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Troy vs Georgia Southern Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 09 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 77-61
38-25 39-36
Position#84
Record21-11
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game73.5
Troy 🏆
USA
vs
Georgia Southern
USA
Position#142
Record21-15
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game79.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Troy v Georgia Southern
09 Jan 2027
TROY v GEOR
upcoming
09 Mar 2026
TROY77
GEOR61
30 Jan 2025
TROY81
GEOR74
06 Feb 2021
TROY64
GEOR79
05 Feb 2021
TROY68
GEOR56
16 Jan 2020
TROY66
GEOR82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Georgia Southern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#119
L
44-66
44
66
-22
H31/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
74-63
74
63
+11
A05/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H07/02
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A12/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A15/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
77-76
77
76
+1
A19/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A21/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
78-59
78
59
+19
H25/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H28/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
24-36
20-30
28-28
46-35
35-29
44-40
29-36
33-38
26-26
39-43
35-37
42-39
26-33
28-32
27-23
51-36
37-29
43-36
41-28
37-42
136.7Avg total
69.1Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)80.473.5153.8+6.966%
Season at home (15)81.466.9148.3+14.573%
Season away (17)79.579.2158.7+0.259%
Last 10 (10)69.167.6136.7+1.560%
Last 5 (5)73.467.0140.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)79.069.0148.0+10.0100%
vs Similar (12)73.974.8148.8-0.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)82.473.1155.5+9.269%
This opponent (Georgia Southern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia SouthernUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#124
W
101-87
101
87
+14
H15/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A20/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
74-89
74
89
-15
A21/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
66-82
66
82
-16
A26/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
99-82
99
82
+17
A28/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H05/03
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A06/03
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
94-85
94
85
+9
A07/03
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
96-72
96
72
+24
A08/03
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
59-42
42-45
27-37
37-29
33-40
41-49
37-38
29-44
38-40
61-42
39-37
49-47
42-34
38-43
40-43
54-42
45-42
51-30
42-35
40-43
164.6Avg total
84.4Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)81.579.8161.2+1.758%
Season at home (16)83.278.4161.6+4.862%
Season away (20)80.180.9161.0-0.855%
Last 10 (10)84.480.2164.6+4.270%
Last 5 (5)88.079.2167.2+8.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)73.083.0156.0-10.020%
vs Similar (16)83.780.8164.4+2.969%
vs Weaker (9)79.671.6151.1+8.067%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: +2.8+2.8
TroyGeorgia Southern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#119
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H31/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A05/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H07/02
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A12/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A15/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A19/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A21/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H25/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H28/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H08/03
NCAA
61.3Avg total
30.8Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.231.968.0+4.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.028.466.4+9.687%-
Last 30 away (15)34.335.369.7-1.013%-
Last 10 (10)30.830.561.3+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)33.230.063.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.029.064.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (12)33.333.967.2-0.642%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)37.130.867.9+6.250%-
This opponent (Georgia Southern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia SouthernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#124
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H15/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A20/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A21/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A26/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A28/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H05/03
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A06/03
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A07/03
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A08/03
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A09/03
NCAA
79.0Avg total
40.2Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.336.474.7+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.435.573.9+2.964%-
Last 30 away (16)38.237.275.4+1.050%-
Last 10 (10)40.238.879.0+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.279.8+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)35.038.273.2-3.220%-
vs Similar (16)39.437.176.4+2.356%-
vs Weaker (9)38.234.272.4+4.078%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Troy wins
5
Georgia Southern wins
DateGameScore
24/01/26Georgia Southern v Troy78-83
31/01/25Troy v Georgia Southern81-74
02/02/24Georgia Southern v Troy63-84
05/02/22Georgia Southern v Troy52-61
06/02/21Troy v Georgia Southern64-79
06/02/21Troy v Georgia Southern68-56
16/01/21Georgia Southern v Troy63-56
15/01/21Georgia Southern v Troy67-64 OT
31/01/20Georgia Southern v Troy86-57
17/01/20Troy v Georgia Southern66-82
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26HSouthern Miss78-70
28/02/26HLouisiana Monroe80-65
25/02/26HLouisiana Lafayette78-59
21/02/26ASouth Alabama54-65
19/02/26ALouisiana Monroe77-76
15/02/26ASouthern Miss65-69
12/02/26ATexas State62-74
07/02/26HAkron79-69
05/02/26AGeorgia State74-63
31/01/26HAppalachian State44-66
Georgia Southernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/26AMarshall82-78
08/03/26ACoastal Carolina96-72
07/03/26ASouth Alabama94-85
06/03/26AArkansas State80-77
05/03/26HOld Dominion88-84
28/02/26AMarshall99-82
26/02/26AJames Madison66-82
21/02/26AAppalachian State74-89
20/02/26AGeorgia State64-66
15/02/26HMarshall101-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW66%
HomeLWWWW73%
AwayWLLWL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %66%73%59%
Points / game80.481.479.5
Allowed / game73.566.979.2
Point differential+6.9+14.5+0.2
Avg total153.8148.3158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)0% (1)71% (7)
Overtime %16%7%24%
Georgia Southern
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW58%
HomeLLLWW62%
AwayWWWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361620
Win %58%62%55%
Points / game81.583.280.1
Allowed / game79.878.480.9
Point differential+1.7+4.8-0.8
Avg total161.2161.6161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (15)67% (6)67% (9)
Overtime %8%12%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Troy32211166%80.473.5+6.9
2 Arkansas State32201262%83.077.2+5.8
3 Appalachian State32191359%72.066.1+6.0
4 South Alabama32191359%74.270.2+4.0
5 Marshall32191359%81.178.0+3.1
6 Texas State32191359%73.971.0+2.9
7 Coastal Carolina32191359%73.372.6+0.7
8 Georgia Southern36211558%81.579.8+1.7
9 James Madison33181555%74.573.8+0.7
10 Southern Miss35191654%74.773.9+0.9
11 Old Dominion33122136%76.277.9-1.7
12 Louisiana Lafayette33112233%63.770.7-7.0
13 Georgia State32102231%70.474.7-4.3
14 Louisiana Monroe3242812%72.483.9-11.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Troy383977
Georgia Southern253661
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