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Trento vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 69-67
17-17 15-15 21-11 16-24
Position#16
Record3-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game88.1
Trento 🏆
vs
Position#11
Record3-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game73.8
EuropeEurocupRound 9· BLM Group Arena
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#17
W
93-92
93
92
+1
84avg 70
A25/10
Eurocup
Brescia
#3
W
90-82
90
82
+8
88avg 70
A28/10
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#15
W
101-96 OT
101
96
+5
96avg 70
H31/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#5
W
98-88
98
88
+10
102avg 70
H05/11
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
84-75
84
75
+9
73avg 70
A08/11
Eurocup
Sassari
#8
L
73-80
73
80
-7
64avg 70
A12/11
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
60-98
60
98
-38
47avg 70
H15/11
Eurocup
Brindisi
#15
W
81-71
81
71
+10
78avg 70
H18/11
Lega A
Buducnost
#13
L
96-98 OT
96
98
-2
86avg 70
A21/11
Eurocup
Tortona
#9
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
no box
A26/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
27-26
27-21
22-28
17-21
29-23
26-17
18-21
16-19
24-19
24-26
22-22
28-19
22-20
22-20
26-29
19-16
17-23
21-16
27-20
22-15
6-30
24-27
21-8
14-34
19-11
8-26
19-27
19-9
28-21
13-20
21-21
22-20
23-24
20-17
20-24
19-24
19-19
18-22
15-6
171.9Avg total
85.6Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.188.1169.2-7.038%
Season at home (4)76.590.0166.5-13.525%
Season away (4)85.886.2172.0-0.550%
Last 10 (10)85.686.3171.9-0.760%
Last 5 (5)78.086.0164.0-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.088.7163.7-13.717%
vs Similar ◀ (21)83.081.9164.8+1.157%
vs Weaker (3)79.371.0150.3+8.367%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
80-63
80
63
+17
70avg 65
A25/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#9
W
75-64
75
64
+11
69avg 65
H29/10
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
59-61
59
61
-2
49avg 65
H01/11
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
88-78
88
78
+10
83avg 65
A04/11
Basket League
Buducnost
#13
W
65-63
65
63
+2
57avg 65
A08/11
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
65-75
65
75
-10
58avg 65
H12/11
Basket League
JL Bourg
#2
L
65-72
65
72
-7
54avg 65
A14/11
Eurocup
PAOK
#10
L
76-82
76
82
-6
64avg 65
A18/11
Basket League
Ulm
#9
L
88-99 OT
88
99
-11
67avg 65
H22/11
Eurocup
Promitheas
#7
L
73-77
73
77
-4
61avg 65
H25/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
21-26
18-10
19-11
22-15
9-9
21-20
23-20
22-19
11-13
13-17
13-12
24-18
26-17
14-23
24-20
11-20
23-19
17-17
14-7
15-14
18-18
11-23
21-20
8-25
26-12
15-16
16-19
22-30
12-24
25-14
17-14
21-19
21-22
17-14
22-26
22-19
6-20
17-24
28-14
146.8Avg total
73.4Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)70.673.8144.4-3.138%
Season at home (4)70.277.0147.2-6.825%
Season away (4)71.070.5141.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)73.473.4146.8+0.040%
Last 5 (5)73.481.0154.4-7.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.481.4150.7-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.275.5153.8+2.867%
vs Weaker (6)81.571.7153.2+9.867%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +3.4+3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +3.4+3.4
TrentoAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#17
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A25/10
Eurocup
Brescia
#3
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A28/10
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#15
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H31/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#5
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H05/11
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A08/11
Eurocup
Sassari
#8
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A12/11
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H15/11
Eurocup
Brindisi
#15
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H18/11
Lega A
Buducnost
#13
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A21/11
Eurocup
Tortona
#9
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A26/11
Lega A
81.7Avg total
40.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.780.1-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.139.179.2+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)38.742.381.0-3.740%-
