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Treviglio vs Nardo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 76-62
25-15 21-22 18-18 12-7
Position#16
Record11-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Position#15
Record11-16
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game80.8
ItalySerie A2Round 28· PalaFacchetti
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Treviglio winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nardo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TreviglioItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviglio
Date
Competition
Monferrato
#24
W
86-67
86
67
+19
84avg 75
A30/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
68-90
68
90
-22
58avg 75
H06/01
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
69-93
69
93
-24
62avg 75
A13/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
80-87
80
87
-7
77avg 75
A20/01
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
84-76 OT
84
76
+8
no box
H28/01
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
61-67
61
67
-6
44avg 75
A04/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
67-68
67
68
-1
58avg 75
A12/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
77-79
77
79
-2
76avg 75
H17/02
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
L
68-69
68
69
-1
62avg 75
H03/03
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
76-86
76
86
-10
67avg 75
A10/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-11
26-22
21-20
12-14
13-26
15-21
24-18
16-25
17-18
16-24
21-26
15-25
32-20
11-18
21-32
16-17
22-19
15-19
18-25
17-9
24-29
12-9
7-11
18-18
20-17
10-23
24-11
13-17
14-23
23-21
18-15
22-20
20-18
19-21
11-20
18-10
18-28
20-23
13-22
25-13
151.8Avg total
73.6Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.680.4160.0-0.842%
Season at home (13)81.581.2162.7+0.446%
Season away (13)77.779.6157.3-1.938%
Last 10 (10)73.678.2151.8-4.620%
Last 5 (5)69.873.8143.6-4.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.187.4165.6-9.329%
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.978.4158.3+1.540%
vs Weaker (8)78.976.9155.8+2.050%
This opponent (Nardo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NardoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNardo
Date
Competition
Orzinuovi
#21
L
64-81
64
81
-17
no box
A07/01
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
79-86 OT
79
86
-7
no box
H14/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
65-83
65
83
-18
no box
A21/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
57-69
57
69
-12
no box
H28/01
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
L
58-60
58
60
-2
no box
A04/02
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
70-68
70
68
+2
no box
H11/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
81-71
81
71
+10
no box
A15/02
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
75-80
75
80
-5
no box
H25/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
46-77
46
77
-31
no box
A03/03
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
100-80
100
80
+20
no box
H09/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
16-17
15-22
14-23
14-13
16-24
19-14
22-20
13-27
13-20
23-16
16-20
15-18
13-21
12-19
17-11
13-13
18-20
7-9
20-18
18-18
17-20
14-17
21-13
20-13
19-19
15-19
27-20
12-21
20-20
23-26
20-13
22-17
6-18
6-20
12-22
25-18
16-26
30-18
29-18
145.0Avg total
69.5Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)75.380.8156.1-5.541%
Season at home (14)80.281.2161.4-1.050%
Season away (13)70.080.3150.3-10.331%
Last 10 (10)69.575.5145.0-6.030%
Last 5 (5)74.475.2149.6-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)73.782.5156.2-8.828%
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.677.3155.9+1.267%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
TreviglioNardo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TreviglioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monferrato
#24
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A30/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H06/01
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A13/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A20/01
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H28/01
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A04/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A12/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H17/02
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H03/03
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A10/03
Serie A2
78.4Avg total
37.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.941.681.6-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.042.581.5-3.527%-
Last 30 away (15)40.940.881.7+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)37.441.078.4-3.620%-
Last 5 (5)36.042.478.4-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.343.783.0-4.443%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.540.881.3-0.347%-
vs Weaker (8)39.441.480.8-2.025%-
This opponent (Nardo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NardoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orzinuovi
#21
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A07/01
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H14/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A21/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H28/01
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A04/02
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H11/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A15/02
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H25/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A03/03
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H09/03
Serie A2
70.7Avg total
32.5Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)35.439.775.1-4.322%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.339.675.9-3.329%-
Last 30 away (13)34.439.874.2-5.515%-
Last 10 (10)32.538.270.7-5.710%-
Last 5 (5)35.038.073.0-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)34.940.575.4-5.622%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.238.174.3-1.922%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trevigliotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviglio: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.416.5
49.4%
50.3%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.3
32.2%
34.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.215.3
75.7%
74.2%15.3
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nardotheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Treviglio wins
0
Nardo wins
No previous meetings.
Trevigliolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24ATrieste76-86
03/03/24HChiusi68-69
17/02/24HCividale77-79
12/02/24AVerona67-68
04/02/24ALuiss Roma61-67
28/01/24HLatina84-76 OT
20/01/24AJuVi Cremona80-87
13/01/24ATrapani69-93
06/01/24HVigevano68-90
30/12/23AMonferrato86-67
Nardolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HMonferrato100-80
03/03/24ASebastiani Rieti46-77
25/02/24HCantu75-80
15/02/24AUrania Milano81-71
11/02/24HLatina70-68
04/02/24AChiusi58-60
28/01/24HVerona57-69
21/01/24ARimini65-83
14/01/24HCento79-86 OT
07/01/24AOrzinuovi64-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Treviglio
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL42%
HomeWLWLL46%
AwayLLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %42%46%38%
Points / game79.681.577.7
Allowed / game80.481.279.6
Point differential-0.8+0.4-1.9
Avg total160.0162.7157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%15%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)33% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %8%15%0%
Nardo
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW41%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayLLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %41%50%31%
Points / game75.380.270.0
Allowed / game80.881.280.3
Point differential-5.5-1.0-10.3
Avg total156.1161.4150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%14%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)67% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %15%14%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2624292%89.776.9+12.8
2 Forli2722581%79.372.9+6.4
3 Udine2720774%79.569.7+9.9
4 Fortitudo Bologna2720774%76.671.6+5.0
5 Basket Torino2820871%84.980.8+4.1
6 Cantu2719870%87.480.2+7.2
7 Sebastiani Rieti27171063%81.177.8+3.3
8 Verona27171063%76.473.8+2.6
9 Trieste28161257%80.278.8+1.4
10 Urania Milano27141352%82.483.5-1.0
11 Rimini27131448%78.376.7+1.5
12 JuVi Cremona27131448%84.685.4-0.8
13 Cividale28131546%75.275.7-0.4
14 Cento26121446%74.177.9-3.8
15 Assigeco Piacenza27121544%77.175.9+1.2
16 Treviglio26111542%79.680.4-0.8
17 Nardo27111641%75.380.8-5.5
18 Vigevano27101737%77.781.3-3.6
19 Luiss Roma2891932%78.185.1-7.0
20 Orzinuovi2781930%74.477.5-3.1
21 Chiusi2772026%65.873.5-7.7
22 Monferrato2762122%79.684.9-5.3
23 Agrigento2762122%73.780.6-6.9
24 Latina2852318%76.485.5-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Treviglio2521181276
Nardo152218762
← all games of the day
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