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Truenos De Talca vs Municipal Chillan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 77-59
24-14 12-14 22-10 19-21
Position#2
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game61.0
vs
Position#11
Record1-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game73.5
ChileLNB 2· Cendyr Sur
Other2025-26
Meetings · Truenos De Talca v Municipal Chillan
19 Apr 2025
TRUE77
MUNI59
07 Apr 2024
TRUE76
MUNI58
15 Jul 2023
TRUE79
MUNI66
22 Oct 2022
TRUE64
MUNI58
25 Jun 2022
TRUE87
MUNI70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Truenos De Talca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Municipal Chillan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Truenos De TalcaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTalca
Date
Competition
Brisas
#11
W
84-62
84
62
+22
83avg 61
H14/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
78-62
78
62
+16
75avg 61
H16/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
86-79
86
79
+7
78avg 61
A21/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
66-58
66
58
+8
58avg 61
H27/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
66-73
66
73
-7
48avg 61
H28/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
48-62
48
62
-14
32avg 61
A03/08
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
61-51
61
51
+10
51avg 61
A04/08
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
64-70
64
70
-6
48avg 61
H11/08
LNB 2
Liceo Curico
#8
W
65-53
65
53
+12
49avg 61
A29/03
LNB 2
Tinguiririca
#20
W
75-69
75
69
+6
58avg 61
A05/04
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-10
21-15
21-20
10-17
21-17
23-14
19-17
15-14
15-30
20-15
26-16
25-18
18-12
14-18
17-20
17-8
17-36
23-20
13-6
13-11
6-8
15-16
15-19
12-19
14-18
13-10
17-10
17-13
14-12
19-16
13-22
18-20
17-15
13-15
16-13
19-10
15-28
16-17
26-10
18-14
133.2Avg total
69.3Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)70.061.0131.0+9.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)70.061.0131.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)69.363.9133.2+5.470%
Last 5 (5)62.661.0123.6+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.379.0145.3-12.70%
vs Similar (4)69.564.8134.2+4.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)73.165.2138.3+7.970%
This opponent (Municipal Chillan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Municipal ChillanChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChillan
Date
Competition
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
54-72
54
72
-18
41avg 52
H08/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
63-56
63
56
+7
no box
H09/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
73-62
73
62
+11
no box
H15/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
64-49
64
49
+15
57avg 52
A29/06
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
56-58
56
58
-2
30avg 52
H13/07
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
80-75 OT
80
75
+5
70avg 52
H16/07
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
60-63
60
63
-3
58avg 52
A20/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
L
65-70
65
70
-5
58avg 52
A21/07
LNB 2
Tinguiririca
#20
W
71-65
71
65
+6
30avg 52
A29/03
LNB 2
CDSB Constitucion
#16
L
69-82
69
82
-13
64avg 52
H12/04
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-12
14-24
17-21
12-15
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
14-14
10-16
15-12
25-7
13-18
19-18
14-11
10-11
8-25
22-15
19-13
16-12
18-20
10-11
19-13
13-19
19-17
19-18
12-18
15-17
25-14
15-20
18-15
13-16
20-9
19-22
14-17
16-34
130.7Avg total
65.5Scored
65.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)70.073.5143.5-3.550%
Season at home (1)69.082.0151.0-13.00%
Season away (1)71.065.0136.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)65.565.2130.7+0.350%
Last 5 (5)69.071.0140.0-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)60.176.9137.0-16.912%
vs Similar (11)63.564.4127.9-0.845%
vs Weaker (3)75.769.3145.0+6.3100%
This opponent (Truenos De Talca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
Truenos De TalcaMunicipal Chillan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Truenos De TalcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisas
#11
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H14/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H16/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A21/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H27/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H28/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
21-24
21
24
-3
A03/08
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A04/08
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H11/08
LNB 2
Liceo Curico
#8
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A29/03
LNB 2
Tinguiririca
#20
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A05/04
LNB 2
68.8Avg total
