Trento vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 19:00

Projected 83-84

Projected total 167.0

Final 86-96

24-21 20-23 22-23 20-29

Position#27

Record2-4

FormLWLLL

Points / game81.5

Allowed / game87.8

Trento

44%

56%

■ TRE 44%■ TOF 56%

Pythia win probability

Tofas 🏆

Position#6

Record5-1

FormLWLWW

Points / game91.0

Allowed / game82.3

EurocupRound 7· BLM Group Arena

European cup2026

Meetings · Trento v Tofas

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Trento will host Tofas in the EuroCup on 10 November 2026, with the model favouring Tofas at 56% versus Trento's 44%. Trento has gone 2-4 this season, averaging 81.5 points and conceding 87.8, while Tofas is 5-1, scoring 91.0 and allowing 82.3, a stark contrast that underpins the model's edge. Trento's home form is 1-2, 85.0 points for and 91.3 against, and they have lost four of their last five, including a narrow 86-88 loss to Olimpia Milano, a 79-90 defeat to Basket Napoli, and a 62-88 home loss to Maxima Roma. Tofas, on the other hand, has won two of its last three road games, with a 93-87 win over Anadolu Efes and a 94-79 home victory over Neptunas, but fell 77-88 to Fenerbahce. Their head-to-head record is even, 1-1, though Trento last won 91-79 in 2017. The model projects a close 83-84 finish, with a total of 167 points, and a 46% chance that Trento will cover the 1.5-point line, while the over on 170.5 carries a 41% probability; a 5% chance of overtime is also noted.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winLost

43.6%fair 2.29

Best odds2.38

Implied41.1%

Edge+2.5pp

Tofas winWon

56.4%fair 1.77

Best odds1.68

Implied58.9%

Edge-2.5pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 07:05 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormTrento

Date

Competition

Slask Wroclaw

#31

81-94

-13

80avg 75

H06/10

Eurocup

Udine

74-66

71avg 75

A10/10

Lega A

Chemnitz

#13

80-88

-8

75avg 75

H13/10

Eurocup

Varese

87-85

83avg 75

H18/10

Lega A

JL Bourg

#24

79-90

-11

70avg 75

A21/10

Eurocup

Scafati

#15

81-87

-6

69avg 75

A24/10

Lega A

Buducnost

#10

94-92

88avg 75

H27/10

Eurocup

Maxima Roma

62-88

-26

51avg 75

H01/11

Lega A

Basket Napoli

79-90

-11

no box

A03/11

Eurocup

Olimpia Milano

86-88

-2

no box

A08/11

Lega A

22-28

13-22

26-19

20-25

23-21

15-12

16-17

20-16

17-19

17-18

24-18

22-33

23-17

26-24

23-21

15-23

24-19

21-34

15-22

19-15

26-22

19-16

19-24

17-25

23-16

24-34

20-17

27-25

10-13

16-15

17-22

19-38

21-24

18-13

15-28

25-25

28-26

20-30

22-19

16-13

167.1Avg total

80.3Scored

86.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	81.5	87.8	169.3	-6.3	33%
Season at home (3)	85.0	91.3	176.3	-6.3	33%
Season away (3)	78.0	84.3	162.3	-6.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	80.3	86.8	167.1	-6.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	80.4	89.0	169.4	-8.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	82.9	87.4	170.3	-4.4	36%
vs Similar (13)	82.8	85.5	168.4	-2.7	46%
vs Weaker (3)	89.3	98.0	187.3	-8.7	0%

This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TofasLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormTofas

Date

Competition

JL Bourg

#24

89-82

81avg 78

A06/10

Eurocup

Esenler Erokspor

79-87

-8

63avg 78

H10/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Buducnost

#10

90-85

78avg 78

H14/10

Eurocup

Korfez Basket

#12

71-69

38avg 78

A17/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Basket Napoli

101-105 OT

101

105

-4

89avg 78

A21/10

Eurocup

Petkim Spor

72-74

-2

67avg 78

H25/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Slask Wroclaw

#31

90-74

+16

91avg 78

A28/10

Eurocup

Fenerbahce

77-88

-11

70avg 78

A01/11

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Neptunas

#26

94-79

+15

no box

H03/11

Eurocup

Anadolu Efes

93-87

no box

A08/11

Basketbol Süper Ligi

18-21

31-19

18-24

22-18

17-29

17-19

25-11

20-28

22-25

30-19

19-20

19-21

19-20

7-15

15-19

30-15

20-29

22-24

24-20

27-20

21-14

19-24

19-14

13-22

22-24

33-14

15-22

20-14

21-25

22-22

16-23

18-18

19-29

24-20

24-10

27-20

21-21

25-17

21-31

26-18

168.6Avg total

85.6Scored

83.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	91.0	82.3	173.3	+8.7	83%
Season at home (3)	88.7	77.7	166.3	+11.0	100%
Season away (3)	93.3	87.0	180.3	+6.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	85.6	83.0	168.6	+2.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	80.4	165.6	+4.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	80.9	88.4	169.3	-7.6	11%
vs Similar (11)	83.5	89.8	173.4	-6.3	18%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	90.1	83.0	173.1	+7.1	90%

This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

Pythia expects about 167 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 165-169 (12%). The market's main line is 172.75.

