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Troy vs Old Dominion Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 75-59
36-18 39-41
Position#68
Record20-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game65.3
Troy 🏆
USA
vs
Position#261
Record15-19
FormLWWWW
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game71.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Troy v Old Dominion
08 Mar 2025
TROY75
OLD 59
04 Jan 2024
TROY86
OLD 73
05 Jan 2023
TROY78
OLD 71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Old Dominion winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#201
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H31/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
87-50
87
50
+37
H01/02
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A06/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
74-56
74
56
+18
A13/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
71-70
71
70
+1
A16/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H21/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H22/02
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A26/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
70-58
70
58
+12
A01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-40
40-34
50-15
37-35
28-32
33-32
29-32
33-37
29-20
45-36
30-34
41-36
38-29
31-43
33-33
50-33
36-37
38-32
32-26
38-32
138.0Avg total
73.2Scored
64.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)73.065.3138.3+7.767%
Season at home (15)79.866.5146.3+13.373%
Season away (15)66.264.1130.3+2.160%
Last 10 (10)73.264.8138.0+8.470%
Last 5 (5)73.467.0140.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.062.0104.0-20.00%
vs Similar (9)64.067.4131.4-3.444%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)78.265.1143.3+13.179%
This opponent (Old Dominion) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Old DominionUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#212
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A08/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
L
75-97
75
97
-22
A14/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A15/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H20/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H23/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
66-83
66
83
-17
A26/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
67-49
67
49
+18
H06/03
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A07/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
26-29
44-47
25-41
50-56
27-42
48-36
26-41
51-40
35-43
35-33
38-39
28-44
27-24
34-35
29-23
38-26
27-29
37-32
30-36
31-20
140.2Avg total
68.6Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)68.171.4139.5-3.244%
Season at home (19)69.568.6138.1+0.942%
Season away (15)66.574.9141.4-8.547%
Last 10 (10)68.671.6140.2-3.040%
Last 5 (5)63.861.6125.4+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)66.171.4137.6-5.338%
vs Similar (10)69.473.3142.7-3.940%
vs Weaker (2)69.054.5123.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: -5.7-5.72nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +2.7+2.7
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: -5.7-5.72nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +2.7+2.7
TroyOld Dominion
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#201
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H31/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
50-15
50
15
+35
H01/02
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A06/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A08/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
29-20
29
20
+9
A13/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A16/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H21/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Texas State
#207
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A26/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A01/03
NCAA
64.4Avg total
34.6Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.430.365.7+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.130.171.2+11.187%-
Last 30 away (15)29.630.660.2-1.047%-
Last 10 (10)34.629.864.4+4.850%-
Last 5 (5)33.831.865.6+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)11.033.044.0-22.00%-
vs Similar (9)28.732.661.2-3.944%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)39.229.768.8+9.579%-
This opponent (Old Dominion) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Old DominionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#212
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A08/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A14/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A15/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H20/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H23/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A26/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A01/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H06/03
NCAA
Texas State
#207
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A07/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A08/03
NCAA
63.7Avg total
29.0Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.033.063.0-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (17)30.631.462.1-0.841%-
Last 30 away (13)29.235.064.2-5.823%-
Last 10 (10)29.034.763.7-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)30.230.260.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)29.934.564.4-4.619%-
vs Similar (10)29.533.763.2-4.230%-
vs Weaker (2)30.526.557.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Troy wins
0
Old Dominion wins
DateGameScore
05/01/24Troy v Old Dominion86-73
06/01/23Troy v Old Dominion78-71
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25ASouthern Miss70-58
26/02/25ATexas State74-69
22/02/25HCoastal Carolina83-66
21/02/25HLouisiana Lafayette69-72
16/02/25AArkansas State71-70
13/02/25ALouisiana Lafayette74-56
08/02/25AMiami (Ohio)62-69
06/02/25AJames Madison61-64
01/02/25HLouisiana Monroe87-50
31/01/25HGeorgia Southern81-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25AAppalachian State61-56
07/03/25ATexas State64-61
06/03/25HLouisiana Lafayette67-49
01/03/25ACoastal Carolina61-59
26/02/25AMarshall66-83
23/02/25HGeorgia State70-76
20/02/25HMarshall77-81
15/02/25AGeorgia Southern75-78
14/02/25AGeorgia State75-97
08/02/25AEastern Michigan70-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWWLW73%
AwayLWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %67%73%60%
Points / game73.079.866.2
Allowed / game65.366.564.1
Point differential+7.7+13.3+2.1
Avg total138.3146.3130.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)0% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Old Dominion
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW44%
HomeWWLLW42%
AwayLLWWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341915
Win %44%42%47%
Points / game68.169.566.5
Allowed / game71.468.674.9
Point differential-3.2+0.9-8.5
Avg total139.5138.1141.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%26%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)43% (7)83% (6)
Overtime %6%0%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State3223972%79.369.4+9.9
2 South Alabama31211068%72.964.3+8.7
3 Troy30201067%73.065.3+7.7
4 James Madison31201165%74.470.2+4.1
5 Marshall33201361%75.771.7+4.0
6 Appalachian State31171455%67.863.5+4.3
7 Georgia Southern33171652%74.275.9-1.7
8 Texas State32161650%76.273.3+2.9
9 Old Dominion34151944%68.171.4-3.2
10 Georgia State33141942%75.178.3-3.2
11 Louisiana Lafayette33122136%65.473.0-7.6
12 Southern Miss33112233%71.376.0-4.7
13 Coastal Carolina32102231%66.871.1-4.3
14 Louisiana Monroe3272522%68.975.5-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Troy363975
Old Dominion184159
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