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Heidelberg vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 May 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 57-73
17-24 14-18 15-18 11-13
Position#16
Record8-23
FormWLWLL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game94.4
vs
Ulm 🏆
Germany
Position#5
Record21-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game84.9
GermanyBBLRound 32· SNP Dome
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Heidelberg v Ulm
29 Mar 2026
HEI93
ULM90
03 May 2025
HEI74
ULM90
04 May 2024
HEI57
ULM73
20 Nov 2022
HEI96
ULM106
27 Dec 2021
HEI79
ULM84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Heidelberg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HeidelbergGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeidelberg
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
L
91-94
91
94
-3
83avg 70
A03/03
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
92-87
92
87
+5
89avg 70
H10/03
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
88-86
88
86
+2
78avg 70
H16/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
77-99
77
99
-22
65avg 70
A23/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
90-86
90
86
+4
81avg 70
H30/03
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
83-79
83
79
+4
70avg 70
A08/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
68-93
68
93
-25
45avg 70
A13/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
89-82
89
82
+7
74avg 70
H21/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
97-104
97
104
-7
86avg 70
A26/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
89-96
89
96
-7
79avg 70
A30/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
20-19
26-25
20-25
25-15
24-25
19-24
24-23
22-18
17-26
12-18
37-24
18-24
10-26
25-27
24-22
24-24
31-20
22-20
13-22
19-21
23-20
22-19
19-19
13-26
19-22
16-20
20-25
17-14
25-30
21-13
26-25
18-31
36-28
22-23
21-22
17-28
28-19
24-22
20-27
177.0Avg total
86.4Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)83.394.4177.7-11.026%
Season at home (15)82.794.1176.8-11.527%
Season away (16)83.994.6178.5-10.625%
Last 10 (10)86.490.6177.0-4.250%
Last 5 (5)85.290.8176.0-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)78.292.5170.7-14.324%
vs Similar (8)94.897.0191.8-2.238%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
79-88
79
88
-9
67avg 81
H05/03
Eurocup
Gottingen
#14
W
91-78
91
78
+13
85avg 81
H09/03
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
81-86
81
86
-5
71avg 81
A18/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
87-79
87
79
+8
85avg 81
H23/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
94-60
94
60
+34
101avg 81
A31/03
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
106-90
106
90
+16
98avg 81
H06/04
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
96-71
96
71
+25
13avg 81
A14/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
106-79
106
79
+27
105avg 81
H21/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
86-66
86
66
+20
75avg 81
A27/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
74-81
74
81
-7
64avg 81
H01/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
13-23
21-15
26-23
22-14
22-29
29-21
18-14
24-27
24-16
20-19
13-24
22-13
26-33
22-9
17-24
29-22
23-18
20-8
22-12
29-33
23-20
27-13
27-24
15-21
28-15
24-24
29-11
21-23
29-10
25-24
31-22
18-12
28-20
21-13
19-21
20-19
16-18
13-27
25-17
167.8Avg total
90.0Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)91.584.9176.4+6.568%
Season at home (16)91.387.2178.5+4.169%
Season away (15)91.682.5174.1+9.167%
Last 10 (10)90.077.8167.8+12.270%
Last 5 (5)93.677.4171.0+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.880.5158.2-2.850%
vs Similar (12)85.086.2171.2-1.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)92.982.0174.9+10.979%
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +3.5+3.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +3.5+3.5
HeidelbergUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HeidelbergLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A03/03
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H10/03
BBL
Rostock
#15
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H16/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A23/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H30/03
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A08/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A13/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H21/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A26/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A30/04
BBL
89.2Avg total
43.1Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.747.087.7-6.333%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.845.386.1-4.531%-
Last 30 away (17)40.648.388.9-7.635%-
Last 10 (10)43.146.189.2-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)43.047.890.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)39.146.085.1-6.924%-