Over/Under 167.5Actual: Over 167.5

Over 167.5

48.1%

@ 1.48-15.0pp

Under 167.5

51.9%

@ 2.55+15.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.48

Betano

1.47

Bet365

1.47

Under

Bet365

2.55

Betano

2.47

Over/Under 172.75 · main lineActual: Over 172.75

Over 172.75

36.4%

@ 1.79-13.9pp

Under 172.75

63.6%

@ 1.81+13.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.79

Under

1xBet

1.81

Over/Under 177.5Actual: Over 177.5

Over 177.5

26.1%

@ 2.30-14.4pp

Under 177.5

73.9%

@ 1.57+14.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.30

Bet365

2.25

Under

Bet365

1.57

Betano

1.53

Marathon Be

1.53

📊 3. Team Totals

Trento total 80.5Actual: Trento over 80.5

Over 80.5

57.1%

@ 1.41-8.0pp

Under 80.5

42.9%

@ 2.70+8.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.41

Betano

1.39

1xBet

1.36

Under

Bet365

2.70

Betano

2.60

1xBet

2.48

Trento total 84.5 · main lineActual: Trento over 84.5

Over 84.5

42.5%

@ 1.83-9.1pp

Under 84.5

57.5%

@ 1.95+9.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.80

Betano

1.78

Marathon Be

1.77

1xBet

1.67

Under

BetVictor

1.95

Betano

1.90

Marathon Be

1.87

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.78

Trento total 88.5Actual: Trento under 88.5

Over 88.5

29.0%

@ 2.40-9.6pp

Under 88.5

71.0%

@ 1.52+9.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.40

Betano

2.35

1xBet

2.26

Under

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.42

Tofas total 82.5Actual: Tofas over 82.5

Over 82.5

57.3%

@ 1.41-10.2pp

Under 82.5

42.7%

@ 2.85+10.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.41

Betano

1.33

1xBet

1.31

Under

Betano

2.85

1xBet

2.73

Bet365

2.70

Tofas total 86.5 · main lineActual: Tofas over 86.5

Over 86.5

42.2%

@ 1.83-9.8pp

Under 86.5

57.8%

@ 2.07+9.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.80

Marathon Be

1.75

Betano

1.65

1xBet

1.58

Under

Betano

2.07

BetVictor

1.95

1xBet

1.91

Marathon Be

1.90

Bet365

1.83

Tofas total 90.5Actual: Tofas over 90.5

Over 90.5

28.2%

@ 2.35-13.4pp

Under 90.5

71.8%

@ 1.57+13.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.35

Betano

2.20

1xBet

2.08

Under

Betano

1.57

Bet365

1.54

1xBet

1.49

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

Margin from Trento's side (positive = Trento win). Pythia's expected margin is -1.9; Trento win by 1+ in 38% of simulations.

Spread Trento 0Actual: Tofas 0

TRE 0

43.6%

TOF 0

56.4%

Best 5 market prices

TRE

No market prices yet.

TOF

No market prices yet.

Spread Trento +3 · main lineActual: Tofas -3

TRE +3

52.0%

@ 1.93+2.6pp

TOF -3

48.0%

@ 1.88-2.6pp

Best 5 market prices

TRE

Pinnacle

1.93

Bet365

1.86

Marathon Be

1.85

1xBet

1.83

TOF

Pinnacle

1.88

1xBet

1.83

Bet365

1.80

Marathon Be

1.80

Spread Trento +6Actual: Tofas -6

TRE +6

62.6%

@ 1.57+2.1pp

TOF -6

37.4%

@ 2.39-2.1pp

Best 5 market prices

TRE

Bet365

1.57

Marathon Be

1.56

Pinnacle

1.56

TOF

Pinnacle

2.39

Bet365

2.25

Marathon Be

2.15

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TrentoTofas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	22.1	20.9	43.1	+1.2	53%	53%
Last 30 at home (12)	19.9	21.2	41.1	-1.2	33%	33%
Last 30 away (18)	23.6	20.8	44.4	+2.8	67%	67%
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.5	42.2	+1.2	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.2	41.8	+1.4	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	21.5	21.2	42.7	+0.3	43%	50%
vs Similar (13)	22.5	19.9	42.5	+2.6	62%	54%
vs Weaker (3)	23.3	24.0	47.3	-0.7	67%	67%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	21.0	22.4	43.4	-1.4	30%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	23.3	44.5	-2.1	40%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	21.5	42.3	-0.7	20%	47%
Last 10 (10)	20.0	23.7	43.7	-3.7	10%	60%
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.6	43.4	-1.8	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.1	22.0	42.1	-1.9	11%	44%
vs Similar (11)	21.7	24.2	45.9	-2.5	36%	64%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.0	20.7	41.7	+0.3	40%	50%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	18.9	23.7	42.6	-4.8	27%	47%
Last 30 at home (12)	18.9	23.0	41.9	-4.1	33%	42%
Last 30 away (18)	18.9	24.1	43.0	-5.2	22%	50%
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.8	40.7	-2.9	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.6	41.0	-2.2	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.1	22.9	41.9	-3.8	29%	50%
vs Similar (13)	18.5	24.2	42.6	-5.7	23%	46%
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	25.3	45.3	-5.3	33%	33%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	22.0	22.0	44.0	-0.1	43%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	22.7	44.0	-1.3	40%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	22.6	21.4	44.0	+1.2	47%	47%
Last 10 (10)	23.0	19.3	42.3	+3.7	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	24.6	19.4	44.0	+5.2	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	22.4	21.7	44.1	+0.8	44%	33%
vs Similar (11)	17.9	22.9	40.8	-5.0	18%	36%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	26.0	21.4	47.4	+4.6	70%	80%

TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Slask Wroclaw

#31

35-50

-15

H06/10

Eurocup

Udine

38-33

A10/10

Lega A

Chemnitz

#13

34-37

-3

H13/10

Eurocup

Varese

49-41

H18/10

Lega A

JL Bourg

#24

45-53

-8

A21/10

Eurocup

Scafati

#15

45-38

A24/10

Lega A

Buducnost

#10

47-50

-3

H27/10

Eurocup

Maxima Roma

26-28

-2

H01/11

Lega A

Basket Napoli

39-37

A03/11

Eurocup

Olimpia Milano

48-56

-8

A08/11

Lega A

82.9Avg total

40.6Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 86.75
Last 30 (30)	41.0	44.6	85.6	-3.6	33%	53%
Last 30 at home (12)	38.8	44.2	83.0	-5.3	25%	42%
Last 30 away (18)	42.5	44.9	87.4	-2.4	39%	61%
Last 10 (10)	40.6	42.3	82.9	-1.7	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	41.0	41.8	82.8	-0.8	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	40.6	44.1	84.6	-3.5	29%	50%
vs Similar (13)	41.0	44.1	85.1	-3.1	38%	54%
vs Weaker (3)	43.3	49.3	92.7	-6.0	33%	67%

This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

JL Bourg

#24

49-40

A06/10

Eurocup

Esenler Erokspor

34-48

-14

H10/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Buducnost

#10

52-44

H14/10

Eurocup

Korfez Basket

#12

26-35

-9

A17/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Basket Napoli

42-53

-11

A21/10

Eurocup

Petkim Spor

40-38

H25/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Slask Wroclaw

#31

55-38

+17

A28/10

Eurocup

Fenerbahce

43-47

-4

A01/11

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Neptunas

#26

43-49

-6

H03/11

Eurocup

Anadolu Efes

46-38

A08/11

Basketbol Süper Ligi

86.0Avg total

43.0Scored

43.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 86.75
Last 30 (30)	43.0	44.4	87.4	-1.4	43%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	45.9	88.5	-3.4	40%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	43.4	42.9	86.3	+0.5	47%	60%
Last 10 (10)	43.0	43.0	86.0	+0.0	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	45.4	42.0	87.4	+3.4	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	42.6	43.7	86.2	-1.1	44%	56%
vs Similar (11)	39.6	47.1	86.7	-7.5	18%	45%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	47.0	42.1	89.1	+4.9	70%	70%

This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Tofas win

TRE win

46.8%

@ 2.24+4.2pp

TOF win

53.2%

@ 1.67-4.2pp

1st half Spread Trento +0.5 · main lineActual: Trento +0.5

TRE +0.5

49.1%

@ 1.95-0.2pp

TOF -0.5

50.9%

@ 1.85+0.2pp

1st half Over/Under 86.75 · main lineActual: Over 86.75

Over

39.0%

@ 1.80-11.1pp

Under

61.0%

@ 1.81+11.1pp

Trento 1st half total 42.5 · main lineActual: Trento over 42.5

Over

44.0%

@ 1.86-6.7pp

Under

56.0%

@ 1.88+6.7pp

Tofas 1st half total 43.5 · main lineActual: Tofas over 43.5

Over

42.5%

@ 1.81-8.2pp

Under

57.5%

@ 1.98+8.2pp

1st half: TRE + total 86.5

TRE & over

18.0%

@ 4.50-1.4pp

TRE & under

26.8%

@ 4.25+6.3pp

1st half: Draw + total 86.5

Draw & over

1.5%

@ 26.00-1.9pp

Draw & under

2.9%

@ 26.00-0.5pp

1st half: TOF + total 86.5

TOF & over

19.6%

@ 3.35-6.5pp

TOF & under

31.3%

@ 3.20+4.1pp

1st half Over/Under 85.5Actual: Over 85.5

Over

42.7%

@ 1.85-8.8pp

Under

57.3%

@ 2.00+8.8pp

1st half Spread Trento +1.5Actual: Trento +1.5

TRE +1.5

53.3%

@ 1.90+3.1pp

TOF -1.5

46.7%

@ 1.92-3.1pp

1st half Over/Under 88.5Actual: Under 88.5

Over

31.6%

@ 2.20-11.2pp

Under

68.4%

@ 1.62+11.2pp

1st half Spread Trento -1Actual: Tofas +1

TRE -1

42.3%

@ 2.54+5.0pp

TOF +1

57.7%

@ 1.51-5.0pp

1st half Over/Under 84.25Actual: Over 84.25

Over

46.6%

@ 1.72-5.8pp

Under

53.4%

@ 1.90+5.8pp

1st half Spread Trento +2.5Actual: Trento +2.5

TRE +2.5

57.4%

@ 1.76+3.2pp

TOF -2.5

42.6%

@ 2.20-3.2pp

1st half Over/Under 90.5Actual: Under 90.5

Over

25.2%

@ 2.62-13.3pp

Under

74.8%

@ 1.60+13.3pp

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Tofas (regulation)

