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Truenos De Talca vs Stadio Italiano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Aug 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 64-70
14-12 19-16 13-22 18-20
Position#2
Record17-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game66.4
Truenos De Talca
Chile
vs
Stadio Italiano 🏆
Chile
Position#4
Record16-10
FormLLWWL
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game62.8
ChileLNB 2LNB 2 - Semi-finals· Cendyr Sur
Other2024-25
Meetings · Truenos De Talca v Stadio Italiano
10 Aug 2024
TRUE64
STAD70
28 Jul 2024
TRUE66
STAD73
27 Jul 2024
TRUE66
STAD58
16 Jul 2024
TRUE78
STAD62
23 Oct 2021
TRUE69
STAD67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Truenos De Talca winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stadio Italiano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Truenos De TalcaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTalca
Date
Competition
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
79-58
79
58
+21
76avg 62
H23/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
63-59
63
59
+4
49avg 62
H29/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
112-69
112
69
+43
114avg 62
A07/07
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
84-62
84
62
+22
83avg 62
H14/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
78-62
78
62
+16
75avg 62
H16/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
86-79
86
79
+7
78avg 62
A21/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
66-58
66
58
+8
58avg 62
H27/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
66-73
66
73
-7
48avg 62
H28/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
48-62
48
62
-14
32avg 62
A03/08
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
61-51
61
51
+10
51avg 62
A04/08
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-8
26-13
15-18
23-19
17-13
12-17
16-15
18-14
29-11
19-21
39-18
25-19
32-10
21-15
21-20
10-17
21-17
23-14
19-17
15-14
15-30
20-15
26-16
25-18
18-12
14-18
17-20
17-8
17-36
23-20
13-6
13-11
6-8
15-16
15-19
12-19
14-18
13-10
17-10
17-13
137.6Avg total
74.3Scored
63.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)72.866.4139.2+6.465%
Season at home (13)75.266.8142.0+8.377%
Season away (13)70.465.9136.3+4.554%
Last 10 (10)74.363.3137.6+11.080%
Last 5 (5)65.464.6130.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)62.681.2143.8-18.60%
vs Similar (4)69.564.8134.2+4.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)74.264.7139.0+9.571%
This opponent (Stadio Italiano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stadio ItalianoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormItaliano
Date
Competition
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
97-47
97
47
+50
100avg 59
H29/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
57-54
57
54
+3
58avg 59
A30/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
64-45
64
45
+19
63avg 59
A08/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
60-59
60
59
+1
52avg 59
H13/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
79-68
79
68
+11
73avg 59
A14/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
62-78
62
78
-16
46avg 59
A16/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
58-66
58
66
-8
46avg 59
A27/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
73-66
73
66
+7
71avg 59
A28/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
62-48
62
48
+14
54avg 59
H03/08
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
51-61
51
61
-10
38avg 59
H04/08
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
20-15
18-6
31-9
22-12
9-16
16-8
10-18
21-9
16-11
12-13
15-12
20-16
10-17
19-7
11-19
12-28
24-16
22-9
21-15
17-21
14-23
17-19
14-15
12-18
18-14
20-17
8-17
36-17
20-23
6-13
11-13
8-6
16-15
19-15
19-12
18-14
10-13
10-17
13-17
125.5Avg total
66.3Scored
59.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)66.862.8129.6+4.062%
Season at home (13)70.262.8133.1+7.469%
Season away (13)63.362.8126.1+0.554%
Last 10 (10)66.359.2125.5+7.170%
Last 5 (5)61.263.8125.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)62.774.9137.6-12.333%
vs Similar (8)64.860.0124.8+4.862%
vs Weaker (10)70.458.6129.0+11.880%
This opponent (Truenos De Talca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
Truenos De TalcaStadio Italiano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Truenos De TalcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H23/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H29/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A07/07
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H14/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H16/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A21/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H27/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H28/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
21-24
21
24
-3
A03/08
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A04/08
LNB 2
69.2Avg total
37.0Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.933.369.2+2.745%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.431.568.9+5.957%-
Last 30 away (15)34.534.969.5-0.433%-
Last 10 (10)37.032.269.2+4.850%-
Last 5 (5)31.036.667.6-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.036.270.2-2.240%-