34.6Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.533.168.7+2.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.131.368.4+5.960%-
Last 30 away (15)33.935.068.9-1.127%-
Last 10 (10)34.634.268.8+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)28.431.059.4-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.335.769.0-2.333%-
vs Similar (4)35.533.869.2+1.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)35.832.768.5+3.148%-
This opponent (Municipal Chillan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Municipal ChillanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H08/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A29/06
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H13/07
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H16/07
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A20/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A21/07
LNB 2
Tinguiririca
#20
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A29/03
LNB 2
CDSB Constitucion
#16
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H12/04
LNB 2
66.1Avg total
32.0Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)31.337.769.0-6.432%-
Last 30 at home (10)32.036.468.4-4.440%-
Last 30 away (15)30.838.669.4-7.827%-
Last 10 (8)32.034.166.1-2.138%-
Last 5 (5)35.034.269.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)28.640.769.3-12.114%-
vs Similar (9)33.332.665.9+0.856%-
vs Weaker (2)41.040.081.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Truenos De Talca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Truenos De Talcatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Truenos De Talca: 68.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.918.0
44.0%
46.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.27.6
29.0%
27.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws16.59.5
57.6%
64.0%9.5
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Municipal Chillantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Municipal Chillan: 60.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.412.7
36.9%
46.4%25.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.7
33.1%
27.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws14.19.1
64.5%
64.0%9.1
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Truenos De Talca
WWLWLLWWWW
Municipal Chillan
LWLLWLWWWL
#2
League position
#11
+6.2
Net rating
-2.5
92.5
Offensive rating
84.9
86.2
Defensive rating
87.5
43.8%
Effective FG%
42.4%
43.1%
Opp. effective FG%
42.1%
15.7%
Turnover %
22.4%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
29.0%
3-point %
33.1%
53.5%
Assist %
58.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence92.5 · 84.9Defence86.2 · 87.5Shooting43.8% · 42.4%3-point %29.0% · 33.1%Ball care15.7% · 22.4%Off. rebounds28.7% · 28.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Truenos De Talca   ■ Municipal Chillan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25ATinguiririca75-69
29/03/25ALiceo Curico65-53
11/08/24HStadio Italiano64-70
04/08/24AStadio Italiano61-51
03/08/24AStadio Italiano48-62
28/07/24HStadio Italiano66-73
27/07/24HStadio Italiano66-58
21/07/24ALuis Matte Larrain86-79
16/07/24HStadio Italiano78-62
14/07/24HBrisas84-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25HCDSB Constitucion69-82
29/03/25ATinguiririca71-65
21/07/24AArabe Valparaiso65-70
20/07/24AQuilpue Basquetbol60-63
16/07/24HBrisas80-75 OT
13/07/24HColo Colo56-58
29/06/24ALuis Matte Larrain64-49
15/06/24HArturo Prat San Felipe73-62
09/06/24HBoston C. C.63-56
08/06/24HTruenos De Talca54-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Truenos De Talca
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game70.0-70.0
Allowed / game61.0-61.0
Point differential+9.0-+9.0
Avg total131.0-131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Municipal Chillan
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game70.069.071.0
Allowed / game73.582.065.0
Point differential-3.5-13.0+6.0
Avg total143.5151.0136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Puerto Montt330100%90.365.7+24.7
2 Truenos De Talca220100%70.061.0+9.0
3 Boston C. C.32167%70.065.0+5.0
4 Stadio Italiano32167%78.374.3+4.0
5 Aleman32167%60.056.3+3.7
6 Luis Matte Larrain32167%71.368.0+3.3
7 Illapel32167%71.371.0+0.3
8 Arabe Valparaiso42250%71.265.0+6.2
9 CDSB Constitucion21150%79.073.5+5.5
10 Regional Temuco21150%80.075.0+5.0
11 Quilpue Basquetbol21150%71.066.5+4.5
12 The Sharks21150%74.074.5-0.5
13 Municipal Chillan21150%70.073.5-3.5
14 Liceo Curico21150%65.570.5-5.0
15 Omega21150%32.040.5-8.5
16 Sergio Ceppi31233%68.074.7-6.7
17 Tinguiririca2020%67.073.0-6.0
18 Brisas2020%61.069.5-8.5
19 CD Huachipato4040%59.879.2-19.5
20 Arturo Prat San Felipe1010%56.090.0-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Truenos De Talca2412221977
Municipal Chillan1414102159
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