TRE

44.8%

@ 2.25+3.2pp

Draw

4.3%

@ 18.00-1.3pp

TOF

50.9%

@ 1.78-1.6pp

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	57%	37%
Last 30 at home (12)	22.9	20.4	43.3	+2.5	75%	42%
Last 30 away (18)	19.3	20.4	39.7	-1.1	44%	33%
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.7	40.4	-1.0	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	18.6	22.0	40.6	-3.4	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.9	19.8	40.6	+1.1	64%	29%
vs Similar (13)	20.2	20.7	40.8	-0.5	54%	38%
vs Weaker (3)	23.0	22.0	45.0	+1.0	33%	67%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.0	39.7	-0.3	47%	37%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	17.0	37.3	+3.3	73%	27%
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	23.1	42.1	-4.0	20%	47%
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	40%	20%
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.7	20.8	39.4	-2.1	33%	33%
vs Similar (11)	21.7	18.4	40.1	+3.4	73%	45%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	18.4	21.2	39.6	-2.8	30%	30%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.75
Last 30 (30)	21.1	22.0	43.1	-0.9	43%	50%
Last 30 at home (12)	22.4	23.2	45.7	-0.8	42%	58%
Last 30 away (18)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.0	44%	44%
Last 10 (10)	20.0	23.8	43.8	-3.8	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.8	25.2	46.0	-4.4	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	21.5	23.5	45.0	-2.0	43%	57%
vs Similar (13)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.6	46%	38%
vs Weaker (3)	21.0	23.7	44.7	-2.7	33%	67%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.75
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.4	42.6	-0.3	43%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	21.6	41.5	-1.7	33%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	21.3	43.7	+1.2	53%	60%
Last 10 (10)	22.2	19.4	41.6	+2.8	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.4	39.2	+2.4	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.2	22.2	40.4	-4.0	22%	33%
vs Similar (11)	21.5	23.3	44.7	-1.8	18%	64%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	23.5	18.7	42.2	+4.8	90%	50%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 85
Last 30 (30)	41.9	42.4	84.3	-0.6	53%	50%
Last 30 at home (12)	45.3	43.7	89.0	+1.7	67%	67%
Last 30 away (18)	39.6	41.6	81.2	-2.1	44%	39%
Last 10 (10)	39.7	44.5	84.2	-4.8	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	39.4	47.2	86.6	-7.8	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	42.4	43.3	85.6	-0.9	57%	57%
vs Similar (13)	40.8	40.8	81.6	+0.1	54%	38%
vs Weaker (3)	44.0	45.7	89.7	-1.7	33%	67%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 85
Last 30 (30)	40.9	41.5	82.3	-0.6	30%	33%
Last 30 at home (15)	40.2	38.6	78.8	+1.6	40%	27%
Last 30 away (15)	41.5	44.3	85.9	-2.8	20%	40%
Last 10 (10)	41.8	38.8	80.6	+3.0	40%	20%
Last 5 (5)	39.8	38.4	78.2	+1.4	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	36.9	43.0	79.9	-6.1	11%	22%
vs Similar (11)	43.2	41.6	84.8	+1.5	45%	45%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	41.9	39.9	81.8	+2.0	30%	30%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

