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Ulm vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 May 2024
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 74-81
20-19 16-18 13-27 25-17
Position#5
Record21-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Bayern 🏆
Germany
Position#1
Record24-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game77.4
GermanyBBLRound 31· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Ulm v Bayern
30 Apr 2027
ULM v BAY
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
ULM77
BAY81
24 Jun 2025
ULM53
BAY67
18 Jun 2025
ULM79
BAY64
08 Apr 2025
ULM109
BAY94
01 May 2024
ULM74
BAY81
02 Jun 2023
ULM104
BAY102
04 Apr 2023
ULM59
BAY77
06 May 2022
ULM65
BAY77
15 May 2021
ULM102
BAY104
09 Feb 2021
ULM77
BAY81
19 Apr 2020
ULM v BAY
upcoming
28 Sep 2018
ULM77
BAY83
30 Dec 2017
ULM75
BAY89
08 Apr 2017
ULM68
BAY83
04 Jan 2017
ULM57
BAY68
10 Feb 2016
ULM74
BAY65
07 Feb 2016
ULM91
BAY72
05 Apr 2015
ULM76
BAY87
06 Apr 2014
ULM59
BAY70
27 Jan 2013
ULM83
BAY75
04 Jan 2012
ULM76
BAY75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#3
L
82-83
82
83
-1
70avg 81
A02/03
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
79-88
79
88
-9
67avg 81
H05/03
Eurocup
Gottingen
#14
W
91-78
91
78
+13
85avg 81
H09/03
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
81-86
81
86
-5
71avg 81
A18/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
87-79
87
79
+8
85avg 81
H23/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
94-60
94
60
+34
101avg 81
A31/03
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
106-90
106
90
+16
98avg 81
H06/04
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
96-71
96
71
+25
13avg 81
A14/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
106-79
106
79
+27
105avg 81
H21/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
86-66
86
66
+20
75avg 81
A27/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
18-23
20-14
31-20
19-27
13-23
21-15
26-23
22-14
22-29
29-21
18-14
24-27
24-16
20-19
13-24
22-13
26-33
22-9
17-24
29-22
23-18
20-8
22-12
29-33
23-20
27-13
27-24
15-21
28-15
24-24
29-11
21-23
29-10
25-24
31-22
18-12
28-20
21-13
19-21
168.8Avg total
90.8Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)92.085.0177.1+7.070%
Season at home (15)92.587.6180.1+4.973%
Season away (15)91.682.5174.1+9.167%
Last 10 (10)90.878.0168.8+12.870%
Last 5 (5)97.673.2170.8+24.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)79.284.0163.2-4.850%
vs Similar (12)85.086.2171.2-1.225%
vs Weaker (14)92.982.0174.9+10.979%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 78
H22/03
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
81-80 OT
81
80
+1
no box
A24/03
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
79-87
79
87
-8
77avg 78
H28/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
W
99-81
99
81
+18
98avg 78
A31/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
70avg 78
H05/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
91-61
91
61
+30
89avg 78
H07/04
BBL
Monaco
#3
L
85-89
85
89
-4
82avg 78
A11/04
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
92avg 78
A14/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
82-89
82
89
-7
73avg 78
A21/04
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
92-73
92
73
+19
52avg 78
H28/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
14-26
27-15
12-26
12-17
26-17
18-14
17-25
19-25
11-22
23-24
26-16
25-17
28-23
19-17
27-24
18-13
18-27
18-18
21-24
21-13
23-18
23-18
24-12
14-29
16-23
30-20
25-17
20-17
25-19
20-23
25-23
14-17
30-25
13-21
25-26
21-13
22-27
24-17
25-16
166.1Avg total
84.8Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)89.477.4166.8+12.083%
Season at home (15)90.775.5166.3+15.293%
Season away (14)87.979.4167.4+8.571%
Last 10 (10)84.881.3166.1+3.550%
Last 5 (5)88.078.8166.8+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.084.6161.6-7.60%
vs Similar (9)80.279.9160.1+0.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)89.275.9165.1+13.388%
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +1.8+1.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +1.8+1.8
UlmBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#3
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A02/03
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H05/03
Eurocup
Gottingen
#14
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H09/03
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A18/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H23/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A31/03
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H06/04
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A14/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H21/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A27/04
BBL
87.1Avg total
44.6Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.942.187.0+2.870%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.043.888.8+1.262%-
