.1
10 Hamburg29141548%85.386.5-1.2
11 Bamberg29121741%88.290.9-2.7
12 Basketball Braunschweig29121741%82.485.9-3.5
13 Gottingen2992031%86.594.1-7.6
14 Syntainics MBC3092130%85.892.9-7.2
15 Rostock3082227%88.293.9-5.7
16 Heidelberg3082227%83.194.3-11.2
17 Crailsheim Merlins2972224%81.392.6-11.3
18 Tubingen2962321%84.096.7-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins1220132166
Ulm1828211986
← all games of the day
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