TRE win + total 172.5

🔒 Pro

TOF win + total 172.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: TRE leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: TOF leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (TRE:TOF): TRE wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 184.5	85.1%	1.35	Betano 1.35	-	-	-	-	+16.9pp	Won
Under 178	75.3%	1.53	Bet365 1.55	Marathon Bet 1.51	-	-	-	+15.5pp	Lost
Under 176.5	71.9%	1.61	Bet365 1.64	Betano 1.60	Marathon Bet 1.59	-	-	+15.5pp	Lost
Under 177	73.3%	1.58	Bet365 1.60	Marathon Bet 1.56	-	-	-	+15.4pp	Lost
Under 176	71.4%	1.65	Pinnacle 1.69	Bet365 1.66	Marathon Bet 1.61	-	-	+14.9pp	Lost
Under 180	78.8%	1.45	Bet365 1.45	-	-	-	-	+14.6pp	Lost
Under 179	77.1%	1.49	Bet365 1.50	Marathon Bet 1.48	-	-	-	+14.6pp	Lost
Under 181	80.5%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	-	+14.5pp	Lost
Under 177.5	73.9%	1.54	Bet365 1.57	Betano 1.53	Marathon Bet 1.53	-	-	+14.4pp	Lost
Under 178.5	75.7%	1.49	Bet365 1.52	Marathon Bet 1.49	Betano 1.47	-	-	+13.9pp	Lost
Under 179.5	77.5%	1.46	Bet365 1.47	Marathon Bet 1.46	Betano 1.44	-	-	+13.7pp	Lost
Tofas under 97.5	89.9%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+13.7pp	Won
Under 180.5	79.2%	1.41	Bet365 1.43	Betano 1.39	-	-	-	+13.5pp	Lost
Tofas under 90.5	71.8%	1.53	Betano 1.57	Bet365 1.54	1xBet 1.49	-	-	+13.4pp	Lost
Tofas under 91.5	74.9%	1.48	Bet365 1.54	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.42	-	-	+13.3pp	Lost
1st half: Under 90.5	74.8%	1.52	Betano 1.60	Bet365 1.44	-	-	-	+13.3pp	Won
Under 181.5	80.8%	1.36	Bet365 1.38	Betano 1.35	-	-	-	+13.1pp	Lost
Tofas under 92.5	77.8%	1.39	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.36	-	-	+13.0pp	Lost
Tofas under 93.5	80.5%	1.35	Bet365 1.40	Betano 1.34	1xBet 1.31	-	-	+12.9pp	Lost
Trento under 93.5	84.2%	1.28	Betano 1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	+12.8pp	Won
Tofas under 95.5	85.2%	1.26	Bet365 1.29	Betano 1.23	-	-	-	+12.6pp	Lost
Tofas under 99.5	92.9%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+12.4pp	Won
Under 183.5	83.7%	1.29	Bet365 1.31	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	+12.2pp	Won
Tofas under 94.5	83.0%	1.28	Bet365 1.29	Betano 1.28	1xBet 1.27	-	-	+12.2pp	Lost
1st half: Under 91.5	77.7%	1.43	Betano 1.52	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	+12.0pp	Won
Under 182.5	82.3%	1.31	Betano 1.31	-	-	-	-	+12.0pp	Won
Under 185.5	86.4%	1.25	Betano 1.31	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	+11.8pp	Won
2nd half: Tofas under 47.5	78.1%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+11.3pp	Lost
1st half: Tofas under 46.5	73.6%	1.42	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	-	+11.3pp	Won
Tofas under 96.5	87.3%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+11.1pp	Won
Q3: Under 44.5	70.7%	1.47	1xBet 1.47	-	-	-	-	+11.1pp	Lost
Tofas under 98.5	91.5%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+11.0pp	Won
2nd half: Tofas under 46.5	73.7%	1.39	1xBet 1.39	-	-	-	-	+11.0pp	Lost
Trento under 94.5	86.3%	1.22	Betano 1.24	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	+10.9pp	Won
1st half: Trento under 47.5	80.3%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+10.8pp	Won
Under 188.5	89.7%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+10.8pp	Won
1st half: Trento under 45.5	71.3%	1.48	Betano 1.55	1xBet 1.42	-	-	-	+10.7pp	Won
Q1: Under 47.5	78.2%	1.37	Bet365 1.37	-	-	-	-	+10.7pp	Won
Trento under 95.5	88.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+10.4pp	Won
Trento under 91.5	79.5%	1.31	Bet365 1.38	Betano 1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	+10.3pp	Won
1st half: Tofas under 47.5	78.1%	1.33	Bet365 1.34	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	+10.2pp	Won
Tofas under 101.5	95.2%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+10.1pp	Won
Q3: Tofas under 24.5	77.7%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+10.1pp	Won
1st half: Under 92.5	80.5%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+10.1pp	Won
Q4: Trento under 24.5	77.6%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+10.1pp	Won
Trento under 97.5	91.3%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
1st half: Under 94.5	85.2%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
1st half: Under 89.5	71.7%	1.49	Betano 1.53	Bet365 1.45	-	-	-	+9.8pp	Won
Q1: Tofas under 25.5	81.6%	1.25	Bet365 1.27	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	+9.7pp	Won
1st half: Under 96.5	89.2%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+9.7pp	Won
1st half: Tofas under 48.5	82.3%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	+9.6pp	Won
Q3: Tofas under 23.5	71.6%	1.41	1xBet 1.41	-	-	-	-	+9.6pp	Won
Trento under 88.5	71.0%	1.47	Bet365 1.52	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.42	-	-	+9.6pp	Won
1st half: Tofas under 49.5	85.7%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+9.5pp	Won
Trento under 89.5	74.0%	1.43	Bet365 1.52	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.36	-	-	+9.5pp	Won
1st half: Trento under 46.5	76.0%	1.35	Bet365 1.37	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	+9.4pp	Won
2nd half: Trento under 46.5	79.2%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+9.4pp	Won
Q1: Under 49.5	85.5%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+9.4pp	Won
Trento under 90.5	76.8%	1.34	Bet365 1.38	Betano 1.34	1xBet 1.31	-	-	+9.4pp	Won
Tofas under 103.5	96.8%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+9.3pp	Won
Trento under 92.5	82.0%	1.25	Bet365 1.27	Betano 1.24	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Won
Tofas under 100.5	94.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+9.0pp	Won
Q1: Tofas under 24.5	75.7%	1.34	Betano 1.38	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	+9.0pp	Won
Q1: Trento under 24.5	76.5%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+8.9pp	Won
Q2: Tofas under 24.5	75.0%	1.33	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
Under 186.5	87.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
Tofas under 102.5	96.2%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
1st half: Trento under 48.5	84.0%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
Tofas under 105.5	97.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
Trento under 96.5	89.8%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Won
Q4: Trento under 23.5	71.1%	1.39	1xBet 1.39	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Won
2nd half: Trento under 45.5	75.2%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Won
Trento under 99.5	93.8%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Won
Under 193.5	93.8%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
1st half: Tofas under 51.5	91.3%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Q1: Tofas under 27.5	90.5%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Tofas under 104.5	97.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
Tofas under 107.5	98.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
1st half: Under 95.5	87.4%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Won
Trento under 103.5	97.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Won
2nd half: Trento under 44.5	70.8%	1.39	1xBet 1.39	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
Trento under 101.5	95.8%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
1st half: Under 93.5	83.1%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
Tofas under 109.5	99.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Under 198.5	96.6%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
2nd half: Trento +8.5	77.0%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Lost
Tofas under 106.5	98.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Q4: Tofas +4.5	75.8%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
1st half: Tofas under 50.5	88.9%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
1st half: Trento under 50.5	89.7%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
2nd half: Trento +7.5	73.8%	1.34	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Lost
Trento under 98.5	92.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Q4: Tofas under 24.5	73.3%	1.33	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Lost
Q3: Trento under 23.5	74.6%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Q1: Tofas under 29.5	95.7%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
2nd half: Trento +6.5	70.5%	1.40	1xBet 1.40	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Lost
Trento under 105.5	98.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
1st half: Tofas under 53.5	94.9%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Trento under 102.5	96.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Q1: Under 46.5	73.8%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Q1: Trento under 25.5	82.1%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Under 191.5	92.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Q1: Under 48.5	82.1%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Tofas under 108.5	99.0%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Q4: Trento +5.5	74.7%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Lost
Q1: Trento +5.5	77.4%	1.24	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
1st half: Trento under 52.5	93.8%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Trento under 104.5	97.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Trento under 107.5	98.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Q1: Tofas under 31.5	98.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
