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Trier vs Dresden Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 108-80
30-23 33-21 23-16 22-20
Position#2
Record19-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game92.4
Allowed / game80.9
Trier 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#11
Record13-12
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game85.7
GermanyPro ARound 26· Arena Trier
Other2024-25
Meetings · Trier v Dresden
07 Mar 2025
TRI108
DRES80
21 Jan 2024
TRI91
DRES82
30 Oct 2022
TRI89
DRES95
07 Jan 2017
TRI78
DRES64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dresden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrierGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kirchheim
#6
W
93-85
93
85
+8
A03/01
Pro A
Bochum
#9
W
112-69
112
69
+43
H05/01
Pro A
Bayreuth
#13
W
98-73
98
73
+25
H11/01
Pro A
Munster
#10
W
82-81
82
81
+1
A19/01
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#3
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H25/01
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A01/02
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#12
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H07/02
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
W
107-101
107
101
+6
A09/02
Pro A
Kirchheim
#6
W
112-97
112
97
+15
H16/02
Pro A
Bochum
#9
W
96-73
96
73
+23
A28/02
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-30
22-17
28-20
19-18
27-24
26-14
28-21
31-10
18-22
33-24
21-14
26-13
17-13
22-23
19-20
24-25
18-20
17-24
32-30
19-13
12-19
25-24
15-13
24-27
19-22
20-27
28-18
20-15
32-23
32-22
24-28
19-28
35-25
27-21
22-21
28-30
21-23
29-19
23-16
23-15
178.0Avg total
94.9Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)92.480.9173.3+11.476%
Season at home (13)89.579.2168.7+10.269%
Season away (12)95.582.8178.2+12.883%
Last 10 (10)94.983.1178.0+11.880%
Last 5 (5)95.687.2182.8+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)97.091.3188.3+5.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)90.279.3169.5+10.973%
This opponent (Dresden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DresdenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jena
#1
L
78-101
78
101
-23
A03/01
Pro A
Nurnberger
#14
L
69-102
69
102
-33
A05/01
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
W
92-79
92
79
+13
H12/01
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H17/01
Pro A
Artland
#15
W
104-93
104
93
+11
A26/01
Pro A
Vechta 2
#18
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H02/02
Pro A
Bochum
#9
W
111-100 OT
111
100
+11
A07/02
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#16
W
95-87
95
87
+8
A09/02
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#3
L
87-96
87
96
-9
H16/02
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
W
90-75
90
75
+15
H28/02
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-30
23-23
15-27
25-21
11-20
21-28
18-29
19-25
20-23
25-19
27-18
20-19
16-26
22-17
19-16
21-27
26-24
26-11
29-26
23-32
14-15
16-17
22-22
21-11
14-20
16-21
24-14
24-23
29-14
20-17
22-29
24-27
22-22
21-19
24-25
20-30
23-15
22-21
23-17
22-22
176.1Avg total
87.7Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)85.385.7171.0-0.452%
Season at home (13)87.281.0168.2+6.262%
Season away (12)83.290.8173.9-7.642%
Last 10 (10)87.788.4176.1-0.760%
Last 5 (5)91.284.6175.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)81.488.0169.4-6.633%
vs Similar (10)84.483.9168.3+0.540%
vs Weaker (11)88.683.3171.9+5.473%
This opponent (Trier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.8-1.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.8-1.8
TrierDresden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kirchheim
#6
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A03/01
Pro A
Bochum
#9
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H05/01
Pro A
Bayreuth
#13
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H11/01
Pro A
Munster
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A19/01
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H25/01
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A01/02
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#12
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H07/02
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
W
64-45
64
45
+19
A09/02
Pro A
Kirchheim
#6
W
62-46
62
46
+16
H16/02
Pro A
Bochum
#9
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A28/02
Pro A
91.2Avg total
47.6Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.640.786.3+4.970%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.940.484.3+3.669%-
Last 30 away (14)47.541.188.6+6.471%-
Last 10 (10)47.643.691.2+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)50.445.095.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)44.345.089.3-0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)46.240.586.7+5.773%-