Last 10 (10)40.741.081.7-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.479.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.244.582.7-6.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)39.540.379.8-0.852%-
vs Weaker (3)41.036.077.0+5.067%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A25/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#9
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H29/10
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#4
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H01/11
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A04/11
Basket League
Buducnost
#13
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A08/11
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H12/11
Basket League
JL Bourg
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A14/11
Eurocup
PAOK
#10
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A18/11
Basket League
Ulm
#9
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H22/11
Eurocup
Promitheas
#7
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H25/11
Basket League
73.7Avg total
36.2Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.139.175.2-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.936.773.7+0.260%-
Last 30 away (15)35.341.476.7-6.120%-
Last 10 (10)36.237.573.7-1.360%-
Last 5 (5)34.240.674.8-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.540.272.6-7.727%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.638.976.5-1.350%-
vs Weaker (6)41.837.379.2+4.550%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.1
51.3%
54.0%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.012.1
37.8%
35.5%36.3
🏀 Free throws16.112.4
77.0%
74.5%12.4
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.5
50.3%
54.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.56.9
29.4%
35.5%20.7
🏀 Free throws20.014.9
74.5%
74.5%14.9
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
LLWLLWWWWW
Aris
LLLLLWWLWW
#16
League position
#11
-0.9
Net rating
+0.0
111.0
Offensive rating
99.4
111.9
Defensive rating
99.4
53.9%
Effective FG%
47.8%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
17.2%
Turnover %
19.3%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.8%
3-point %
29.4%
68.2%
Assist %
49.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 99.4Defence111.9 · 99.4Shooting53.9% · 47.8%3-point %37.8% · 29.4%Ball care17.2% · 19.3%Off. rebounds29.2% · 28.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Trento   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Trento wins
0
Aris wins
No previous meetings.
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23ATortona80-83 OT
21/11/23ABuducnost96-98 OT
18/11/23HBrindisi81-71
15/11/23HCluj-Napoca60-98
12/11/23ASassari73-80
08/11/23ASlask Wroclaw84-75
05/11/23HReggiana98-88
31/10/23HTurk Telekom101-96 OT
28/10/23ABrescia90-82
25/10/23ALietkabelis93-92
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23HPromitheas73-77
22/11/23HUlm88-99 OT
18/11/23APAOK76-82
14/11/23AJL Bourg65-72
12/11/23HPanathinaikos65-75
08/11/23ABuducnost65-63
04/11/23AKolossos Rhodes88-78
01/11/23HCluj-Napoca59-61
29/10/23HAEK Athens75-64
25/10/23ASlask Wroclaw80-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL38%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%25%50%
Points / game81.176.585.8
Allowed / game88.190.086.2
Point differential-7.0-13.5-0.5
Avg total169.2166.5172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %25%25%25%
Aris
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL38%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%25%50%
Points / game70.670.271.0
Allowed / game73.877.070.5
Point differential-3.1-6.8+0.5
Avg total144.4147.2141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gran Canaria880100%88.473.8+14.6
2 Paris98189%96.081.0+15.0
3 Cluj-Napoca97278%84.777.9+6.8
4 JL Bourg97278%84.278.6+5.7
5 London Lions97278%93.288.0+5.2
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv86275%95.887.8+8.0
7 Besiktas96367%78.173.4+4.7
8 Ulm96367%89.185.1+4.0
9 Prometey84450%85.187.9-2.8
10 BC Wolves84450%85.689.2-3.6
11 Venezia94544%81.880.2+1.6
12 Lietkabelis94544%85.789.2-3.6
13 Joventut Badalona83538%87.286.8+0.5
14 Buducnost83538%78.980.6-1.8
15 Aris83538%70.673.8-3.1
16 Trento83538%81.188.1-7.0
17 Slask Wroclaw91811%77.784.7-7.0
18 Turk Telekom91811%75.984.2-8.3
19 Hamburg91811%77.896.9-19.1
20 Cedevita Olimpija9090%81.090.2-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento1715211669
Aris1715112467
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