1st half: Tofas under 52.5	93.2%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Trento under 100.5	94.9%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Under 196.5	95.5%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Trento +14.5	84.4%	1.18	Betano 1.18	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Trento under 106.5	98.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
2nd half: Tofas +5.5	75.1%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Q1: Trento under 29.5	95.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Q1: Trento under 27.5	90.6%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Q1: Trento under 31.5	98.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Under 190.5	91.5%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Q4: Trento +4.5	70.3%	1.38	1xBet 1.38	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Lost
Under 195.5	94.9%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Q2: Trento under 23.5	71.9%	1.33	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Trento +12.5	80.3%	1.23	Betano 1.23	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Trento +23.5	95.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Q1: Tofas +4.5	74.7%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Tofas over 64.5	97.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Tofas over 65.5	96.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Trento +28.5	98.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Trento +13.5	82.5%	1.19	Betano 1.20	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Trento +10.5	75.5%	1.30	Betano 1.31	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Q4: Tofas +3.5	71.6%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Tofas +18.5	94.4%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Q1: Trento over 11.5	96.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Trento +9	72.1%	1.36	Bet365 1.36	Marathon Bet 1.36	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Lost
Trento +10	74.9%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Push
Tofas over 66.5	96.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Trento +8.5	70.0%	1.38	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.40	Marathon Bet 1.40	1xBet 1.30	-	+3.8pp	Lost
Q1: Trento or Tofas	94.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	-
Trento +26.5	97.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Q1: Tofas over 11.5	97.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Tofas +23.5	97.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Tofas +10.5	84.0%	1.15	Betano 1.15	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Trento over 63.5	96.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Trento +18.5	90.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Trento +9.5	72.9%	1.33	Betano 1.36	Marathon Bet 1.35	Bet365 1.34	1xBet 1.27	-	+3.4pp	Lost
Trento over 64.5	95.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Trento +21.5	93.7%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Q1: Tofas over 13.5	93.5%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
1st half: Tofas +4.5	70.9%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Q1: Trento +4.5	73.1%	1.33	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.31	1xBet 1.27	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
1st half: Tofas over 32.5	91.7%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Tofas +13.5	89.0%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Q1: Trento over 13.5	93.0%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Q1: Trento +6.5	81.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Tofas +21.5	96.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Overtime: no	95.0%	1.02	Betano 1.03	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	+2.7pp	-
Q2: Trento or Tofas	94.5%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	-
Q2: Trento over 17.5	72.6%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Q1: Tofas +3.5	70.1%	1.35	1xBet 1.35	Bet365 1.34	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Tofas over 67.5	94.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Tofas over 68.5	93.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Tofas +16.5	92.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Trento +11.5	78.0%	1.23	Betano 1.27	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Won
Tofas +6	74.0%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
2nd half: Tofas +4.5	71.7%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Trento over 65.5	94.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
1st half: Trento +6.5	73.0%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Trento over 66.5	93.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
1st half: Trento +10.5	85.0%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
1st half: Tofas over 34.5	86.3%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
1st half: Tofas +9.5	85.7%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
1st half: Trento +8.5	79.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
1st half: Tofas +7.5	80.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
1st half: Tofas over 33.5	89.3%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Tofas over 69.5	92.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Tofas +8.5	79.7%	1.19	Bet365 1.20	Betano 1.17	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
Tofas over 70.5	90.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
1st half: Tofas +5.5	74.2%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Q1: Tofas +5.5	79.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
1st half: Over 74.5	80.8%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Trento over 68.5	90.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Tofas +9.5	81.9%	1.14	Betano 1.14	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
1st half: Trento over 32.5	89.2%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
1st half: Tofas over 35.5	83.2%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
Tofas +7.5	77.3%	1.20	Betano 1.20	-	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Won
Trento over 67.5	92.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Won
Q1: Trento over 15.5	86.2%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
Trento +16.5	87.8%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
Over 145.5	90.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+0.4pp	Won
1st half: Tofas over 36.5	79.2%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+0.3pp	Won
Q1: Over 36.5	77.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+0.2pp	Won
Q1: Tofas over 15.5	86.7%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Tofas over 71.5	89.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-0.2pp	Won
Tofas over 72.5	87.3%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-0.2pp	Won
Tofas +11.5	85.8%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-0.3pp	Won
1st half: Trento over 34.5	83.5%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-0.3pp	Won
Trento over 69.5	88.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-0.5pp	Won
Over 146.5	88.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-0.7pp	Won
1st half: Tofas over 38.5	70.0%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	-0.9pp	Won
1st half: Tofas over 37.5	74.9%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-1.2pp	Won
Q1: Trento over 17.5	74.9%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-1.3pp	Won
Trento over 70.5	86.6%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-1.4pp	Won
Tofas +6.5	74.7%	1.22	Betano 1.24	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-1.4pp	Won
Q1: Tofas over 17.5	76.4%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-1.4pp	Won
1st half: Over 75.5	77.9%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-1.6pp	Won
Tofas +5.5	71.9%	1.27	Betano 1.28	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-1.7pp	Won
1st half: Trento over 36.5	75.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-2.0pp	Won
Tofas over 74.5	82.9%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-2.2pp	Won
Tofas over 73.5	85.2%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-2.3pp	Won
1st half: Over 77.5	72.0%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	-2.8pp	Won
Trento over 72.5	82.2%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-2.9pp	Won
Tofas over 76.5	77.6%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-2.9pp	Won
Trento over 71.5	84.5%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-3.0pp	Won
Over 150.5	83.6%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-3.0pp	Won
Over 148.5	86.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-3.2pp	Won
Tofas over 78.5	71.5%	1.23	Betano 1.23	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-3.3pp	Won
Tofas +5	71.0%	1.27	Marathon Bet 1.28	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-3.3pp	Won
Trento over 74.5	76.9%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-3.6pp	Won
1st half: Over 76.5	75.0%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-3.9pp	Won
Q1: Over 37.5	73.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-4.4pp	Won
Over 155.5	75.0%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-4.5pp	Won
Over 151.5	82.0%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-4.6pp	Won
Tofas over 75.5	80.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-4.7pp	Won
Trento over 76.5	70.9%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-5.3pp	Won
Trento over 73.5	79.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-5.4pp	Won
Tofas over 77.5	74.6%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-5.9pp	Won
Over 156.5	73.0%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-6.5pp	Won
Trento over 75.5	74.0%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-6.5pp	Won
Over 153.5	78.7%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-7.4pp	Won