This opponent (Dresden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DresdenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jena
#1
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A03/01
Pro A
Nurnberger
#14
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A05/01
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H12/01
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H17/01
Pro A
Artland
#15
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A26/01
Pro A
Vechta 2
#18
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H02/02
Pro A
Bochum
#9
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A07/02
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#16
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A09/02
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#3
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H16/02
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H28/02
Pro A
80.4Avg total
40.2Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.383.3+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.640.183.7+3.567%-
Last 30 away (15)40.542.482.9-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)40.240.280.4+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.436.275.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.343.682.9-4.244%-
vs Similar (10)39.542.181.6-2.620%-
vs Weaker (11)46.638.685.3+8.082%-
This opponent (Trier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trier: 64.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers7.016.0
228.6%
-32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.07.0
25.0%
-21.0
🏀 Free throws16.011.0
68.8%
-11.0
They take 35.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 80% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dresdentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dresden: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 9% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.019.0
59.4%
-38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.013.0
36.1%
-39.0
🏀 Free throws9.08.0
88.9%
-8.0
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trier
WWWWLLWWWW
Dresden
WLWWWWLWLL
#2
League position
#11
-8.3
Net rating
-1.2
133.6
Offensive rating
102.7
141.9
Defensive rating
103.9
75.7%
Effective FG%
56.6%
60.2%
Opp. effective FG%
61.2%
15.8%
Turnover %
19.1%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
11.8%
0.46
Free-throw rate
0.13
25.0%
3-point %
36.1%
43.5%
Assist %
75.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Trier   ■ Dresden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Trier wins
3
Dresden wins
DateGameScore
10/11/24Dresden v Trier89-82
21/01/24Trier v Dresden91-82
16/12/23Dresden v Trier71-76
29/01/23Dresden v Trier79-95
30/10/22Trier v Dresden89-95
07/01/17Trier v Dresden78-64
16/10/16Dresden v Trier91-83
Trierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/25ABochum96-73
16/02/25HKirchheim112-97
09/02/25APhoenix Hagen107-101
07/02/25HPS Karlsruhe87-82
01/02/25ABremerhaven76-83
25/01/25HCrailsheim Merlins86-87
19/01/25AMunster82-81
11/01/25HBayreuth98-73
05/01/25HBochum112-69
03/01/25AKirchheim93-85
Dresdenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/25HKoblenz90-75
16/02/25HCrailsheim Merlins87-96
09/02/25ADusseldorf95-87
07/02/25ABochum111-100 OT
02/02/25HVechta 273-65
26/01/25AArtland104-93
17/01/25HGiessen78-86
12/01/25HBremerhaven92-79
05/01/25ANurnberger69-102
03/01/25AJena78-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trier
Pro A 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW76%
HomeWWLWW69%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %76%69%83%
Points / game92.489.595.5
Allowed / game80.979.282.8
Point differential+11.4+10.2+12.8
Avg total173.3168.7178.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%46%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dresden
Pro A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW52%
HomeWLWLW62%
AwayLLWWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %52%62%42%
Points / game85.387.283.2
Allowed / game85.781.090.8
Point differential-0.4+6.2-7.6
Avg total171.0168.2173.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%46%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jena2523292%91.273.8+17.4
2 Trier2519676%92.480.9+11.4
3 Giessen2517868%86.276.1+10.0
4 Crailsheim Merlins2517868%89.279.5+9.7
5 Bremerhaven25151060%80.876.9+3.9
6 Munster25151060%84.481.7+2.8
7 Tubingen25151060%77.778.0-0.3
8 Bochum25151060%82.483.4-1.0
9 Phoenix Hagen25141156%82.379.8+2.4
10 Kirchheim25141156%82.081.6+0.5
11 Dresden25131252%85.385.7-0.4
12 PS Karlsruhe2591636%77.283.0-5.8
13 Bayreuth2581732%83.389.0-5.7
14 Nurnberger2581732%73.980.0-6.1
15 Koblenz2571828%74.084.8-10.7
16 Artland2561924%79.585.2-5.7
17 Dusseldorf2561924%77.585.7-8.2
18 Vechta 22542116%77.191.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trier30332322108
Dresden2321162080
← all games of the day
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