vs Similar (4)35.533.869.2+1.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)36.532.569.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Stadio Italiano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stadio ItalianoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H29/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A30/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
37-20
37
20
+17
A08/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H13/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A16/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A27/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A28/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
24-21
24
21
+3
H03/08
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H04/08
LNB 2
67.2Avg total
35.1Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.332.866.1+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.531.967.4+3.560%-
Last 30 away (15)31.133.664.7-2.553%-
Last 10 (10)35.132.167.2+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)33.832.866.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)32.536.268.8-3.842%-
vs Similar (8)32.930.163.0+2.862%-
vs Weaker (10)34.630.765.3+3.970%-
This opponent (Truenos De Talca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Truenos De Talcatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Truenos De Talca: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.119.8
47.0%
44.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.3
32.8%
28.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws15.39.0
58.8%
63.6%9.0
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stadio Italianotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stadio Italiano: 65.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.217.1
41.5%
44.9%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.2
30.8%
28.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws14.49.3
64.6%
63.6%9.3
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Aug 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Truenos De Talca
WLLWWWWWWW
Stadio Italiano
LWWLLWWWWW
#2
League position
#4
+14.7
Net rating
+8.9
98.4
Offensive rating
89.2
83.7
Defensive rating
80.3
47.8%
Effective FG%
43.2%
40.4%
Opp. effective FG%
40.5%
16.1%
Turnover %
17.8%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.22
32.8%
3-point %
30.8%
53.4%
Assist %
61.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.4 · 89.2Defence83.7 · 80.3Shooting47.8% · 43.2%3-point %32.8% · 30.8%Ball care16.1% · 17.8%Off. rebounds29.2% · 27.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Truenos De Talca   ■ Stadio Italiano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Truenos De Talca wins
4
Stadio Italiano wins
DateGameScore
04/08/24Stadio Italiano v Truenos De Talca51-61
03/08/24Stadio Italiano v Truenos De Talca62-48
28/07/24Truenos De Talca v Stadio Italiano66-73
27/07/24Truenos De Talca v Stadio Italiano66-58
16/07/24Truenos De Talca v Stadio Italiano78-62
20/04/24Stadio Italiano v Truenos De Talca78-75
03/12/21Stadio Italiano v Truenos De Talca68-62
23/10/21Truenos De Talca v Stadio Italiano69-67
Truenos De Talcalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/08/24AStadio Italiano61-51
03/08/24AStadio Italiano48-62
28/07/24HStadio Italiano66-73
27/07/24HStadio Italiano66-58
21/07/24ALuis Matte Larrain86-79
16/07/24HStadio Italiano78-62
14/07/24HBrisas84-62
07/07/24AArturo Prat San Felipe112-69
29/06/24HBoston C. C.63-59
23/06/24HQuilpue Basquetbol79-58
Stadio Italianolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/08/24HTruenos De Talca51-61
03/08/24HTruenos De Talca62-48
28/07/24ATruenos De Talca73-66
27/07/24ATruenos De Talca58-66
16/07/24ATruenos De Talca62-78
14/07/24AArabe Valparaiso79-68
13/07/24HLuis Matte Larrain60-59
08/07/24ABrisas64-45
30/06/24AQuilpue Basquetbol57-54
29/06/24HArturo Prat San Felipe97-47

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Truenos De Talca
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW65%
HomeWWWWL77%
AwayLWWLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %65%77%54%
Points / game72.875.270.4
Allowed / game66.466.865.9
Point differential+6.4+8.3+4.5
Avg total139.2142.0136.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%46%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stadio Italiano
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL62%
HomeWWWWL69%
AwayWWLLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %62%69%54%
Points / game66.870.263.3
Allowed / game62.862.862.8
Point differential+4.0+7.4+0.5
Avg total129.6133.1126.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%38%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo25250100%81.963.2+18.6
2 Truenos De Talca2617965%72.866.4+6.4
3 Stadio Italiano26161062%66.862.8+4.0
4 Aleman2213959%74.471.6+2.8
5 Boston C. C.22121055%71.368.0+3.3
6 Sergio Ceppi25131252%71.972.7-0.8
7 Quilpue Basquetbol22101245%64.968.6-3.7
8 Municipal Chillan2291341%63.066.5-3.5
9 Luis Matte Larrain2281436%68.973.9-5.0
10 Arabe Valparaiso2281436%66.072.3-6.3
11 Brisas2481633%68.270.1-1.8
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe242228%69.586.0-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Truenos De Talca1419131864
Stadio Italiano1216222070
← all games of the day
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