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 80.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀42%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	17.0	48.2%	54.0%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.3	10.4	33.2%	34.0%	31.2
🏀 Free throws	20.2	15.1	74.8%	75.6%	15.1

They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 80.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	22.2	58.1%	54.0%	44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.6	6.9	29.2%	34.0%	20.7
🏀 Free throws	19.7	15.1	76.6%	75.6%	15.1

They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.8	19.9	48.8%	54.0%	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.4	9.3	35.2%	34.0%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	24.2	17.4	71.9%	75.6%	17.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.9	16.9	48.4%	54.0%	33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.5	10.2	37.1%	34.0%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	23.4	17.0	72.6%	75.6%	17.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.8	19.1	53.4%	54.0%	38.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.8	9.8	34.0%	34.0%	29.3
🏀 Free throws	17.8	13.8	77.5%	75.6%	13.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	21.5	58.6%	54.0%	43.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	7.5	31.1%	34.0%	22.4
🏀 Free throws	22.5	17.2	76.7%	75.6%	17.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.7	19.0	53.2%	54.0%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	9.7	34.4%	34.0%	29.2
🏀 Free throws	22.1	16.2	73.4%	75.6%	16.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	18.8	52.1%	54.0%	37.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.6	11.2	37.8%	34.0%	33.6
🏀 Free throws	20.4	15.3	74.9%	75.6%	15.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Trento