vs Similar (8)47.647.495.0+0.262%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H05/03
Eurocup
Gottingen
#14
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H09/03
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A18/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H23/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A31/03
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H06/04
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A14/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H21/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A27/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H01/05
BBL
86.4Avg total
45.1Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.641.986.5+2.767%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.443.387.6+1.157%-
Last 30 away (16)44.840.685.4+4.275%-
Last 10 (10)45.141.386.4+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)45.438.283.6+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.538.578.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (12)43.642.986.5+0.758%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.941.988.9+5.079%-
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Heidelbergtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Heidelberg: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.3
50.5%
54.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.69.6
30.4%
35.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws22.617.8
78.8%
76.0%17.8
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.1
55.7%
54.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.510.9
34.6%
35.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws19.714.3
72.6%
76.0%14.3
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Heidelberg
LLWLWWLWWL
Ulm
LWWWWWWLWL
#16
League position
#5
-6.2
Net rating
+17.0
105.7
Offensive rating
119.7
111.9
Defensive rating
102.7
48.3%
Effective FG%
54.0%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
14.8%
Turnover %
14.9%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
37.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.4%
3-point %
34.6%
57.1%
Assist %
61.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 119.7Defence111.9 · 102.7Shooting48.3% · 54.0%3-point %30.4% · 34.6%Ball care14.8% · 14.9%Off. rebounds26.9% · 37.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Heidelberg   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Heidelberg wins
5
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
22/12/23Ulm v Heidelberg98-89
11/02/23Ulm v Heidelberg92-84
20/11/22Heidelberg v Ulm96-106 OT
12/04/22Ulm v Heidelberg90-74
27/12/21Heidelberg v Ulm79-84
Heidelberglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/24AAlba Berlin89-96
26/04/24ASyntainics MBC97-104
21/04/24HBayern89-82
13/04/24ALudwigsburg68-93
08/04/24AHamburg83-79
30/03/24HCrailsheim Merlins90-86
23/03/24AOldenburg77-99
16/03/24HRostock88-86
10/03/24HBonn92-87
03/03/24AGottingen91-94
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/24HBayern74-81
27/04/24ACrailsheim Merlins86-66
21/04/24HSyntainics MBC106-79
14/04/24ARostock96-71
06/04/24HBamberg106-90
31/03/24ALudwigsburg94-60
23/03/24HWurzburg87-79
18/03/24AVechta81-86
09/03/24HGottingen91-78
05/03/24HJoventut Badalona79-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Heidelberg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL26%
HomeLWWWW27%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %26%27%25%
Points / game83.382.783.9
Allowed / game94.494.194.6
Point differential-11.0-11.5-10.6
Avg total177.7176.8178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%0%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)60% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %6%7%6%
Ulm
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL68%
HomeWWWWL69%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %68%69%67%
Points / game91.591.391.6
Allowed / game84.987.282.5
Point differential+6.5+4.1+9.1
Avg total176.4178.5174.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%44%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %10%6%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern3025583%89.177.3+11.8
2 Alba Berlin3024680%91.482.2+9.2
3 Chemnitz3123874%89.579.6+9.9
4 Wurzburg3122971%86.879.7+7.1
5 Ulm31211068%91.584.9+6.5
6 Vechta31191261%89.082.7+6.3
7 Bonn31191261%90.285.8+4.4
8 Ludwigsburg31181358%88.682.5+6.1
9 Oldenburg32171553%85.483.6+1.8
10 Hamburg31151648%85.887.2-1.4
11 Basketball Braunschweig31141745%82.685.2-2.5
12 Bamberg32141844%88.590.1-1.6
13 Gottingen31102132%86.293.4-7.3
14 Rostock3192229%88.393.6-5.4
15 Syntainics MBC3192229%85.793.4-7.7
16 Heidelberg3182326%83.394.4-11.0
17 Crailsheim Merlins3272522%81.192.9-11.9
18 Tubingen3262619%82.595.5-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Heidelberg1714151157
Ulm2418181373
← all games of the day
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