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Trieste vs Treviglio Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-76
28-18 23-20 22-13 13-25
Position#5
Record15-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game77.9
Trieste 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record11-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game80.2
ItalySerie A2Round 27· Allianz Dome
Other2023-24
Meetings · Trieste v Treviglio
10 Mar 2024
TRI86
TREV76
01 May 2018
TRI97
TREV82
29 Apr 2018
TRI86
TREV78
11 May 2017
TRI83
TREV72
03 May 2017
TRI94
TREV68
01 May 2017
TRI88
TREV83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Treviglio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
86-69
86
69
+17
81avg 73
H07/01
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
83-87
83
87
-4
109avg 73
A12/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
66-81
66
81
-15
52avg 73
A19/01
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
98-90
98
90
+8
93avg 73
H24/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
76-90
76
90
-14
60avg 73
H28/01
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
64-92
64
92
-28
50avg 73
A04/02
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
85-88
85
88
-3
80avg 73
H10/02
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
92-96
92
96
-4
91avg 73
A17/02
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
73-57
73
57
+16
64avg 73
H25/02
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
67-70
67
70
-3
61avg 73
A03/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
21-19
20-16
21-18
21-22
16-20
23-16
23-29
13-25
11-21
22-15
20-20
20-24
28-14
25-27
25-25
11-22
23-22
16-20
26-26
18-25
16-21
16-18
14-28
26-20
26-15
18-24
15-29
22-27
26-24
23-23
21-22
15-26
22-11
20-11
16-9
18-14
16-19
17-19
16-18
161.0Avg total
79.0Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.577.9157.5+1.658%
Season at home (13)80.775.5156.2+5.277%
Season away (13)78.480.4158.8-2.038%
Last 10 (10)79.082.0161.0-3.030%
Last 5 (5)76.280.6156.8-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.097.5172.5-22.50%
vs Similar (17)77.880.4158.1-2.647%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)83.175.5158.6+7.573%
This opponent (Treviglio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TreviglioItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviglio
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#19
W
92-72
92
72
+20
98avg 75
H23/12
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
86-67
86
67
+19
84avg 75
A30/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
68-90
68
90
-22
58avg 75
H06/01
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
69-93
69
93
-24
62avg 75
A13/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
80-87
80
87
-7
77avg 75
A20/01
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
84-76 OT
84
76
+8
no box
H28/01
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
61-67
61
67
-6
44avg 75
A04/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
67-68
67
68
-1
58avg 75
A12/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
77-79
77
79
-2
76avg 75
H17/02
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
L
68-69
68
69
-1
62avg 75
H03/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
21-11
23-19
25-21
27-11
26-22
21-20
12-14
13-26
15-21
24-18
16-25
17-18
16-24
21-26
15-25
32-20
11-18
21-32
16-17
22-19
15-19
18-25
17-9
24-29
12-9
7-11
18-18
20-17
10-23
24-11
13-17
14-23
23-21
18-15
22-20
20-18
19-21
11-20
18-10
152.0Avg total
75.2Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.880.2159.9-0.444%
Season at home (13)81.581.2162.7+0.446%
Season away (12)77.879.1156.9-1.242%
Last 10 (10)75.276.8152.0-1.630%
Last 5 (5)71.471.8143.2-0.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)78.587.7166.2-9.233%
vs Similar (15)79.978.4158.3+1.540%
vs Weaker (9)79.175.3154.4+3.856%
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
TriesteTreviglio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H07/01
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A12/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A19/01
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H24/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H28/01
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A04/02
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H10/02
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A17/02
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H25/02
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A03/03
Serie A2
80.0Avg total
39.3Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.278.7+0.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.636.576.1+3.150%-
Last 30 away (16)39.441.580.9-2.131%-
Last 10 (10)39.340.780.0-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.481.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.047.088.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (17)37.440.577.9-3.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.535.678.1+6.864%-
