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Tulsa vs South Florida Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 78-93
36-51 42-42
Position#23
Record13-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game70.2
Tulsa
USA
vs
South Florida 🏆
USA
Position#40
Record9-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game79.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tulsa v South Florida
30 Dec 2026
TULS v SOUT
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
TULS78
SOUT93
09 Mar 2024
TULS76
SOUT70
15 Feb 2023
TULS69
SOUT96
29 Jan 2022
TULS76
SOUT45
03 Feb 2021
TULS v SOUT
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tulsa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TulsaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#349
W
81-51
81
51
+30
A25/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H26/11
NCAA
Manhattan Christian
#630
W
111-60
111
60
+51
H03/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
98-74
98
74
+24
H06/12
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
117-84
117
84
+33
H11/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
83-70
83
70
+13
A13/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
82-81
82
81
+1
A20/12
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H22/12
NCAA
Rice
#268
W
97-48
97
48
+49
H31/12
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-33
38-18
34-27
29-33
61-22
50-38
48-32
50-42
51-36
66-48
49-27
34-43
30-37
52-44
42-38
48-47
40-27
57-21
28-27
39-45
157.4Avg total
88.9Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)88.470.2158.6+18.287%
Season at home (8)95.067.9162.9+27.1100%
Season away (7)80.972.9153.7+8.071%
Last 10 (10)88.968.5157.4+20.490%
Last 5 (5)83.871.2155.0+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)63.275.4138.6-12.10%
vs Similar ◀ (7)74.173.3147.4+0.971%
vs Weaker (13)85.872.0157.8+13.885%
This opponent (South Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#27
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H26/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
97-91 OT
97
91
+6
H27/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
68-83
68
83
-15
H28/11
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H05/12
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H11/12
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
93-104
93
104
-11
A18/12
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
W
94-69
94
69
+25
H21/12
NCAA
Georgia College
#688
W
111-50
111
50
+61
H29/12
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
106-109 OT
106
109
-3
H04/01
NCAA
North Texas
#138
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-36
33-42
40-50
44-34
29-33
39-50
41-20
33-41
46-43
35-32
39-46
54-58
45-29
49-40
61-31
50-19
38-36
45-47
25-30
49-40
165.4Avg total
86.4Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)90.979.9170.8+11.160%
Season at home (10)89.973.3163.2+16.670%
Season away (5)93.093.0186.0+0.040%
Last 10 (10)86.479.0165.4+7.460%
Last 5 (5)95.680.4176.0+15.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.078.2145.2-11.20%
vs Similar ◀ (16)74.575.8150.2-1.238%
vs Weaker (9)92.381.9174.2+10.467%
This opponent (Tulsa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +12.0+12.01st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: +8.4+8.42nd half: +2.8+2.8
-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +12.0+12.01st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: +8.4+8.42nd half: +2.8+2.8
TulsaSouth Florida
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TulsaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#349
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A25/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H26/11
NCAA
Manhattan Christian
#630
W
61-22
61
22
+39
H03/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H06/12
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H11/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
49-27
49
27
+22
A13/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A20/12
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H22/12
NCAA
Rice
#268
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H31/12
NCAA
North Texas
#138
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A04/01
NCAA
73.2Avg total
42.6Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.933.770.6+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.833.474.2+7.473%-
Last 30 away (15)33.133.967.0-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)42.630.673.2+12.090%-
Last 5 (5)37.831.269.0+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)31.133.264.4-2.150%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)33.335.969.1-2.629%-
vs Weaker (13)39.533.973.4+5.569%-
This opponent (South Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#27
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H26/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H27/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H28/11
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H05/12
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H11/12
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A18/12
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H21/12
NCAA
Georgia College
#688
W
61-31
61
31
+30
H29/12
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H04/01
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A08/01
NCAA
75.1Avg total
39.7Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.036.673.6+0.440%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.534.371.8+3.253%-
Last 30 away (13)36.339.675.9-3.323%-
Last 10 (10)39.735.475.1+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.634.476.0+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.241.072.2-9.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)34.235.669.9-1.431%-
vs Weaker (9)41.737.078.7+4.767%-
This opponent (Tulsa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Tulsa wins
4
South Florida wins
DateGameScore
18/01/25South Florida v Tulsa63-56
09/03/24Tulsa v South Florida76-70
15/02/24South Florida v Tulsa69-50
02/03/23South Florida v Tulsa72-56
16/02/23Tulsa v South Florida69-96
19/02/22South Florida v Tulsa57-65
30/01/22Tulsa v South Florida76-45
06/01/21South Florida v Tulsa51-61
15/02/20South Florida v Tulsa48-56
Tulsalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26ANorth Texas67-72
31/12/25HRice97-48
22/12/25HDenver90-85
20/12/25AWestern Kentucky82-81
13/12/25ANew Mexico State83-70
11/12/25HArkansas-Pine Bluff117-84
06/12/25HMissouri State98-74
03/12/25HManhattan Christian111-60
26/11/25HNorthern Iowa63-60
25/11/25ASan Jose State81-51
South Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26ANorth Texas74-70
04/01/26HUAB106-109 OT
29/12/25HGeorgia College111-50
21/12/25HUMBC Retrievers94-69
18/12/25AAlabama93-104
11/12/25HCharleston81-75
05/12/25HUtah State74-61
28/11/25HColorado State68-83
27/11/25HWestern Kentucky97-91 OT
26/11/25HVCU Rams66-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tulsa
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL87%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %87%100%71%
Points / game88.495.080.9
Allowed / game70.267.972.9
Point differential+18.2+27.1+8.0
Avg total158.6162.9153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%62%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
South Florida
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWWWWL70%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %60%70%40%
Points / game90.989.993.0
Allowed / game79.973.393.0
Point differential+11.1+16.6+0.0
Avg total170.8163.2186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %13%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa1513287%88.470.2+18.2
2 Tulane1511473%73.574.3-0.8
3 Temple1611569%77.470.3+7.1
4 Florida Atlantic1610662%83.172.9+10.2
5 UAB1610662%83.273.2+10.0
6 North Texas1610662%69.964.1+5.9
7 South Florida159660%90.979.9+11.1
8 Wichita State169756%78.269.0+9.2
9 Charlotte168850%74.273.0+1.2
10 Memphis147750%74.173.2+0.9
11 Rice167944%73.473.5-0.1
12 East Carolina1551033%67.376.3-9.1
13 UTSA Roadrunners1541127%69.377.1-7.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tulsa364278
South Florida514293
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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