Last 30 away (17)44.840.885.6+4.176%-
Last 10 (10)44.642.587.1+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)48.638.887.4+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)41.840.081.8+1.875%-
vs Similar (12)43.642.986.5+0.758%-
vs Weaker (14)46.941.988.9+5.079%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H22/03
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A24/03
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H28/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A31/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H05/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H07/04
BBL
Monaco
#3
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A11/04
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A14/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A21/04
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H28/04
BBL
80.8Avg total
39.8Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.982.1+2.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.538.580.1+3.071%-
Last 30 away (13)43.041.784.7+1.354%-
Last 10 (10)39.841.080.8-1.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.240.281.4+1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.844.478.2-10.620%-
vs Similar (9)39.342.281.6-2.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.437.283.6+9.294%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.721.0
55.7%
54.6%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.1
35.0%
35.4%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.714.5
70.0%
76.0%14.5
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.221.0
58.0%
54.6%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.811.0
39.6%
35.4%33.0
🏀 Free throws17.213.5
78.5%
76.0%13.5
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWWWWWLWLL
Bayern
WLWLWLWLWL
#5
League position
#1
+17.2
Net rating
+3.7
118.9
Offensive rating
116.9
101.7
Defensive rating
113.2
54.3%
Effective FG%
58.6%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
15.8%
Turnover %
15.6%
38.2%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.0%
3-point %
39.6%
62.0%
Assist %
55.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence118.9 · 116.9Defence101.7 · 113.2Shooting54.3% · 58.6%3-point %35.0% · 39.6%Ball care15.8% · 15.6%Off. rebounds38.2% · 26.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Ulm   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ulm wins
6
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
18/02/24Bayern v Ulm81-65
17/12/23Bayern v Ulm95-80
02/06/23Ulm v Bayern104-102 OT
30/05/23Bayern v Ulm88-93
28/05/23Bayern v Ulm69-87
04/04/23Ulm v Bayern59-77
01/10/22Bayern v Ulm87-80
06/05/22Ulm v Bayern65-77
26/09/21Bayern v Ulm83-86 OT
15/05/21Ulm v Bayern102-104 OT
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24ACrailsheim Merlins86-66
21/04/24HSyntainics MBC106-79
14/04/24ARostock96-71
06/04/24HBamberg106-90
31/03/24ALudwigsburg94-60
23/03/24HWurzburg87-79
18/03/24AVechta81-86
09/03/24HGottingen91-78
05/03/24HJoventut Badalona79-88
02/03/24AChemnitz82-83
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/24HTubingen92-73
21/04/24AHeidelberg82-89
14/04/24AWurzburg90-82
11/04/24AMonaco85-89
07/04/24HBasketball Braunschweig91-61
05/04/24HPanathinaikos75-82
31/03/24ABamberg99-81
28/03/24HBarcelona79-87
24/03/24AHamburg81-80 OT
22/03/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv74-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %70%73%67%
Points / game92.092.591.6
Allowed / game85.087.682.5
Point differential+7.0+4.9+9.1
Avg total177.1180.1174.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%47%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %10%7%13%
Bayern
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWLWW93%
AwayWWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %83%93%71%
Points / game89.490.787.9
Allowed / game77.475.579.4
Point differential+12.0+15.2+8.5
Avg total166.8166.3167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%67%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %10%7%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2924583%89.477.4+12.0
2 Alba Berlin3024680%91.482.2+9.2
3 Chemnitz3023777%89.779.2+10.5
4 Wurzburg3122971%86.879.7+7.1
5 Ulm3021970%92.085.0+7.0
6 Bonn31191261%90.285.8+4.4
7 Vechta30181260%88.982.7+6.2
8 Ludwigsburg31181358%88.682.5+6.1
9 Oldenburg30161453%85.784.2+1.5
10 Hamburg31151648%85.887.2-1.4
11 Basketball Braunschweig30131743%82.785.7-3.1
12 Bamberg31131842%87.890.3-2.5
13 Gottingen3092130%86.193.8-7.6
14 Rostock3192229%88.393.6-5.4
15 Syntainics MBC3192229%85.793.4-7.7
16 Heidelberg3182326%83.394.4-11.0
17 Crailsheim Merlins3172423%81.092.4-11.4
18 Tubingen3062420%83.796.5-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2016132574
Bayern1918271781
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