This opponent (Treviglio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TreviglioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#19
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H23/12
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A30/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H06/01
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A13/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A20/01
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H28/01
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A04/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A12/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H17/02
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H03/03
Serie A2
77.1Avg total
38.0Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.241.181.3-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.042.581.5-3.527%-
Last 30 away (15)41.539.781.2+1.760%-
Last 10 (10)38.039.177.1-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)35.839.875.6-4.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)39.542.582.0-3.050%-
vs Similar (15)40.540.881.3-0.347%-
vs Weaker (9)40.240.780.9-0.433%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.4
50.7%
50.3%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.310.2
29.7%
34.1%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.512.8
65.6%
74.2%12.8
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trevigliotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviglio: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.616.3
50.0%
50.3%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.2
30.6%
34.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.515.8
77.1%
74.2%15.8
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
LWLLLLWLLW
Treviglio
LLLLWLLLWW
#5
League position
#16
-4.6
Net rating
-3.6
108.9
Offensive rating
100.6
113.5
Defensive rating
104.2
47.7%
Effective FG%
48.1%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
13.5%
Turnover %
15.2%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
18.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.35
29.7%
3-point %
30.6%
62.7%
Assist %
68.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 100.6Defence113.5 · 104.2Shooting47.7% · 48.1%3-point %29.7% · 30.6%Ball care13.5% · 15.2%Off. rebounds34.3% · 18.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Trieste   ■ Treviglio
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Trieste wins
2
Treviglio wins
DateGameScore
04/05/18Treviglio v Trieste62-82
01/05/18Trieste v Treviglio97-82
29/04/18Trieste v Treviglio86-78
11/05/17Trieste v Treviglio83-72
08/05/17Treviglio v Trieste78-77
06/05/17Treviglio v Trieste81-78
03/05/17Trieste v Treviglio94-68
01/05/17Trieste v Treviglio88-83
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24ALatina67-70
25/02/24HAgrigento73-57
17/02/24ACantu92-96
10/02/24HLuiss Roma85-88
04/02/24AForli64-92
28/01/24HRimini76-90
24/01/24HChiusi98-90
19/01/24ACividale66-81
12/01/24AUdine83-87
07/01/24HAssigeco Piacenza86-69
Trevigliolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HChiusi68-69
17/02/24HCividale77-79
12/02/24AVerona67-68
04/02/24ALuiss Roma61-67
28/01/24HLatina84-76 OT
20/01/24AJuVi Cremona80-87
13/01/24ATrapani69-93
06/01/24HVigevano68-90
30/12/23AMonferrato86-67
23/12/23HAgrigento92-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL58%
HomeWWLLW77%
AwayLLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %58%77%38%
Points / game79.580.778.4
Allowed / game77.975.580.4
Point differential+1.6+5.2-2.0
Avg total157.5156.2158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)75% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Treviglio
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL44%
HomeWLWLL46%
AwayWLLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %44%46%42%
Points / game79.881.577.8
Allowed / game80.281.279.1
Point differential-0.4+0.4-1.2
Avg total159.9162.7156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%15%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)33% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %8%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2523292%89.676.6+13.0
2 Forli2622485%79.772.7+7.0
3 Fortitudo Bologna2519676%76.971.8+5.1
4 Cantu2619773%88.380.4+7.9
5 Udine2518772%79.470.0+9.4
6 Basket Torino2518772%85.181.0+4.2
7 Verona27171063%76.473.8+2.6
8 Sebastiani Rieti26161062%81.378.1+3.2
9 Trieste26151158%79.577.9+1.6
10 Urania Milano27141352%82.483.5-1.0
11 JuVi Cremona25121348%85.886.0-0.2
12 Cento26121446%74.177.9-3.8
13 Assigeco Piacenza27121544%77.175.9+1.2
14 Rimini25111444%77.677.1+0.5
15 Treviglio25111444%79.880.2-0.4
16 Cividale26111542%74.776.3-1.6
17 Nardo27111641%75.380.8-5.5
18 Vigevano26101638%77.981.3-3.3
19 Luiss Roma2691735%79.185.3-6.2
20 Orzinuovi2681831%74.176.9-2.8
21 Chiusi2561924%65.373.9-8.6
22 Monferrato2762122%79.684.9-5.3
23 Agrigento2762122%73.780.6-6.9
24 Latina2652119%77.185.6-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste2823221386
Treviglio1820132576
← all games of the day
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