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Troy vs Georgia Southern Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:30
Scheduled
Position#325
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#312
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game82.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Troy v Georgia Southern
09 Jan 2027
TROY v GEOR
upcoming
09 Mar 2026
TROY77
GEOR61
30 Jan 2025
TROY81
GEOR74
06 Feb 2021
TROY64
GEOR79
05 Feb 2021
TROY68
GEOR56
16 Jan 2020
TROY66
GEOR82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Georgia Southern win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#120
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A21/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
78-59
78
59
+19
H25/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H28/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H08/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
77-61
77
61
+16
H09/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
47-76
47
76
-29
A19/03
NCAA
UMass
#168
L
60-71
60
71
-11
H03/11
NCAA
Florida State
#233
L
68-91
68
91
-23
A07/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#300
W
74-69 OT
74
69
+5
H11/11
NCAA
NC State
#44
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-33
28-32
27-23
51-36
37-29
43-36
41-28
37-42
38-25
39-36
25-41
22-35
28-38
32-33
26-37
42-54
29-37
36-28
27-36
35-45
138.6Avg total
67.8Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)66.078.0144.0-12.025%
Season at home (2)67.070.0137.0-3.050%
Season away (2)65.086.0151.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)67.870.8138.6-3.050%
Last 5 (5)62.277.6139.8-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)65.076.2141.2-11.233%
vs Similar (9)72.071.3143.3+0.756%
vs Weaker (15)80.368.7148.9+11.680%
This opponent (Georgia Southern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia SouthernUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#300
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H05/03
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A06/03
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
94-85
94
85
+9
A07/03
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
96-72
96
72
+24
A08/03
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A09/03
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
61-77
61
77
-16
A09/03
NCAA
Ball State
#311
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H03/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#65
L
83-95
83
95
-12
A07/11
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
91-97 OT
91
97
-6
H11/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#73
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-37
49-47
42-34
38-43
40-43
54-42
45-42
51-30
42-35
40-43
25-38
36-39
37-22
30-33
45-51
38-44
46-39
32-39
27-36
43-48
161.6Avg total
81.2Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.882.8160.5-5.025%
Season at home (2)79.076.0155.0+3.050%
Season away (2)76.589.5166.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)81.280.4161.6+0.860%
Last 5 (5)74.481.6156.0-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.483.9156.2-11.512%
vs Similar (16)84.981.8166.7+3.269%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)80.770.2150.8+10.567%
This opponent (Troy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -2.3-2.31st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +0.3+0.3
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -2.3-2.31st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +0.3+0.3
TroyGeorgia Southern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#120
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A21/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H25/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H28/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H08/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H09/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A19/03
NCAA
UMass
#168
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H03/11
NCAA
Florida State
#233
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A07/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#300
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H11/11
NCAA
NC State
#44
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A14/11
NCAA
63.1Avg total
30.4Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.132.366.4+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.829.365.1+6.475%-
Last 30 away (14)32.335.667.9-3.414%-
Last 10 (10)30.432.763.1-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)27.037.864.8-10.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)28.336.364.7-8.017%-
vs Similar (9)33.434.768.1-1.244%-
vs Weaker (15)36.929.266.1+7.760%-
This opponent (Georgia Southern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia SouthernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#300
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H05/03
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A06/03
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A07/03
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A08/03
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A09/03
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A09/03
NCAA
Ball State
#311
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H03/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#65
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A07/11
NCAA
Mercer
#261
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H11/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#73
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A14/11
NCAA
76.5Avg total
38.8Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.375.8+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.136.576.6+3.562%-
Last 30 away (17)37.237.975.1-0.841%-
Last 10 (10)38.837.776.5+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.037.273.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.039.573.5-5.512%-
vs Similar (16)40.637.277.8+3.462%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)38.534.873.3+3.767%-
This opponent (Troy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Troy wins
4
Georgia Southern wins
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ANC State62-81
11/11/26HLoyola Marymount74-69 OT
07/11/26AFlorida State68-91
03/11/26HUMass60-71
19/03/26ANebraska47-76
09/03/26HGeorgia Southern77-61
08/03/26HSouthern Miss78-70
28/02/26HLouisiana Monroe80-65
25/02/26HLouisiana Lafayette78-59
21/02/26ASouth Alabama54-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AUCF Knights70-84
11/11/26HMercer91-97 OT
07/11/26AGeorgia Tech83-95
03/11/26HBall State67-55
09/03/26ATroy61-77
09/03/26AMarshall82-78
08/03/26ACoastal Carolina96-72
07/03/26ASouth Alabama94-85
06/03/26AArkansas State80-77
05/03/26HOld Dominion88-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game66.067.065.0
Allowed / game78.070.086.0
Point differential-12.0-3.0-21.0
Avg total144.0137.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
Georgia Southern
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game77.879.076.5
Allowed / game82.876.089.5
Point differential-5.0+3.0-13.0
Avg total160.5155.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State440100%89.862.8+27.0
2 Old Dominion550100%77.058.4+18.6
3 Appalachian State42250%69.060.2+8.8
4 Southern Miss42250%72.070.8+1.2
5 Arkansas State42250%80.279.5+0.8
6 Coastal Carolina42250%72.573.5-1.0
7 Georgia State52340%84.272.4+11.8
8 South Alabama52340%74.676.0-1.4
9 Louisiana Lafayette31233%59.060.3-1.3
10 James Madison31233%76.078.7-2.7
11 Marshall41325%78.276.0+2.2
12 Georgia Southern41325%77.882.8-5.0
13 Troy41325%66.078.0-12.0
14 Louisiana Monroe61517%75.087.7-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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