LLLWLLWLWL

Tofas

WWLWLLWWLW

#27

League position

-5.3

Net rating

-1.4

87.9

Offensive rating

92.8

93.1

Defensive rating

94.2

48.9%

Effective FG%

52.7%

50.4%

Opp. effective FG%

51.6%

17.4%

Turnover %

17.6%

0.30

Free-throw rate

0.32

33.2%

3-point %

29.2%

66.8%

Assist %

59.8%

30%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Trento ■ Tofas

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Trento wins

Tofas wins

Date	Game	Score
13/12/17	Tofas v Trento	79-91
25/10/17	Trento v Tofas	88-91

Trentolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/26	A	Olimpia Milano	86-88
03/11/26	A	Basket Napoli	79-90
01/11/26	H	Maxima Roma	62-88
27/10/26	H	Buducnost	94-92
24/10/26	A	Scafati	81-87
21/10/26	A	JL Bourg	79-90
18/10/26	H	Varese	87-85
13/10/26	H	Chemnitz	80-88
10/10/26	A	Udine	74-66
06/10/26	H	Slask Wroclaw	81-94

Tofaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/26	A	Anadolu Efes	93-87
03/11/26	H	Neptunas	94-79
01/11/26	A	Fenerbahce	77-88
28/10/26	A	Slask Wroclaw	90-74
25/10/26	H	Petkim Spor	72-74
21/10/26	A	Basket Napoli	101-105 OT
17/10/26	A	Korfez Basket	71-69
14/10/26	H	Buducnost	90-85
10/10/26	H	Esenler Erokspor	79-87
06/10/26	A	JL Bourg	89-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento

Eurocup 2026

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	33%
Home	LLW	33%
Away	WLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	33%	33%	33%
Points / game	81.5	85.0	78.0
Allowed / game	87.8	91.3	84.3
Point differential	-6.3	-6.3	-6.3
Avg total	169.3	176.3	162.3
Over 172.75	33%	67%	0%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Tofas

Eurocup 2026

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	83%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	83%	100%	67%
Points / game	91.0	88.7	93.3
Allowed / game	82.3	77.7	87.0
Point differential	+8.7	+11.0	+6.3
Avg total	173.3	166.3	180.3
Over 172.75	50%	67%	33%
Win by 10+	50%	67%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	17%	0%	33%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Hapoel Jerusalem	6	6	0	100%	88.0	73.5	+14.5
2	Basket Napoli	6	6	0	100%	92.0	83.0	+9.0
3	Bahcesehir Kol.	6	5	1	83%	91.5	79.2	+12.3
4	Tenerife	6	5	1	83%	92.3	80.3	+12.0
5	Aris	6	5	1	83%	88.2	76.3	+11.8
6	Tofas	6	5	1	83%	91.0	82.3	+8.7
7	PAOK	7	5	2	71%	87.7	82.0	+5.7
8	Chemnitz	6	4	2	67%	87.5	81.0	+6.5
9	Manresa	6	4	2	67%	88.5	83.5	+5.0
10	Buducnost	7	4	3	57%	88.4	84.4	+4.0
11	Venezia	6	3	3	50%	88.0	80.7	+7.3
12	London Lions	6	3	3	50%	81.3	75.2	+6.2
13	Le Mans	6	3	3	50%	79.5	77.8	+1.7
14	Ulm	6	3	3	50%	89.2	88.2	+1.0
15	Maxima Roma	6	3	3	50%	84.3	84.0	+0.3
16	Tortona	6	3	3	50%	81.2	82.0	-0.8
17	Lietkabelis	6	3	3	50%	75.8	78.8	-3.0
18	Rigas Zelli	6	3	3	50%	78.2	82.0	-3.8
19	Siauliai	6	3	3	50%	81.5	86.3	-4.8
20	Frankfurt	6	3	3	50%	86.2	91.7	-5.5
21	Turk Telekom	7	3	4	43%	80.6	80.9	-0.3
22	KK Bosna	6	2	4	33%	79.5	81.2	-1.7
23	BC Roma	6	2	4	33%	87.7	92.7	-5.0
24	Trento	6	2	4	33%	81.5	87.8	-6.3
25	Rostock	6	2	4	33%	79.7	86.2	-6.5
26	JL Bourg	7	2	5	29%	81.1	84.7	-3.6
27	Neptunas	7	2	5	29%	84.7	90.3	-5.6
28	Cluj-Napoca	7	2	5	29%	81.3	94.3	-13.0
29	Cedevita Olimpija	6	1	5	17%	72.7	80.3	-7.7
30	San Pablo Burgos	6	1	5	17%	76.3	85.5	-9.2
31	Slask Wroclaw	7	1	6	14%	79.7	89.9	-10.1
32	Balkan	7	1	6	14%	67.4	80.6	-13.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Trento	24	20	22	20	86
Tofas	21	23	23	29	96

← all games of the day

Trento vs Tofas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Total points distribution

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

A Pro feature