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Texas State vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 69-74
37-36 32-38
Position#207
Record15-14
FormLWLWW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game72.9
Texas State
USA
vs
Troy 🏆
USA
Position#68
Record18-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game65.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Texas State v Troy
11 Feb 2026
TEXA74
TROY62
25 Feb 2025
TEXA69
TROY74
01 Mar 2024
TEXA82
TROY79
31 Dec 2022
TEXA52
TROY55
30 Dec 2021
TEXA63
TROY78
06 Jan 2020
TEXA63
TROY71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
89-74
89
74
+15
A23/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
61-70
61
70
-9
H31/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H01/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A06/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A08/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
72-60
72
60
+12
A14/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
65-70 OT
65
70
-5
A15/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H20/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
H22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-33
51-41
34-36
31-44
27-33
34-37
33-39
41-46
35-38
29-37
26-33
44-52
34-27
38-33
29-32
31-28
40-25
40-38
36-36
46-46
148.7Avg total
73.3Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)76.172.9149.0+3.252%
Season at home (14)80.170.1150.2+10.171%
Season away (15)72.375.6147.9-3.333%
Last 10 (10)73.375.4148.7-2.140%
Last 5 (5)76.074.0150.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)72.479.3151.7-6.929%
vs Similar (10)71.874.5146.3-2.740%
vs Weaker (13)80.868.3149.1+12.569%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#83
W
65-55
65
55
+10
H25/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H27/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H31/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
87-50
87
50
+37
H01/02
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A06/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
74-56
74
56
+18
A13/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
71-70
71
70
+1
A16/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H21/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-26
33-29
39-26
31-35
41-40
40-34
50-15
37-35
28-32
33-32
29-32
33-37
29-20
45-36
30-34
41-36
38-29
31-43
33-33
50-33
136.0Avg total
72.3Scored
63.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)73.165.4138.5+7.664%
Season at home (15)79.866.5146.3+13.373%
Season away (13)65.364.2129.5+1.254%
Last 10 (10)72.363.7136.0+8.670%
Last 5 (5)71.866.6138.4+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.062.0104.0-20.00%
vs Similar (9)64.067.4131.4-3.444%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)78.366.6144.9+11.768%
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: +2.4+2.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: +2.4+2.4
Texas StateTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A23/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H31/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H01/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A06/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A14/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A15/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H20/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H22/02
NCAA
66.4Avg total
33.2Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.834.369.2+0.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.032.370.3+5.764%-
Last 30 away (16)32.136.168.2-4.119%-
Last 10 (10)33.233.266.4+0.030%-
Last 5 (5)33.030.663.6+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)31.037.968.9-6.90%-
vs Similar (10)32.434.867.2-2.430%-
vs Weaker (13)38.832.170.8+6.769%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#83
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H25/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H27/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H31/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
50-15
50
15
+35
H01/02
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A06/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A08/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
29-20
29
20
+9
A13/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A16/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H21/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H22/02
NCAA
63.6Avg total
34.9Scored
28.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.430.365.7+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.430.270.7+10.281%-
Last 30 away (14)29.630.460.1-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)34.928.763.6+6.260%-
Last 5 (5)31.829.661.4+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)11.033.044.0-22.00%-
vs Similar (9)28.732.661.2-3.944%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)39.229.768.9+9.579%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Texas State wins
5
Troy wins
DateGameScore
10/01/25Troy v Texas State73-74
09/03/24Troy v Texas State68-74
02/03/24Texas State v Troy82-79 OT
25/01/24Troy v Texas State78-65
05/02/23Troy v Texas State68-64
31/12/22Texas State v Troy52-55
26/02/22Troy v Texas State61-66
31/12/21Texas State v Troy63-78
07/01/20Texas State v Troy63-71
Texas Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25HSouth Alabama93-92 OT
20/02/25HLouisiana Monroe80-63
15/02/25ASouth Alabama65-70 OT
14/02/25ALouisiana Monroe72-60
08/02/25ACentral Michigan70-85
06/02/25AOld Dominion64-75
01/02/25HArkansas State74-85
31/01/25HLouisiana Lafayette61-70
25/01/25AArkansas State65-80
23/01/25ALouisiana Lafayette89-74
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25HCoastal Carolina83-66
21/02/25HLouisiana Lafayette69-72
16/02/25AArkansas State71-70
13/02/25ALouisiana Lafayette74-56
08/02/25AMiami (Ohio)62-69
06/02/25AJames Madison61-64
01/02/25HLouisiana Monroe87-50
31/01/25HGeorgia Southern81-74
27/01/25HSouthern Miss70-61
25/01/25HSouth Alabama65-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW52%
HomeWLLWW71%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %52%71%33%
Points / game76.180.172.3
Allowed / game72.970.175.6
Point differential+3.2+10.1-3.3
Avg total149.0150.2147.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %14%14%13%
Troy
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW64%
HomeWWWLW73%
AwayLLLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %64%73%54%
Points / game73.179.865.3
Allowed / game65.466.564.2
Point differential+7.6+13.3+1.2
Avg total138.5146.3129.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%60%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State2920969%78.769.5+9.2
2 James Madison30201067%73.769.2+4.6
3 South Alabama29191066%72.764.4+8.3
4 Troy28181064%73.165.4+7.6
5 Marshall30181260%75.771.9+3.8
6 Appalachian State29171259%68.663.2+5.3
7 Texas State29151452%76.172.9+3.2
8 Georgia Southern30151550%74.176.2-2.1
9 Georgia State29131645%75.078.5-3.6
10 Louisiana Lafayette29111838%66.673.3-6.7
11 Old Dominion30111937%68.873.4-4.6
12 Southern Miss29101934%71.876.1-4.3
13 Coastal Carolina2992031%66.771.5-4.8
14 Louisiana Monroe3072323%69.075.0-6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State373269
Troy363874
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